ANOTHER CHEMICAL ATTACK AND ANOTHER ATTACK ON T4? IS THIS ONE DIFFERENT?

               The IDF struck T4….again! Assad utilized chemical weapons…. again! Russia says the whole thing didn’t happen. The Donald says there is going to be Hell to pay. The UN….well the UN did what they always do………………talk………………talk………..and then hold another meeting to talk. So, what happened doesn’t seem to be the issue, but the real question is again not stated. Why? Why did the chemical attack take place?

What happened to the message?

 Is the use of chemical weapons becoming common place? Did the Tsar approve the attack? Would Assad use such weapons without Russian approval? Could the Iranians have talked Assad into such an act behind the back of the Tsar? Could the Tsar afford to come out against the act even if the Iranians pulled this one off? Did anyone notice the change in the stance of the Russians? For the last few weeks, the message has been, “The Anti Syrian forces were preparing to launch a chemical attack with the intent of the Syrian government being held responsible. Why was this line not continued after this latest attack? Why was the response, “we see no evidence of chemical weapons”? Why didn’t the Russians blame the “Rebels / Terrorist”? They spent weeks building this image and then when the attack takes place, the Russians didn’t pull the trigger on the propaganda platform they spent so much time developing. What happened? The Russians seem upset more than usual. If they knew the attack was coming, and they should have, then why was the response off message? Perhaps someone should look to Tehran?

T4:  

               Just how unannounced was this latest attack on T4? Does anyone really think the Russian assets in theater could not detect the aircraft launch from Israel….. the release of subsonic weapons diving down to map of the Earth level? Just who did the Russians warn of the inbound attack? The only stated casualties seem to be Iranian. Is there a reason? If Iranian assets scheduled to go to Hezbollah were struck once again, did the Russians just let it happen? Yes, the story goes five of the eight weapons were intercepted by Syrian Air Defense, but that is to be expected. Every nation has always inflated their response to an attack. The fact of the matter is, the Russians ether knew the attack was inbound or they did not. If they did and Iranians died, is that a message in itself? If they didn’t, boy oh boy, the vulnerability of their defensive systems better keep them up at night.

The Worst Case Scenario :

               I would truly hope this next statement is not true, but in the world of analysis, all possibilities, that are logical, must be reviewed. The Tsar did know the attack was going to take place. The Tsar did approve of the attack. The Tsar no longer sees the utilization of chemical weapons as a “Bridge too Far”. The Russians warned the Israelis today. In fact, the warning may have been perceived more along the lines of a threat. Last month they lost F16. That was a message. Israel knows all too well Russia has assets on T4. If the waring was given with the loss of the IDF aircraft, then how does Moscow read the message the IDF sent with the strike on T4? How does Moscow interpret the statement / tweet / from The Donald? Yes the phone calls are taking place. Yes there is far more to this story than the press and others know about. Where is this going? In and out. That was The Donald’s message while Putin was trying to take the world stage over the Syrian issue. “We are leaving Syria…not wait…. We are staying” … and the Tsar looked like a fool! Did that set the stage for the next round of “I dare you”? Seldom are events between adversaries not related. Is there a link here? As my friend always says, “ To understand the first move…..you have to wait for the second”! We are way past the second move. The slippery path is primed. If the US strikes Syrian targets and I fully except it will happen………..perhaps by the time I post this, then the reaction from Moscow will be the topic of all the Talking Heads. They better get their makeup on. I bet the networks will be calling them in the next 24 hrs.