AGAIN… THE FEAR OF “BAGHDAD FALLING” IS TOPIC NUMBER ONE.
Several months ago, the topic of Baghdad falling to the IS
forces was contemplated, disused and then brushed aside.
“Just too hard to do….. Defenders of Baghdad are far more
capable than the ‘rest’…. IS forces can’t get there”….
Yep, all of these excuses, were given as to why this catastrophe
would not take place.
At that moment in time, my theory, the one I thought had
more credibility than the rest, was simple.
I.S forces didn’t really want Baghdad, nor did they need it!
Well, that was then and this is now.
What changed?
What made them change their minds?
If you guessed the US, you win the prize!
When the US decided, “it had to do something”, something is
exactly what took place.
When you step to the mic and state, “ we will destroy them”,
you need to be prepared for an enemy who’s resolve just jumped quantitatively!
Go where your enemy is not!
Strike where your enemy would never anticipate and thus be
unprepared for.
What was the theory of the air strikes?
The “Coalition” would degrade IS’s ability to attack!
The air strikes would force the IS forces into a defensive mode.
They would “melt” into the population and find another day;
heck, even I accepted part of that one.
Western War Planners are often experts on the history of
warfare.
So, how is it the “Coalition” didn’t realize the IS forces
may win the phycology of the conflict by moving on the golden ring…… Baghdad?
Can, they take Baghdad?
If they move into parts of Baghdad, can they hold what they
take?
What will the Persians do?
What will the Coalition do?
10,000 IS forces near the gates of Baghdad?
Kobane sits at the brink of capture?
Islamic State Forces executing a true Two Front Conflict!
Where is the confidence of those left in Baghdad?
When does the panic set in for the Assad camp?
As I write this post, one fact stands nearly undeniable.
The Islamic State Forces are not only winning on the ground;
they are winning the perception war.
Will they take Baghdad?
Will the forces holding the city crumble?
Will the Persians just stand by like the Turks?
Who is going to stop the Islamic State Forces?
Is this really going to happen?
As bad as this crisis is, if we begin to see street to
street fighting in the city limits of Baghdad, the panic throughout the region
will increase dramatically.
Yes, the siege of Baghdad is back on the table, but whose
fault is that?
How many times has this comment been made?
“Can it get any worse”?
If you are wondering what I think, here is my answer.
We are about to see the Persians place a new price tag on
the nuclear talks.
If we write that check , will the Israelis allow it to be
cashed?
