Tuesday, September 27, 2016


















HILLARY CLINTON AND DONALD TRUMPS “OTHER” CHALLENGES.



Yesterday, I finished my review of what both US Candidates will face from two real, external threats to the US.  As scary as that two part conversation was, the possibilities of other significant events taking place are more than just real. They are going to happen.   
So, what other significant challenges from outside the US will a Hillary or Donald administration face and what impact will their differing approaches create?
Now, just when you might think this next conversation will not involve the previous two key players, the Dragon and the Tsar, just remember, no international event takes place without a reaction / influence from these two. Truth be known, some of the topics I will cover are most likely already in the Dragon and Tsar’s play book; especially the Tsar. Proxy events. That is what I am referring to. But, even it’s not a “proxy event”, you can bet the two key players will shape the issue once it is known.
North Korea:
An interesting topic as it falls into the category of both a proxy event and a true crazy eddy that in reality not even the Dragon or the Tsar can be assured of the outcome.
So, how might the North Korean issue impact the Clinton or Trump administration? Has the Little Madman designed his own, “first hundred day” event / challenge for the new US President and if so, does anyone know about it?
Does it matter to him who wins? Probably not!
This mentally unstable child has one goal on his mind and the difference between Hillary and Donald may not even exist in his eyes. His goal is to force the West to respect him and the nation he rules. His will to obtain this respect is without question the single thing that makes him dangerous. Is he capable of instigating a war on the Korean Peninsula? Yes.
 Do his military Commander understand that? Yes.
Could they be leveraged to prevent this from happening if they truly believed it was going to take place? Yes!
Does Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump understand that? I doubt it! Will they have people around them that can map out such a possible course of action in a crisis? Only, if someone on the team knows who to pick.  You have to know this is an option before you can chose the right people to build the plan.
The North Korean issue is not going to go away anytime soon. The US knows that, the Russians know that and the Chinese know it. Doing a dirty deal with key North Korean military leaders has to be a plan of ether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. Both are well versed in the art of “dirty deals”, but do they understand how to pick the right people to put such a dirty deal together? 
The North Korean issue will not be pushed to the sidelines over the issue of trade. The little madman in North Korea is not interested in what is good for the Tsar or the Dragon. He does understand he needs friends, but being ready to portray their wishes or just ignore those same friends, well, that is a challenge that Hillary or Donald will have to come to terms with. Here is the last takeaway on the topic of North Korea. Although the Tsar and the Dragon have a history of manipulating North Korea, their current leader doesn’t cotton well to being told what to do or even given advice on the topic of his relationship with the West.
Bottom line; North Korea is an issue that is running out of time. How ironic the can her husband kicked down the road in 1994 has come rolling up to her doorstep!  
As for Trump. Well, he needs to be careful in what he says and how he says it. Words mean something to the little madman in North Korea. My advice to Trump; when it comes to the topic of North Korea, saying less is better. He will need to sit down with his Casino buddy and see if the Tsar is willing to build a joint answer to the North Korean event. That may not make the Dragon happy, but then again, the Dragon may come to the table as well. It’s not like China has the best interest of North Korea on its list of priorities. Leverage the Tsar’s desire to work with Trump. That is a plan that might just work.
The Middle East:
Does Hillary repair the US’s relationship with the GCC members, most notably, the Saudis?
Does Donald?
Make no doubt about it, the relationship was severely damaged over the past eight years. Yes, I know, many currently believe that “relationship” should be ended or greatly reduced, but before you vote for continuing this reduction, think about the concept of “vacuum”?
The Middle East is now fragmented to a point that is unprecedented since it’s reconstruction at the end of World War I.  By the way, I’ve said this before and I will say it again. The borders and reflagging that took place in the Middle East was doomed from the day the papers were signed.
The nations in the region are unbalanced and desperate to forge new alliances! The vacuum issue is center stage in this conversation.
Rumor is, the Saudi, Hillary relationship is far more stable than the current US administration. How might a Hillary Clinton administration approach the Middle East? To say, “it can’t be any worse than what is taking place now” is inaccurate. The Tsar’s vision now involves the region and having Hillary Clinton show up and place pressure on that vision, well, that will have repercussions.  Changing the course of the US’s relationship with the Middle East will not execute according to plan. The Russians are there and they have no intention of leaving.
What is Donald Trump’s vision for the Middle East? Does he really have one? How will he address the issue of Syria, Turkey, and Iran? To be fair, the same list holds true for Hillary, but right now, I’m addressing “The Donald”!
I understand he truly believes a few retired Generals will pave the way for his policy in the region, but I would also warn him, many of the mistakes in the region were designed by Generals! Simply saying, “ I have some great Generals working the issue”, that’s not going to bring closure to the issue. The problems in the region are far more complex than that answer provides. Let me give you a hint at my theme here. Trump is going to have to sit down with someone and figure this whole regional crisis out. He is going to have to do that with the quiet support of the leader of the GCC and the Nation of Israel. He is going to have to have this “meeting” and make it very clear to the Ottoman Sultan, the future of the region is not for the Ottomans to decide.
Yes, he is going to have to sit with the Tsar!
Someone tell me again why it is so terrible that Trump continues to talk to issue of working with Putin?
Does he need to overlook some of the actions of the Tsar, such as the Tsar having his chief political rival murdered just outside the Kremlin? My response? Really? Should I make you a list of the despots and murders the US has “worked with”?
Okay, two more areas defined. North Korea and the Middle East.

Tomorrow, let me take a shot at a few nether Hillary or Donald  may be able to impact with two of them leading to real, worldwide calamity.  

Monday, September 26, 2016



HILLARY OR DONALD. THE FIRST HUNDRED DAYS FROM THE EYES OF THE ENEMY.


The typical discussions of what may take place in, “the first hundred days” will undoubtedly come up within days of the US election being held. The other “typical” issue with these discussions is the fact that most of the topics are, well, typical! The Relationship with the House. The relationship with Congress. The Economic policies of the new administration and so on and so on and so on! Some of the experts may even touch on the topic of how might the US’s enemies “test” the new President. The problem becomes when these “experts” cover such a topic for the sake of making sure the covered all their bases. “Economic issues” Check. “Relationship with the House”. Check. “Discussion about the US’s enemies” Check!
Once all the “checks” have been achieved by the “experts” you might want to see if they ever really said anything of value.  Here is the issue, most of these “experts” whip up a great editorial or a few spicy comments for the major networks, but do they really do any homework on what the enemies of the US may actually have planned for the person who has won? Short answer. No!
Last night, I reviewed the major issues that both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will face from both the Tsar and the Dragon.  As I had previously stated, you can bank on the fact that both of these countries will have anticipated their major issues with both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. How will they respond? What will the initial interaction be based upon? These are the questions the “experts” may address, but to what level becomes the question. 
Just in case the “experts” don’t get this part of the typical post-election process right, let me take a shot at the issue.
Donald Trump’s first hundred days with the Tsar:
Is the highly anticipated love affair actually going to take place? It’s the story the US Democratic Party has been telling for weeks now. Could it actually come true? Could Donald Trump and the Tsar Become friends? Let me do what many academic “experts” love to do. Let me answer that question with a question.
Does it matter?
Or, how about, “what would it hurt”?
I’m still puzzled how the same party that came up with the concept of a “Reset Button” is now trying everything in its power to terrorize the American Public by painting a picture of Donald and Vlad!
Will the first hundred days of a Trump / Putin relationship really be a bad thing for the US? Hint, it may be a bad thing for those who have counted on the anti-American stance in the Middle East! It may be a bad thing for those that don’t carry their load when it comes to paying the bills for NATO.  It may even be bad news for the progressive governments in Europe, for what little time they have left themselves.
Yes, the first hundred days of a Donald Trump administration may bring about a whole new course with the US and Russia. Before anyone in the US panics, let’s wait to see what actually takes place.

Donald Trump’s fist hundred days with the Dragon:
Well, here is where the wheels could come off the Donald Trump wagon. Most of the people who are going to vote, at least I hope most of them, in the upcoming election are well aware of Trumps drumbeat on the issue of fair trade with China. For Trump to not address the issue of trade with China in the first one hundred days of his administration would be a disaster. His rise to power was based on being a nonpolitical, nonconformist candidate and for him to step into the White House and suddenly start saying the typical political backtrack lines like, “this issue is far more complicated than many realize”. You see, that is code for, “I lied to my base during the campaign trail”! Do that and within the first one hundred days of his presidency, he is already just like all the rest of them. If this takes place, the US Democratic Party will foam at the mouth!
What will the Dragon’s priority be for a Donald Trump administration? The Masters of detailed planning will start the relationship based on what event?
Here is what Donald Trump better hope for. He better hope the first real test of his relationship with the Dragon is based on the South China Sea crisis and not economic trade!  Remember, the Chinese don’t buy the fair trade rhetoric nearly as much as some of the “experts” think they will. In the end, they now nobody in the US wants a 1500 dollar IPhone. They love cheap labor in China. They love items that are made from sweatshops full of underpaid poor people. Both US parties love low labor cost and the desire to wreck that relationship is not going to take center stage, not from the Dragon’s viewpoint.
Trumps pressure will be based on “Fair-trade”. The Dragon’s will not!
Who will decide what the first hundred days with Dragon look like? The Dragon will.
The issue will be the South China Sea. The issue will be, “where do you stand on this Mr. President and do you understand just how serious we are on the topic”? 
Here is the scary part. A Trump administration may want to avoid all the promises made on the campaign trail, but are they going to be ready for the Test? The real test? The South China Sea crisis will be on the table from day one!
Hillary Clinton’s first hundred days with the Tsar:
If you are a US citizen or you  live in Europe, the day after the US election is over is the day the Tsar’s plan for Hillary, whatever it may be, will go into motion. Something tells me, he may not wait that long. He may set events into motion that she must deal with from day one! What events you may ask? Well, he has a few very ugly options that would impact Europe and or the Middle East. He is not going to give her a minutes rest. He doesn’t like her. He doesn’t respect her and he doesn’t trust her. There has even been a persistent rumor, one the Tsar believes and that is all that matters, that Hillary Clinton would work to see the Tsar fall from power! Now, let me stop here for a minute. If anyone reading this can think of something more dangerous for the safety of the world than the Putin thinking the next US leader is out to remove him, then I would like to know what that event is.
Will the Tsar wait for Hillary Clinton to shape the US’s relationship with Russia? No way in Hell!
Will the Tsar be prepared to push her to the limits from day one? I would bank on it.
The first one hundred days of a Hillary Clinton Presidency will not come easy if the Tsar has anything to say about it. This could truly be a dangerous time.
Hillary Clinton’s fist hundred days with the Dragon:
Without the fireworks of campaign rhetoric built on bashing the Dragon over Fair-trade, it might seem Hillary’s firs one hundred days with the Dragon might be much less tenuous than that of Trumps.  Well, that might sound plausible, but for one important detail. Hillary Clinton is seen as the “Hawk” of the two Candidates and her views on the South China Sea’s issue are well known.
Does a Hillary Clinton administration need to push the issue of the South China Seas? No.
Might she have to convince those in the region, facing the breath of the Dragon, where she stands on the issue? The odds are that will take place before she walks back into the White House.  Has she communicated with the nations of the region where she stands on the issue and does that stance differ from what she has said on the campaign trail? We may not know, but don’t underestimate the capabilities of the Dragon’s intelligence in the region. It is very possible they know if there is a difference between her campaign words and her conversations with regional leadership. I just hope her real understanding of secured communications is better than she has let the American people believe.
How will her first one hundred days with the Dragon go? It’s hard to tell.
The Dragon is not one to typically “test the waters”. If they have done their homework, intelligence homework, like I believe they have, they already know where she stands!  By the way, I hope she understand “delete” is not a problem for the Dragon’s team!
Tomorrow, I will take a hack at the other issues that might impact a Hillary / Donald Presidency and I won’t stick to the first one hundred days.   

  

Sunday, September 25, 2016



US ELECTION CHALLENGES: THE DRAGON, THE TSAR, AND THE SULTAN. WHO IS THE RIGHT CHOICE?
I’m not in the habit of posting purely political conversations and the good news is, I’m not going to start now! But, the pending US election is more than just critical to the future of an unbalanced world. It has the potential to set into motion a series of events that not even the US would be able to prevent from dragging the world further in to crisis.
Before I travel down this “who is the best person to face the challenges of the US’s interaction with the rest of the world” path, let me do a few simple scene setters.
In 2009, the US, a war weary nation after eight years of conflict following September 11th 2001, decided to elect an individual not based upon his ability balance the needs of the US with what was taking place in the rest of the word, but upon raw emotional feelings! Yes, the fact of the matter is, the US placed a person in the most powerful position in the world based on “feeling good” about voting for that person.
Was this the right person at the time to place in the White House? Well, as many seem to think today, there probably was a “right person” at that time as well.
“We need to sign it and then read it”, was the mentality of the US and the party that was in power at the time of this election. It seemed the rhythm was, don’t worry if it makes sense, it feels good!
In 2009 the US President began what many dubbed, “the world apology tour”! At that moment in time, very few understood the global repercussion of the US suddenly turning off the concept of American Exceptionalism.  The law of Second and Third Oder Effects and or The Law of Unintended Consequences were not on the radar of the White House or the party in power. Some spoke of the vacuum the US President was creating, but those words did not resonate with the rest of the nation who was waiting to see who the big name was going to be on Dancing with the Stars. Yes, the US population was clueless about its own future and the impact it would have on the world.
So, scene setter number one:   The Death of American Exceptionalism.
Earlier, I mentioned the vacuum effect, so let me explain, but not drag this scene setter too far out.
Once it was established the US was going to pull back from being a world leader, that it was going to become an “equal partner”, those that had no intention of being an “equal” set into motion plans, both hastily designed and well designed, to take advantage of the US withdraw!  
How the US administration could have possible come to the conclusion there would be no vacuum and somehow everything would become some utopic “group think”, well, I’m afraid the historians a hundred years from now will depict this whole journey as the beginning of the end for the US. You see, once you arbitrarily decide to leave the world stage, you don’t retain the right to just walk back on to it when you like.
As I mentioned, the vacuum was filled predominately by two groups. Those who had a plan and those who quickly came up with one. Here are the examples.
The Tsar: He had a preexisting plan and he is still driving towards its outcome. A plan that is so emotional to him that it’s derailing could plunge the world into war. (Remember this when I get to the topic of the current US Candidates).  
The Dragon / China! Now, there is a plan that is a thousand times more complex than the Tsar’s and one this was designed long before the 2009 world tour began. Yes, the Chinese anticipated an apology tour.  The individual passion behind this post US world dominance plan was not and is not anywhere near the level of the Tsar’s, but’s the desire to see fruition is every bit as dangerous as the Tsar’s plan. “Death by a thousand cuts”.
Okay, here is an example of a “quick plan”. It’s no mystery that Egodan / The Sultan/ believes he is the power figure that will bring the Ottoman Empire back to thrown with authority  of  the whole Middle East, with the exception of Israel, an Allie he needs but doesn’t want to talk about. His anger over the Europe’s viewpoint towards the Turks has infuriated the Sultan for years. Without the Turkish military, the European militaries would have to double / triple their manpower commitment to NATO. Yep, Turkey was cheap labor and the US paid for the equipment. Europe sat fat and happy and wouldn’t give the Turk’s any share in the economic growth coming from the EU. So, this set his anger, but his anger and resentment didn’t equate into a “plan”.  Egodan did not design the new Ottoman Empire plan until after the Middle East began to fall apart. By 2011, he began to understand that with the US walking away from any organized strategy for the region and Europe being frightened to death about the Human wave that may come from a region in crisis, not to mention Africa, he began to see the “vacuum” and how he could propel the Ottoman Empire back into modern history. As complex as the Dragon? Not even close. As compassionate as the Tsar’s plan? Close, but then again, the Tsar’s plan and the Sultan’s plan didn’t match up and that would lead to two major power leaders edging towards conflict. Reminder here; you can’t leave the stage and then try to walk back on later down the road. This is exactly what the US has done when it comes to Turkey. In the end, the Sultan’s plan was poorly thought out, but full of emotional power with a mentally unstable planner.
These are just three examples of plans based upon the vacuum created by the death of American Exceptionalism. Many others are out there as well and some of the most dangerous ones could very well be the very ones the US is not paying attention to.
So, scene setter number two: The Vacuum planners!
Okay. So the world was changed by the sudden change in philosophy held by the US and some where more than happy to this change take place. Some, where and still are in a dead panic of the whole eight year journey. 
The undeniable fact is this. The world was not made a better place by losing its most senior Adult figure. The world family was not ready for this departure and the events of the past eight years are a clear indication of that fact.  
Can the US “walk back on to the stage”?
In just a few weeks, the US will elect their next leader. The leader who will inherit eight years of the apology tour.  Eight years of wanting just to be a member of the team, not the team leader. A team that was simply not ready for their leader to walk away.
No. the answer is no! The US cannot walk back on to the world stage with Presidential hand waving!  Some won’t listen and some will do everything in their power to keep that from taking place to include conflict. Yes, a few would welcome the encore, but not to the level that it would bring about a successful comeback.  So, no, it won’t work.
If it won’t work, then what is the real value of this pending election?
Who is the best option for the US and who is the best option for the rest of the world?
I’ve heard the media and the talking heads babble as they think they are addressing these issues.
Here is reality they simply don’t want to come to terms with.  There is no such thing as, “the rest of the world”.  The world is so fragmented, so self-serving that only a Passive, liberal, ideological fool would talk in terms of “The World”! That was a song thirty years ago! The “world Opinion” of one candidate in the US, ether one, doesn’t exist! There is NO WORLD OPINION!
If you accept there is no such thing as a world opinion, then the next logical question may be, “who is the best candidate for the important issues in the world”? A question that at its core value comes down to, “who is best for the US from the US’s viewpoint”? Well imagine that. A concern by US citizens that is not based upon “World Opinion”!
What really should matter to the US voters? Well, here is my opinion and it’s an opinion based upon a somewhat negative opinion of both candidates.
Who can do the most harm to the US? Now, before US readers fly off the handle with the standard party line response, regardless of what party you are affiliated with, let me just say, think before you answer.  Challenge yourself to see if you are truly aware of what the dangers are to you and your country? Who can do the US the most harm? That is my first question to you.

Hillary Clinton and the Tsar:
What is the relationship between the Tsar and Hillary Clinton? If you guessed poor to dangerous, you are correct. You see, back when she and the current President of the US came up with the laughable, “reset button” plan,  both of them never stopped to understand something about nation state interactions. Nations that are not getting along are like couples who are not getting along. Just because one decides to change their ways, that doesn’t mean the other side does. You can damage a relationship to the point it will not work. A partner can just decide they no longer need you. The reset button concept was location stop for the World Apology Tour and Hillary was the Tour Manager!
Does the Tsar have a willingness to change his vision for Mother Russia based upon Hilary coming to power in the US? No!
Does the Tsar respect her? No!
Does he fear her? No!
Those two answers are a very dangerous combination!
Hillary is seen as a Hawk to her own party and undoubtedly, she will have a different approach to those who snub her than her old Boss. Will this make the Tsar change his ways? No!   
To the Tsar, Hillary is part of the Word Apology Tour and that makes her weak. Suddenly showing up and depicting herself as an Alpha Female, well, that’s not going to impact the Tsar. If you are a supporter of hers, I’m sorry, but that is reality. She is weak in his eyes and she will not be able to change that.
Why is that important?  Think about it. What happens when someone gets upset with being labeled weak, soft, scared and they don’t like it or worse yet, they are embarrassed in front of others? Yep, they overreact! They strike out or respond is someway that is unplanned and poorly thought out.
Bottom line. Can Hillary Clinton deal with the methodical, calculating KGB trained head of a nuclear nation? Can she do this post American Exceptionalism, an event she lead the charge on?


  Hillary Clinton and the Dragon:
What is Hillary Clinton’s ability to keep the US safe from the actions of the Dragon? Strangely enough, the world apology tour did not take place with the Dragon. As a matter of fact, the only time the current US administration seemed to have an “In your face” attitude was with the Dragon! “Back to the Pacific”! A concept that astounded me the day I head of it. Who in Washington DC briefed the US President that the US had ever left the Pacific? A question some are still asking. Anyway, Hillary Clinton’s interaction when she was Secretary of State with the Chinese was not as noteworthy as the Reset Button blunder with the Tsar. So, can she solve the South China Sea crisis? By the way, if you think the events taking place in the South China Sea do not rise to the level of a crisis, then you need to read what the Chinese press and bloggers are putting out. Trust me. The South China Sea control issue ranks up there as one of the top two threats to armed conflict.
What is the Dragon’s opinion of Hillary Clinton? What is there perception of her? Has anyone in the US bothered to find out or are they just going to let give some 30 sec answer during one of the debates and that is if the question even comes up! Here is what I will tell you and I will say it again when I look at the other candidate. The one thing every US citizen can count on is the fact the Dragon has designed a “plan” for her becoming President. They have designed a plan in case Donald Trump wins as well. This is what they do and they do it better than anyone in the world. They plan. The plan to a degree unmatched in the world of nation state relations.
So, the final answer on the issue of Hillary and the Dragon could be this. We will have to wait to see once she wins the election.  That my friends is just how complex the Dragon really is!
So, the two issue that could truly endanger the future of the US are identified. The Tsar and the Dragon. Now I know the Sultan and others might be resentful they were not factored into the discussion, but the fact of the matter is, they can’t end the US as a nation. They can impact it, but they can’t completely alter the future of the US, at least not yet!

Donald Trump and the Tsar:
When I first heard Donald Trump was once again going to play like he was running for the Presidency of the US, I thought to myself,” here comes another one of his stunts”. Like most, I thought this was not even worth paying attention to. Then it happened, it dawned on me what was taking place. For years the US conservative talk shows had ranted about the uprising of the “backbone of the nation”! Several years of constant conversation on the issue of the US  Republican Party not living up to the promises that had been made. Countless stories of the arrogance of the leadership of that party, virtually ignoring the wishes of the very people who supported them, voted for them.  That is what I had been hearing and that now seemed to be coming to an explosive conclusion. By the time the US Republican party realized what was going on, the damage was done. The confidence of their supporters was weakened to the point they could not carry the day. Trump was one of the first ones to realize the change that was taking place in the US and I’m not sure the US public should have been surprised by that given his straight forward approach to addressing issues. At the end of the day, when the dust settled, it was clear part of the US population was tired of the same old political cycle. Change. It was not planned. It was not anticipated, but for the US, it is now reality. A percentage of the nation felt so alienated that they have turned to a new form of political leadership. Donald Trump! A Billionaire Businessman who speaks before he thinks!  
As the US has sat and pondered this phenomenal rise to power of Donald Trump, an event that could very well end with him in the White House, it’s important to objectively look at what this means to the one man who also has a rather popular backing and is known for getting his way. Yep. The Tsar.
It’s been said that the Tsar and Donald Trump “know each other”. Donald Trump has talked about “meeting him” in the past. So, how much do they really know each other? Hillary Clinton’s supporters would have the world believe that Donald Trump is practically a Special Agent under the Tsar’s rule. Donald Trump would have the US citizens believe he talked to the Tsar once.  As for me, let me stick to the facts. Facts that can be used to draw your own conclusions with.
Donald Trump was in the Casino business.
The Russian Mob was and is in the Casino business and the Russian Mob is controlled by the Tsar.
The Casino business. A global business. How many global businesses do you know of that do not have a working knowledge of each other when they are both in the same line of work? Does that mean Donald Trump had “meetings” with the Tsar? No. Does that mean that they both understood this shady business and those who were involved in it? Yes. Donald Trumps ability to gather information, intelligence to some of us, on a global scale is unmeasured. But, you can rest assured knowledge is power in the business world and that holds true for the Casino Business!
Does the Tsar respect Donald Trump? Yes. Why shouldn’t he. He was and is a ruthless businessman who goes after what he wants and doesn’t mind breaking a few rules getting there. A trait the Tsar admires. Bottom line, Donald can be ruthless and that gets the Tsar’s respect.
Do they like each other? Short answer, irrelevant. Both of them are not in the business of making decisions based on liking someone.
Does the Tsar see Donald Trump as a threat to the Master Plan for Mother Russia? That will depend on who Donald Trump listens to and surrounds himself with. You can bet the Tsar has dusted off the Donald Trump files and has already started planning for what alterations he may have to make to his Master Plan based upon Donald walking into the White House.  Have a plan… always have a plan. A KGB truism the Tsar will apply to both Hillary and Donald.
Here is the most important question?  When it comes to the Tsar,  will a Donald Trump administration be less dangerous for the US than a Hillary administration?  Yes. Look at one factor besides the personality attributes. Look at Trumps opinion of NATO and Europe. Could the Tsar get better news than to hear Donald Trump say the US’s involvement with NATO may have to be ‘reviewed”? It so upset many of the traditionalist in both US parties that it lead to the Democrats ventrally labeling Trump as a Russian Agent!
What will be the relationship between a Trump administration and the Tsar? One thing is for sure. It will not be as controversial as a Clinton option.
Will Trump conform, given in to economic, military, political pressures when it comes to the Russians? Who knows? Logic show he would, but then again, what has been logical about the whole Trump event?
Donald Trump and the Dragon:
Well, if the scorecard so far looks something like this, Trump on Russian up by one, then the next category may end up as the equalizer.
From day one, Donald Trump’s drumbeat on trade imbalance has been the key to his rise to power.  It’s one of the issues that frightens the US Democratic Party the most. Blue collar, white America has been the breadbasket for the Democratic Party for over a hundred years. But in the last ten years, as the Democrats observed the demographic trends in the US, they seem to have made a conscious decision to move away from the Blue Collar Whites and concentrate on other future trends in voting. Like it or not, Donald Trump has ceased on this issue and now threatens to take away a large enough slice of the old baseline that the Democrats have woken up to panic in some of the swing states.
What message is Donald Trump selling that angers the Dragon? Trade and the injustices of that trade world.
Is that a realistic argument? Well, to a laborer in the US it is and that is who Trump is after. So, does the statement have to make business sense? When has that ever impacted a US Politician’s stance?
Does the threat of making the Chinese and the rest of the trading world play on a level field worry the Chines? Not as much as you might think. Here is why. About two years ago, the Chines began to deliberate economic shift from exportation to internal consumption. Not a great leap, but a gradual ever increasing change that had several, internal desired outcomes for the Chines government. Short answer, more and more, things made in China are being made to sell in China.
If you factor in this movement towards internal consumption in China with the stark reality of the typical US citizen not understanding what would happen, at least in the short term, by placing Trump’s threatened tariffs on imported goods, you would see at least the Chines are not too worried about campaign trial promises.  Here is the interesting part. Trump is a very good businessman so even he knows this is nothing more than campaign trail talk and that makes him sound like a normal US politician, something those who have moved towards him don’t want to see.
How will Donald Trump react to the issue of the South China Sea crisis? This is a far more important topic to the Chinese than trade imbalances and tariffs campaign speeches.  It will be interesting to see if the topic comes up in one of the debates, but my guess is, Donald Trump’s response will be along the lines of, “we need to figure this out. We need to come to some understanding”. He will not beat the war drum and that will be even more peculiar given that is exactly what Hillary Clinton may do. Remember, her goal is to show the US audience on the issue of international threats to the US that she is a Hawk! I know…I know….it’s like this whole US election cycle is turned upside down?
So, as the end of the day. The Chinese are looking for a Donald Trump campaign to talk big on trade and then, after they win, do what every US politician does, change from what they said, to they need to do.  It’s the issue of the South China Sea lanes that will hold the Dragon’s interest and that will take place after the election.
Like with the Hillary Clinton wrap up, the Runner-ups for future interaction with the US simply didn’t rise to the level of true threat to the US existence. I will come back in the next few days and talk to the other issues this election will impact, but the Tsar and the Dragon are the only two that can end the US having the next election.
P.S. Notice I didn’t give an overall scorecard!
That is for each of the US voters to decide. What worries me is how much energy will the typical US voter will put into finding the facts. 

Oh ya.. Football was on today so most of my readers of this post will be in other parts of the world!

I rest my case. 

Thursday, September 22, 2016



CHARLOTTE AND THE DANGER OF PERCEPTION MANAGEMENT.


Simple question tonight.
Are the law enforcement shooting events in the US being weaponized by the  adversaries of the US?
Short answer. Yes!  
Next logical question how?
That answer is a little more complex.  Look at this article from Sputnik.com. https://sputniknews.com/us/20160922/1045606546/charlotte-national-guard-arrives.html
As you read this, I must remind you that if you think CNN or FOX are slanted, Sputnik makes the two of them look like professional journalism. As I have stated before, Sputnik is a mouthpiece for the Tsar and there is no arguing that fact. It’s as much a government controlled agency as any news outlet in the old Soviet Union.
So, what is the purpose of Sputnik shaping the story of the events in Charlotte?
Why does Charlotte matter to Sputnik? Simple, because it matters to the Tsar.  If anyone understands the power of social media and just how crafted information can be weaponized, it’s Putin.  He fears social media in Mother Russia and he crushes any attempt to use it against his master plan, but at the same time, he fully supports using it against those who oppose him.
Why does Charlotte matter to him or to any of the other adversaries of the US?
Because it’s easy to take a scripted lie, posted on social media by someone at the scene of an event and support that lie inside the media machine designed to paint Russia in a superior position.
Is this scripted message just for the consumption of those outside the US?
No.
That’s only part of the play.
The real target here is social disruption inside the US.
Are the US’s advisories trying to promote social disorder in the US?
Yes!
Why?
What does the Tsar gain from social disorder in the US?
Before I answer that one, let me give a little history quiz.
What agency was responsible for promoting social unrest in the US back in the 60s and early 70s?
If you answered the KGB, you win the prize!
Back to the answer. A US distracted with internal crisis is far less likely to be proactive in preventing events the Tsar or “others” may be trying to execute. If you wish, you can insert the Dragon and the South China Sea right about here.
Are there events taking place in the US that are giving their adversaries ample ammunition to attack the US over?
Yes.
So, what’s the answer? What’s the counter measure the US can contemplate?
Now, that’s a hard one and at this moment in time, the US has very few options. You see, the US government, like most Western governments, has no real concept of dealing with fabricated stories posted on the web within minutes of an event.
To make it simple again, the US is failing at countering this scripted messaging that is not only taking place internally, but externally.
How much damage is being done to the credibility of the US over these events?
Well, to the US adversaries, the concept is more along the lines of, “Death by a thousand cuts”!
Continuing to paint the US as an unbalanced, decaying nation is a slow process, but it’s a process that is having an impact. 
P.S. I am a firm believer that every law enforcement member in the US should wear a body camera. In fact make them all live feeds you can pick and choose on a website. Show every serious event as soon as you can and then charge those who distort or out and out lie about what took place!
Oh, by the way, for every US Politician or political activist who is demanding “justice”, they should pass a law that says every politician must wear a live feed web camera! Every meeting, every working lunch. If they are “working” then it’s live.

Just imagine if every city councilman, Mayor, Chief of Police, local, state and federal political member had to show everything they talk about or agree to. Now that would be reality TV at its apex!  

Wednesday, September 21, 2016



AHMAD KHAN RAHAMI, “WAS NOT A THREAT”? I SEE A PATTERN HERE.


One very disturbing feature of this latest event in the US has to be the fact  that once again, the individual was “known”. 
Let’s cut to the chase on this whole issue and it’s a chase that has come up time and time again.
Is it a valid argument when someone states, “The federal government is more worried about being accused of being phobic when it comes to Muslims than it is about stopping the next attack”?
Is the US federal government “soft” on the topic?
As I said, this is not a new argument. It has been taking place for over ten years now.
But, is it valid?
I hate answering this way, I really…..really hate it, but here I go!
Yes and no!
Yes, it’s true the Progressive, liberal mindset of the current US administration is grounded in the belief that compassion is the key to solving all of the world’s problems. A philosophy I find astounding given a large percentage of the liberal, progressive movement is made up of people who don’t place a great deal of stock in organized religion.
This “let’s not upset anyone” attitude, over simplified I know, is a key ingredient in the plotting of this particular enemy. Simply put, the aggressors rely on the federal government being timid on the issue of being a Muslim. As the saying goes, “the best offense is a good defense”. If questioned, simply reply, “are you harassing me because I am a Muslim”?
A reluctant federal government supported by a very liberal media is currently a key ingredient in these attacker being successful. By the way, did anyone notice two nights ago when CNN tired so hard to once again paint ahmad as being “disgruntled…. Upset…..mentally ill? “Was he really ‘radicalized’ or was he just upset with the Police hassling his family”?  Yep, I actually predicted they would take this approach the day before. An easy bet that nobody wanted to take.
Leveraging the current U.S leadership, that is what our enemy has accomplished.
Ok, now for the “NO” answer and I’ll be upfront with you, I’m not sold on this one, but I do follow some of the logic…..some of it!
Can the US afford to investigate everyone lead to the level of detail required? Are the same American Citizens willing to see a much more active Police State than they already have?
Is the US willing to hold every Muslim that travels to the Middle East until they have a sound understanding of what that person was doing?
What size of a force would this take?
How much would it cost?
What liberties would be lost?
The level of dedicated manpower required to give every person of interest a complete investigation would dwarf what programs are currently out there.
Is this an excuse for poor investigative operations? No and to be honest the whole issue of being afraid of accusations must be reevaluated as soon as the elections are over.
Is there a danger in taking a much harder line on this issue of monitoring?
Absolutely!
From day one, some of the most philosophical thinkers behind this insane movement knew one ultimate goal would be to change the way the West acts towards the faith the enemy hides behind.
In the end, is warning, “you can win the battle, but lose the war”?
Can the US become something it didn’t want to become?
Yes.
Here is the scary part.
Does that “change” have to take place?

At what level of attack does the price reach the point that change is the only option? 

Tuesday, September 20, 2016




ATTACK ON THE UN AID CONVOY AND A BLIND DOG!


As I was reading the Russian reaction to the aid convoy attack in Syria, I couldn’t help but come to one conclusion. Sometimes, when you have a scripted answer ready for something that you know will be traced back to you, you need to remember to stick to the story the way you told it the first time.
An age old trick of any Law Enforcement member is to ask someone the same question several times, especially after you have added more information. Did the story change? Did the explanations deviate? If so, then the preverbal, “I thought you said……” takes place!  It’s a timeless approach that has worked for thousands of years and today, it worked again! My question is, how could the Russian fall for the biggest investigative trick in the book?
When first confronted with the accusation of being involved with the attack on the UN aid convoy, the Russian response was along the lines of, “we didn’t do it…..we don’t know what you are talking about”.
Funny, when someone thinks they are about to be caught in criminal act with words like, “War Crime” attached, the propensity  to not hold fast on the story line almost becomes commonplace.
Before the Russian answer of “we didn’t do it” could circle the globe on the web, the next phase of their rebuttal was released and that leads back to my point about being careful to stick to the script.
“We have examined the evidence and have come to the conclusion no ballistic weaponry was used”?
What? So the Russians didn’t bomb the convoy and no ballistic weapons were used?
“It appears the damage came from a fire”?
What? Now that is a great deal of analysis, but then again, Russia is a very advanced nation.
Next up……, “The Terrorist did it”. Again, getting of script. Oh and by the way, the other age old rule of being interviewed by law enforcement applies here as well. “Saying less is always…..always better than saying too much”!!!!! 
Now, before that explanation could be contemplated, the US played the typical law enforcement trick…..yep…..more information……information that didn’t even need to be true!
When the US made the official statement they had data that showed the Russians were involved based on classified flight data gathered over Syria, well, that really got the Russians off balance.  Lord knows they are forever worried about the world thinking the US / West / has superior technology. The US was about to show the world the visual proof of where Russian aircraft were during the attack. It had to be true, they were about to truly expose the fact the Russians did it!!!! That is what the leaders in Moscow were overwhelmed by.
Ok, the story needed to change again and it needed to change quickly.
Hot of the internet press of Sputnik! “The convoy had Terrorist imbedded in its movement”!  This time though, the pictures were Russian in origin and why wouldn’t they be? Does anyone think the Russians would not monitor the convoy as it moved?
It was at this point I realized for the first time in the whole Russian / Syrian involvement the West / US / actually had the Russians off balance! Here is the problem. Did the US realize it? The Russian were actually looking foolish and I had to wonder who was answering to the Tsar because of it?
So, the convoy was trailed / imbedded / with Rebels, Freedom Fighters / Terrorist…it’s all perspective!
Ok, so, who attacked the convoy?
Where the Russians going to say the US did it? Was it a going to be a repeat of last week’s storyline of the attack on the Syrian Army?  
Wait, it’s the Russians who accuse the West / US / of supporting the “Terrorist”?
Why would the US attack the very group they were supporting? Why would they attack the UN aid convoy their Secretary of State had worked so hard to support?
Was the feud between the US pentagon and the US Department of State part of this disaster?
Funny I should mention it that way, given the Russians didn’t think of that pitch, at least until they read this post!
Well, once again the Russian line on the event changed and by now, it was making them looked foolish!
Did the US have proof the Russian were to blame? It could very well be. If something flies over Syria, it’s being watched, recorded, and documented. Yes, that technology bogyman is real!
Assumption time:
The Russians may have told the Syrians to not attack the UN aid convoy and they did it anyway. Barrel bomb out of helicopters, that’s the storyline most experts are going with. Eyewitnesses are key to this part of the story.
So, did the Russians get caught off guard by the very idiot they are backing?
Most likely.
It would explain why a well thought out, scripted storyline could not be followed by Moscow.
If that is true, and the Russians know they have to make a choice between being told they are responsible for an attack on UN relief members and admitting Syria conducted the attack without Russian approval, then the Tsar is going to have to clean this mess up and that will cost someone a great deal.
Let me leave you with two additional even scarier thoughts!
1.       The Russians did know about the attack, even with the repercussions at the UN level. PS… The UN thinks the Russians knew!
2.      The Syrian government did tell the Russians and took uncoordinated action! Assad knows the Tsar well and to think his commanders would put him in that situation, well, we shall see what takes place then.
Finally; here is the most amazing part of this whole story, a story that is lost in the events of yet another Lone Wolf event in the US. 
The Tsar was off his game! The Russians were locked in amateur hour with the whole region watching.
The saddest part of that story is the fact the US is too clueless, too consumed with what Trump or Hillary said today about the bombings in New York, Refugees and what not, that nobody outside a few in the intelligence arena understand the opportunity lost with the Russian debacle.
As the saying goes, even a blind dog finds a bone every once and a while!

Looks like the US didn’t find this one! 

Monday, September 19, 2016



MERKEL AND THE REEMERGENCE OF A GERMANY ALL OF EUROPE FEARS. WELL…ALMOST EVERYONE!

As I was reading the election results from Germany and the comments by their Dreamer in Chief, Merkel, I was once again fascinated by the continuing crisis that is unfolding throughout Europe.
A few days ago, I once again brought up the topic of just how masterfully the Tsar was executing his European realignment plan. By the way, if you are not sold on Mr. Putin being able to manipulate the events taking place in Europe, then you may want to stop here and go read something else.
Merkel’s statement on the migration disaster she has brought about in Germany is just another chapter in the Tsar’s Master Plan. As I stated in the past, the concept of flooding Europe with a human wave from the Middle East, along with a few Terrorist here and there, executed like clockwork. The simultaneous credibility attack on NATO, coupled with the crisis of its second largest military member, Turkey, has pushed the people of Germany away from Merkel’s camp even further.
That’s not to say many Germans and other Europeans are still not aligned more along the lines of passive, liberals, but the fact of the matter is, the swing to the right is taking place all over Europe and the dismal showing of Merkel’s party is the smoking gun of proof.
Now, why would Putin want a more conservative, pro-European / anti-immigration block to come into power throughout Europe? Well, ask yourself this. Why would he not? Would this mean a more nationalistic movement in Europe would be less pro Russian? Would hardliners taking power in Europe not see eye to eye with a hardline Russian nation?
What would happen if in the next phase of the Tsar’s plan, a theme of “Europe and Russia” against immigration and non-European Continent medaling became the message?
Is it impossible to think that hardline thinkers will not find a more common ground with other hardline thinkers?
If you can’t buy this concept, then can you accept a Tsar who would have a plan to destabilize Europe to the point the only true savior they could turn to is Mother Russia? 
Putin is out to change the future of Europe, something several other Tsars fantasized of doing from the safety of Moscow. 
Setting in motion the collapse of the current government of Germany would absolutely be a key objective for any plan to change Europe.
Why? Why Germany? Why not France, Italy, Denmark, ect….ect…..?
If you have to think about the answer to that question, then the past 100 years of world history is not known to you.
Germany!
A new far right Germany is a distinct possibility and the fear that would bring to the rest of Europe is undeniable.
Again, who might the rest of Europe turn to?
England? Have you read the sentiment towards England in the EU lately? Not good and for good reason. Those English inconsiderate citizens won’t help pay for the EU’s social redistribution dreams?
The US? A nation with a foreign policy lost at sea and far too occupied with internal “issues” to execute a comprehensive policy towards Europe. I don’t think so.
Who will provide cover from an emerging Germany, a Germany whose citizens are tired of paying the bills for “lazy Europeans”?  By the Way, a mindset that is growing by the day in France as well.
Europe is in trouble, real trouble and the Tsar is out to change the direction of the continent.
Other Tsars dreamed of having such an impact on Europe. They dreamed of Europe knocking on the door in Moscow and asking for help. Yes. Just as Europe did in 1913 when the Germans were on the move and all of Europe needed the Russians to spill Russian blood to buy Europe time.
These are interesting times and Europe’s legacy is not being determined by just the liberal governments of the EU.