IRAN AND HEZBOLLAH AND CASE OF MONKEY SEE….MONKEY DO!
The Turks are now coming up on a
month into their operation to neutralize any idea of an independent Kurdish state
along the Turkish border and if you don’t believe that is what is taking place,
then you should probably spend your time reading something else. I’m not going
to spend time addressing how this operation is going, but I am going to ask one
simple question. Did the Ottoman’s invasion of Syria provide the cover for
Israel to move against Hezbollah forces in Syria? If it’s acceptable for, Iran,
Turkey, Russia and the US to carve out a slice of Syrian soil for the sake of neutralizing
a potential enemy, then why not Israel? Yes, I fully understand the IDF has
been attacking targets in Syria, but an actual ground operation has been out of
the question. So, is it out of the question now? If Iran’s proxy military,
Hezbollah, has been allowed to establish itself inside of Syria, close to the
Israeli border, does Israel not hold the right to neutralize this threat? Someone
tell me again why the Turks pushed into Syria? Here is an even more important
question. Do the Israelis plan on executing just such an event?
Warnings to those that
matter:
Netanyahu holds a meeting with
Putin. As soon as that meeting is over, the Russians dispatch a high-level team
to Israel…………. Quickly. Rumor has it,
and it’s a good rumor, the message given by Israel to Russia was blunt. “We
will not accept Hezbollah or Iranian forces to threaten Israel from its border
with Syria”! This message was also delivered to DC. Then Netanyahu made it
clear to the rest of the world in an open statement. Again, someone remind what
the excuse was for Turkey’s movement into Syria? Did anyone take these
statements seriously? Let me answer that this way. When was the last time you witnessed
a high-level team be dispatched within hours of a meeting between two leaders?
Was the Russian reaction to Israel’s message noteworthy? You bet it was. Had
there been a rumor of Russian striking a deal over the Syrian mess that would
lead to Iranian and other forces leaving Syria? Yes. Was Tehran consulted on
this process? You can bet they were not, unless the statement itself was disingenuous.
Iran sends its own
message:
Let me
go backwards for a minute. We must remember the goals of the Persians in Syria
and the region are not the goals of the Russians. The relationship between the
Russians and the Iranians is based upon a matter of convenience. The Russians are
convenient to the Persians, but only for so long. The Persians are convenient to
the Russians, but only until the greater issue of Eastern Europe is settled. For
the Russians, in the end, the Middle East will continue to be what it has been
for almost 100 years, a source of fuel. But, this time the control of this area
will come from Moscow, not DC. There use to be a war plan for fighting the
Soviet Union in the Middle East for just this reason, but that is a discussion for
another day.
Iran
gets a vote. That is the message when Hezbollah Commanders are seen with
Iranian leadership along the Syrian border with Israel. Do the Russians approve
or disapprove of such events? Does anyone in Tehran truly care what the
Russians think? Yes, the courtship is as it has always been, on shaky ground. Iran
has no intention of leaving Syria’s future to anyone else other than Iran. So,
the question becomes, is Iran willing to risk the future of their own nation for
the sake of influence in Syria? Just how did the Tehran interpret the
communications between Israel and Russia? Did Netanyahu travel to see the Tsar to
judge his true intentions in Syria? Is Russia telling the truth when they state
all foreign parties will leave Syria? Is
Tehran paying attention? Was this statement by Russia just another complicated
twist of the truth? Just in the past two days, stores have been circulating detailing
the inspection of positions inside of Syria along the Israeli border; Inspections
by high ranking Iranian officials and Hezbollah Commanders. The Middle East is
a part of our world where bluffs and hidden meanings are the norm. Trust me
when I say, Israel in not bluffing! Mobilization of the IDF is a very distinguishable
event. Be watching closely for this noticeable sign, but don’t count on it.
Surprise is the key to victory in 21st Century warfare.
