IRAN…HEZBOLLAH AND THE PERSIAN BLUFF!
Last week, I commented on the “rumor” of Hezbollah coming to
the aid of Hamas.
Then, two days ago, Hezbollah leadership makes statements on
“supporting” Hamas.
Now, this story of Iran reaching out to Hamas through and
with Hezbollah’s help.
So, what is going on?
Last week, my theory was based upon Hezbollah praying Hamas
would not fall victim to the Islamic State movement after the IDF is finished
with them.
Well, if anything, this story reinforces my stance and let
me explain why.
What is more important to the Iranians, the survival of
Assad, a leader who will never be able to lead again or Hamas as primary tool
for actions against the IDF in a pending IDF, Iranian conflict?
Would the Persians want to see Hamas survive or even appear triumphant?
Yes.
If the priority of effort had to be delegated between actions
in Syria and actions needed to keep the anti I.S. force, Hamas, afloat, what
would the Persians chose?
Here is the reality that is hitting home in Tehran.
They can’t save Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Hamas all at the
same time.
Who gets the support and who gets the IS?
If support for Assad declines, will the IS forces in Iraq
move back into Syria and thus relive pressure on Iraq?
Who is closer to the border of Iran?
There is your answer.
Who sees this answer?
Yep…….the eye doctor.
Now, can Iran afford to have the IDF destroy the Hezbollah
forces in Lebanon?
No.
So, what is the real message here?
Here is my shot at the answer.
Imagine how the briefing would go inside the White House.
“Mr President, we have reason to believe Hezbollah may be
about to inter the conflict between Hamas and Israel”!!!!!
What pressure would that create?
What level of panic?
An administration that gets hammered every single day over
have a disastrous foreign policy having to wake up to an even wider, more
dangerous conflict.
Is this a bluff?
Most likely.
Will it work?
Well, the future of the national of Israel will not be decided
by the White House.
It’s a dangerous bluff, if that is truly what it turns out
to be.
