Thursday, July 19, 2012


























THE TEMPO IN THE MIDDLE EAST SPEEDS UP!!

Here are three quick issues that will give you a good snapshot of where
things in the region stand as of today.

1.  Look at this story and remember the events in Syria set the tone for
events in Lebanon.

Half of Lebanon is cheered for  the bombing in Damascus, while the  current
Lebanese government condemned the bombing.

Hezbollah is in far greater trouble than most realize and that is a real
danger.

Remember; Iran cannot accept the loss of Hezbollah and Syria.



2.  The Syrian government is trying to shape a information campaign that
gets the people of Damascus ready for witnessing uniformed members fighting
uniformed members.

This could be an indication of just how saver the defection issue has
become.

The lack of well planned counter attacks might be the result of Assad's
military commanders trying to determine what units can be trusted?

It also takes time to execute a " counter strike", especially  when you are caught off guard.

The problem with telling the public they may see uniformed members
assaulting their neighborhoods, besides the fact the public in Damascus
probably no longer believes anything the government tells them, becomes they
don't know who to trust.

To put it in more simplistic terms, the people of Damascus can no longer tell who is a good guy and who is bad guy and even that depends on what side you are on!

That is a recipe for true, uncontrollable panic; the type of panic that
creates a mass exodus and thus a refugee issue for Jordan, Turkey and
Israel.


3.  Israel did not take the "bait" on the bus bombing.

Notice Netanyahu immediately placed the blame on Iran not just Hezbollah!

Israel understands all too well Iran's plan to have Israel attack "Arabs"
not Iran, thus giving Iran what it thinks would be the support of the Arab
world!!

It will not work, but a plan Iran has never the less.

If Iran is looking for an Israeli overreaction to an attack, it will have to
have its proxy strike again.

My bet is they will.


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The Middle East has become the classic example of events moving far faster
than intelligence and leadership can keep up with.

Everyone is behind the power curve right now and events will drive the
region.

The UN plan for Syria is dead... big surprise.

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