ISRAEL AND IRAN;  A DISCUSSION CONTINUED  

As the week draws to a close, I think it's important to simplify an important issue that received a great deal of discussion all week long.

It is no secret Israel sees itself in an increasing desperate position.

Iran's perception of its condition is not far behind.

This is an extremely dangerous combination right now.

Both nations potentially see themselves is national survival environment with
each other being the major threat.

Iran's potential loss of its most valuable proxy state, Syria and the fear of
the Arab Spring spreading to the Iranian youth, coupled with a internal power
struggle between a Persian Nationalist and a Muslim Fundamentalist has placed
itself on the edge of the cliff.

Israel faces the ever growing criticism from the majority of the modern world
over the Palestinian statehood issue, all the while knowing a reduced
landmass Israel will be virtually impossible to defend from modern day
weaponry.

Israel has a sworn enemy who as vowed to remove Israel from the face of the
earth who is also blatantly building a nuclear weapons program as the rest of
the world stands by.

Israel, just like the leaders of the GCC, fear the Arab Spring spreading to
the streets of Israel especially when it is exploited by Iran.

( Side Note: Interesting how Israel and Saudi have the same problem
right now.)

I am not sure what miracle form of diplomacy will prevent this collision form
taking place, but history tells us such attempts have almost always fallen
short.

If time is truly running out to prevent conflict between these two, then
hopefully there is enough time left to limit its impact and or hasten the
recovery.

I hope no one is foolish enough to believe the Israeli government will adopt
some form of "Mutual Destruction" Doctrine.

Again, that will be yet another example of "wishing the problem away".

What we should be working on:

Our effort must be on limiting the support Iran has planned for.

The support of Hamas and Hezbollah, if removed will limit the amount of
action Israel will be forced to take.

It will be the difference between this event being a Regional War or a
conflict between the two countries; luckily, the Arab's fear Iran more than
they hate Israel.

The danger will be Iran's ability to force other nations involvement .

Hamas cannot stand by and watch the destruction of Gaza based on Iran's
ability to manipulate organizations such as the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

If the " Sunni" based fringe organizations can be pulled away from Iran as
well, it could keep the entire Palestinian issue out of the conflict.

An Israel that is ready to address, truly address the Palestinian statehood
issue, post conflict with Iran is probably exactly what the Arabs are looking
for; at least for now.

The Billion dollar question is.. .are we ready for this event to take place
when we least expect it?

Has the public been prepared for what this event could mean or have the world
government's concerns over the world's fragile economy kept this nightmare
off the airways?

Israel's media campaign of the past week is no fluke.

Is it tea leaf reading or a last real warning of how danger out the situation
has become?

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2011/11/2011113125630400402.html

I think we shall soon find out.