IS TURKEY’S TOLERANCE  WITH SYRIA REALLY RUNNING OUT?  

If you read today about the Syrian military increasing it’s operations in several cities, you may have still missed the real issue to be concerned about.

A few days ago  I commented about Syria employing Field Artillery Units against the Resistance and how it would be extremely difficult to estimate the causality rate given most people would have to stay inside and be unable to dig through the rubble.

I will repeat myself today and submit it is impossible to get an accurate estimate of casualties.

Field Artillery Units  create far more damage and destruction that Tank Units.

On top of this dramatic escalation in tactics, We have  witnessed Helicopter Gunships.

A few weeks ago I talked about how Syria would have to dramatically increase the tactical support of the armor units if they were going to push them into an urban environment.  

Up until then, it was fairly obvious the armored vehicles where more for physiological impact than tactical edge.

Unfortunately, Syria has executed exactly what I said they would need to.

Armor, supported by Air and Artillery!

The dramatic news coverage of the Syrian Navel employment simply adds to this change in strategic operations for Assad.

In short, it has become clear to other world leaders that Assad has decided to take his struggle with the resistance to the next level and thereby dramatically increase the causality rates.

As such, it is no surprise Turkey gave it’s second “Warning” to Assad today.

It was covered in the Turkish press, but had limited play outside of Turkey although the Isalie press did not miss the message.

Turkey’s use of words as strong as, “ Our last warning” should be recognized by all outsiders.

I am willing to bet the message was not overlooked in Iran.

So, does Turkey seem to be moving closer to taking action on Syria and if so, what action are they willing to take.

I have mentioned the persistent rumor of a Turkish “Safe Zone” being established in Syria.

I think the response Turkey was given last week by Assad and Iran showed them just how dangerous this concept might be.

What other “options” does Turkey have?

It would be a powerful message for Turkey to host a meeting of the Arab League for the purpose of unified condemnation of Syria.

Iran would struggle with openly rebuffing not just Turkey, but the Arab League speaking in one voice with Turkey.

The step from there to actually calling for a UNSC vote on Syria, as dramatic as that would be, would not be far behind.

Russia and China would be hard pressed to veto such a vote given the support of the Arab League.

It’s going to get complex quick!

Most of the talk around the UN is the pending Palestinian Statehood issue, but being forced to deal with Syria first may be just the ticket some in the UN are looking for; the ones that don’t want to deal with Syria.

Here is a twist that will not get overlooked.

One of the prime targets of the current Syrian military actions in Latakia are Palestinians!

The odds of the Syrian event being off the table before the Mid September vote, if there is a vote, on Palestinian Statehood are not good.

Keep an eye on Turkey.

They made the comment they did today for a reason.

Something is up with them and it will not take long to see what they have planned.

As I have said many times in the past five months; it’s a huge challenge to be a “leader” and that is what Turkey wants to be.