Monday, December 19, 2016



RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR ATTACKED IN TURKEY. A GAME CHANGER FOR THE KURDS?


 Ambassador Karlov was reportedly shot today in Turkey. How this will impact the Russian, Tukey relationship will play out over the next few days, but both sides will have their version of what it means to them.
For the Turks, they will blame the Kurds, regardless of what factional name you may want to give them. To the Turks, the Kurds are the Kurds!
For the Russians, well, it could be a game changer. Upfront, the blame will go to the “Terrorist” the US / West supports, according to the Russians. Blaming the Kurds is harder for the Russians given the Russian support to the Kurds.  Tell the West, “look what you have done”, that is a much better message for the Tsar to pound the table with.
So, the Turks blame the Kurds and the Russians blame the Sunni Radicals, “Terrorist”.  With both sides painting such a rosy picture of their rekindled love, it will be interesting to see whose story gets to stay the lead answer.
One thing is for sure, Egodan will cease this event as yet another battle cry to move against just about any Kurdish organization you can find an acronym for.
In the last few days of the Obama administration, don’t look for anything more than, “We deplore this cowardly act and..so on….and so on…!!!
As for Trump, now that is the key. What changes to the conversation take place? The conversation on what to do with Syria and what to do about the Terrorist groups attached to the sectarian war between the Sunni and the Shia?
Finally. Look for the difference between when a US Ambassador is murdered and when one of the Tsar’s is shot. If Karlov lives or dies is not the issue. The Tsar is a man who doesn’t take such things lightly. The payback will come at some point. 

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