ATTACKS IN ISRAEL AND AN UPDATE ON SYRIA:

Sometimes timing is everything and today’s attacks in Israel is a classic example.

If tensions were not so high right now, the attacks of today, as dramatic as they were, would have not run the chance of exploding into something far more serious.

I’m not convinced this event will lead to such an action, but any slipup right now and the whole situation could get out of hand fast.

I am convinced the attack was a message to Egypt and Israel.

The Terror units operating out of the Sinai are capable of acting whenever they like.

The Egyptian movement into the Sinai this week to deal with these groups probably lead to them making the statement they did today.

It tells Israel Egypt will have a far more difficult time securing the Sinai than Egypt is willing to admit.

Already today there was a call for Israel to review the security measures along the border with Egypt.

If that was the intent of this attack, and I think it was, then the groups got just the reaction they were looking for.

The IDF attacks into Gaza are as predictable as any action in the Middle East.

The fact that an Operational leader was actually killed in the attack on Gaza tells me the IDF keeps their target sets “ eyes on” probably at all times and simply waits to get the green light to hit them.

Bottom line; the events of today are critical not just because of the deaths and severity of the attacks, anti tank weapons again against a bus, but the whole area is on pins and needles.

Any event can quickly spiral into a major issue.

Syria:

I think I read this analogy four or five times today about Assad; “ A day late and a dollar short”.

After you utilize field artillery, tanks and  helicopter gunships against your own public, it’s a little reticules to announce “ reforms”.

The odds of the UN pushing Crimes against Humanity charges are probably on the horizon for Assad.

The  US President’s call for Assad to leave is more of a sequential process than an open statement.

The pressure of such a statement is placed on Russia and China.

They both know they are more and more placing themselves on the wrong side of this event.

The President’s statement will have been well coordinated with the Turkish government and perhaps even the Arab League.  

Here we go again!

The question still remains; what will Iran do about Assad?

If we see follow on attacks from the Sinai or other areas, we may have the answer, as unfortunate as that answer would be.