UN OFFICIAL "SYRIA IN CIVIL WAR"...... NO
KIDDING!!!!!
Two nights ago I commented on how ominous it appeared not
that reports were getting out that entire units, brigade size units, were
defecting!
It didn't take long for some of the UN members, who have a
tactical background, to come to the realization that events such as this one
would push Syria
over the edge.
Having said that, it still had to be a coordinated event for
the UN to support their member making such an obvious statement.
If the UN didn't support what their member said, they would
have jumped on the airwaves of the media and shut the story down as soon as
possible.
So, what does it mean now that the UN has made such a bold
statement?
Here is my spin.
How this plays in the GCC and Turkey is the real issue.
For Turkey
to formally hear the UN declare a "Civil War" on Turkeys ' border
is something to worry about.
How Saudi plays this against the Iranians is the next issue.
What did surprise me was how quickly the US Department of
State, Secretary of State, came out with the comment about Russian support to Syria .
If the UN's backing of their members statement was not
coordinated with the Secretary of State's comment, and I don't believe it was,
it will still be seen as a "coordinated event" in the eyes of Iran , Russia
and Syria .
Today was a day of dangerous words and these words will be
responded to by all three, Russia ,
Iran and Syria .
A war of escalating statements is probably coming within the
next day at most.
Tomorrow , I will cover what tactically may be about to
change in Syria
and how that might change the level of the conflict.
