HEZBOLLAH / JABHAT AL-NUSRA... IT'S MORE THAN THAT!!
Attached is a great
article that, in my opinion, misses the most important theory as to why this
conflict is going to take place.
The concept that both sides of this pending fight have a
"Master Plan" as to when and how this event will take place gives, in
my opinion, far too much credit to both.
In reality, the true issue is the simple fact that no one
has the ability to prevent it from taking place.
Forget the concept of a Master Plan for a NUSRA ..HEZBOLLAH fight
and think more along the lines of small, factional groups on the Sunni side
simply provoking localized clashes with little "Master Planning" from
any key leadership.
Does Iran
want a conflict to take place right now that would spell Civil War for Lebanon ?
Does Saudi or Egypt or the West?
Would any of these isolate, nearly street level units, have
the mindset to listen to anyone's guidance?
Here is the reality!!
The lawless landscape of Syria has become a modern day
setting for " Mad Max" than anyone wants to admit.
Inadvertent clashes spinning into a regional conflict;
that's the fear and has been for almost two years.
Now, are "regional players" ready for such an
event?
Does Iran
have a plan for a Lebanon
on fire?
Does Egypt .....
Turkey ....
Jordan ....
the GCC????
Don't count on it.
The ability to control anything going on in or around Syria becomes
more and more distant with each passing day.
It's sounds like a broken record to almost all of us who
watch the region, but the truth will not go away.
A Sunni / Shia conflict inside of Lebanon is nearly unavoidable.
The other fact that remains unchanged, is the issue of what
are the regional players willing and more importantly able to do once this travesty
takes place?
Last but certainly not least..... what is Israel willing to put up with?
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/03/jabhat-al-nusra-hezbollah-confrontation.html
