ANOTHER TENSE WEEK IN THE MIDDLE EAST.
A great deal has taken place since the last time I posted on
this site, so let's get right down to it.
Several topics, so I will keep it simple and try to relate
what they could mean to each other.
I had to say, " I told you so.... but I told you
so"!!
If anyone really was foolish enough to believe the
Fundamentalist were not going to shape the outcome of the elections... well they
were simply dreaming.
As I said back in March of this year, the Muslim Brotherhood
and those like them were going to wait until the right moment in time and then
set the nation into yet another downward spiral.
The fact this has taken place just days before the election
is no coincidence.
Fear has always made the everyday citizen vote for what they
think is going to be safe in times of trouble and this is exactly what the MB is
planning on.
The concept of letting Egypt virtually begin to burn and
then offer a pathway out of the madness has been the plan for the MB from day
one.
It's working and I
predict it's going to work next week.
The problem will come when the youthful, liberal, sectarians
realize what is happening.
I think they already do.
I don't see the violence getting any better and as a matter
of fact, it has a strong chance of getting much worse between now and the
elections on the 28th.
I'm not sold they will take place as scheduled... not because
of the MB or the Egyptian Military, but the youth who realize what is going on.
They have way too much on their plate to deal with Egypt becoming destabilized
yet again.
Assad is watching events in Egypt and praying it only gets
worse.
He is watching the economic, political circus in the US and saying a
second payer.
These two events have shoved Syria , at least for now, from the
top of the news headlines and both events have the potential to keep Assad on
" page two.. below the fold line, for several days if not longer.
Assad could not have chosen a better time to thumb the AL in the eye over the
" Observer" issue.
The AL will simply not have
time to deal with Assad's attitude while Egypt is burning.
Like Syria ,
Iran could not have had
events in Egypt
happen at a better time.
Some might say Iran may have even had a hand in
the flair up, but I'm not sold on that theory.
The MB is not known for working with Iran on "
Distraction" concepts.. far from it!!!!
The Saber Rattling by Israel over the past week is
noticed far and wide.
Would the Israelis decide when to or when not to attack Iran 's operations based on the events taking
place in Egypt ?
Probably not, but it has to be a factor in the " go...
no go" review.
As I have said before.. the issue between Iran and Israel
is not if Israel decides to
attack.... but if Iran determents
Israel
is going to attack.. really believes it's going to happen.
The whole Middle East and North Africa
moves based on " perception" right now.
The GCC:
The GCC and the AL are closely linked and the topics of Iran , Israel .... Syria ... Egypt is more
than they can collectively handle.
What would be interesting to see is what is taking place
between the AL ..
GCC and Turkey ...
Can the GCC and the AL risk
letting the Ottoman's be the deciders of events in Syria ?
Can the two of them allow Turkey
to make the " deals" with Russia
" others" on what should happen in Syria ?
Ah... the days of sitting around and dragging on the Shisha
pipe are long gone.
When you want to play " world leader".. when you
want to demand "respect". the leisure time all but disappears.
It's what the leadership of Saudi learned years ago....
"Let the West pump the oil and worry about the oil...
we will just sit in the piles of money"!