Monday, November 21, 2011




















ANOTHER TENSE WEEK IN THE MIDDLE EAST.

A great deal has taken place since the last time I posted on this site, so let's get right down to it.

Several topics, so I will keep it simple and try to relate what they could mean to each other.

Egypt:

I had to say, " I told you so.... but I told you so"!!

If anyone really was foolish enough to believe the Fundamentalist were not going to shape the outcome of the elections... well they were simply dreaming.

As I said back in March of this year, the Muslim Brotherhood and those like them were going to wait until the right moment in time and then set the nation into yet another downward spiral.

The fact this has taken place just days before the election is no coincidence.

Fear has always made the everyday citizen vote for what they think is going to be safe in times of trouble and this is exactly what the MB is planning on.

The concept of letting Egypt virtually begin to burn and then offer a pathway out of the madness has been the plan for the MB from day one.

It's working  and I predict it's going to work next week.

The problem will come when the youthful, liberal, sectarians realize what is happening.

I think they already do.

I don't see the violence getting any better and as a matter of fact, it has a strong chance of getting much worse between now and the elections on the 28th.

I'm not sold they will take place as scheduled... not because of the MB or the Egyptian Military, but the youth who realize what is going on.

Egypt is in real... real... trouble.. and the Arab League has to be in a full panic.

They have way too much on their plate to deal with Egypt becoming destabilized yet again.

Syria:

Assad is watching events in Egypt and praying it only gets worse.

He is watching the economic, political circus in the US and saying a second payer.

These two events have shoved Syria, at least for now, from the top of the news headlines and both events have the potential to keep Assad on " page two.. below the fold line, for several days if not longer.

Assad could not have chosen a better time to thumb the AL in the eye over the
" Observer" issue.

The AL will simply not have time to deal with Assad's attitude while Egypt is burning.

Iran:

Like Syria, Iran could not have had events in Egypt happen at a better time.

Some might say Iran may have even had a hand in the flair up, but I'm not sold on that theory.

The MB is not known for working with Iran on " Distraction" concepts.. far from it!!!!

The Saber Rattling by Israel over the past week is noticed far and wide.

Would the Israelis decide when to or when not to attack Iran's operations based on the events taking place in Egypt?

Probably not, but it has to be a factor in the " go... no go" review.

As I have said before.. the issue between Iran and Israel is not if Israel decides to attack.... but if Iran determents Israel is going to attack.. really believes it's going to happen.

The whole Middle East and North Africa moves based on " perception" right now.

The GCC:

Yemen should be the topic they are working on the most, but it's not and will not be for sometime to come... that's good news for the current leadership in Yemen.

The GCC and the AL are closely linked and the topics of Iran, Israel.... Syria... Egypt is more than they can collectively handle.

What would be interesting to see is what is taking place between the AL.. GCC and Turkey...

Can the GCC and the AL risk letting the Ottoman's be the deciders of events in Syria?

Can the two of them allow Turkey to make the " deals" with Russia " others" on what should happen in Syria?

Ah... the days of sitting around and dragging on the Shisha pipe are long gone.

When you want to play " world leader".. when you want to demand "respect". the leisure time all but disappears.

It's what the leadership of Saudi learned years ago....

"Let the West pump the oil and worry about the oil... we will just sit in the piles of money"!