Tuesday, September 27, 2016


















HILLARY CLINTON AND DONALD TRUMPS “OTHER” CHALLENGES.



Yesterday, I finished my review of what both US Candidates will face from two real, external threats to the US.  As scary as that two part conversation was, the possibilities of other significant events taking place are more than just real. They are going to happen.   
So, what other significant challenges from outside the US will a Hillary or Donald administration face and what impact will their differing approaches create?
Now, just when you might think this next conversation will not involve the previous two key players, the Dragon and the Tsar, just remember, no international event takes place without a reaction / influence from these two. Truth be known, some of the topics I will cover are most likely already in the Dragon and Tsar’s play book; especially the Tsar. Proxy events. That is what I am referring to. But, even it’s not a “proxy event”, you can bet the two key players will shape the issue once it is known.
North Korea:
An interesting topic as it falls into the category of both a proxy event and a true crazy eddy that in reality not even the Dragon or the Tsar can be assured of the outcome.
So, how might the North Korean issue impact the Clinton or Trump administration? Has the Little Madman designed his own, “first hundred day” event / challenge for the new US President and if so, does anyone know about it?
Does it matter to him who wins? Probably not!
This mentally unstable child has one goal on his mind and the difference between Hillary and Donald may not even exist in his eyes. His goal is to force the West to respect him and the nation he rules. His will to obtain this respect is without question the single thing that makes him dangerous. Is he capable of instigating a war on the Korean Peninsula? Yes.
 Do his military Commander understand that? Yes.
Could they be leveraged to prevent this from happening if they truly believed it was going to take place? Yes!
Does Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump understand that? I doubt it! Will they have people around them that can map out such a possible course of action in a crisis? Only, if someone on the team knows who to pick.  You have to know this is an option before you can chose the right people to build the plan.
The North Korean issue is not going to go away anytime soon. The US knows that, the Russians know that and the Chinese know it. Doing a dirty deal with key North Korean military leaders has to be a plan of ether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. Both are well versed in the art of “dirty deals”, but do they understand how to pick the right people to put such a dirty deal together? 
The North Korean issue will not be pushed to the sidelines over the issue of trade. The little madman in North Korea is not interested in what is good for the Tsar or the Dragon. He does understand he needs friends, but being ready to portray their wishes or just ignore those same friends, well, that is a challenge that Hillary or Donald will have to come to terms with. Here is the last takeaway on the topic of North Korea. Although the Tsar and the Dragon have a history of manipulating North Korea, their current leader doesn’t cotton well to being told what to do or even given advice on the topic of his relationship with the West.
Bottom line; North Korea is an issue that is running out of time. How ironic the can her husband kicked down the road in 1994 has come rolling up to her doorstep!  
As for Trump. Well, he needs to be careful in what he says and how he says it. Words mean something to the little madman in North Korea. My advice to Trump; when it comes to the topic of North Korea, saying less is better. He will need to sit down with his Casino buddy and see if the Tsar is willing to build a joint answer to the North Korean event. That may not make the Dragon happy, but then again, the Dragon may come to the table as well. It’s not like China has the best interest of North Korea on its list of priorities. Leverage the Tsar’s desire to work with Trump. That is a plan that might just work.
The Middle East:
Does Hillary repair the US’s relationship with the GCC members, most notably, the Saudis?
Does Donald?
Make no doubt about it, the relationship was severely damaged over the past eight years. Yes, I know, many currently believe that “relationship” should be ended or greatly reduced, but before you vote for continuing this reduction, think about the concept of “vacuum”?
The Middle East is now fragmented to a point that is unprecedented since it’s reconstruction at the end of World War I.  By the way, I’ve said this before and I will say it again. The borders and reflagging that took place in the Middle East was doomed from the day the papers were signed.
The nations in the region are unbalanced and desperate to forge new alliances! The vacuum issue is center stage in this conversation.
Rumor is, the Saudi, Hillary relationship is far more stable than the current US administration. How might a Hillary Clinton administration approach the Middle East? To say, “it can’t be any worse than what is taking place now” is inaccurate. The Tsar’s vision now involves the region and having Hillary Clinton show up and place pressure on that vision, well, that will have repercussions.  Changing the course of the US’s relationship with the Middle East will not execute according to plan. The Russians are there and they have no intention of leaving.
What is Donald Trump’s vision for the Middle East? Does he really have one? How will he address the issue of Syria, Turkey, and Iran? To be fair, the same list holds true for Hillary, but right now, I’m addressing “The Donald”!
I understand he truly believes a few retired Generals will pave the way for his policy in the region, but I would also warn him, many of the mistakes in the region were designed by Generals! Simply saying, “ I have some great Generals working the issue”, that’s not going to bring closure to the issue. The problems in the region are far more complex than that answer provides. Let me give you a hint at my theme here. Trump is going to have to sit down with someone and figure this whole regional crisis out. He is going to have to do that with the quiet support of the leader of the GCC and the Nation of Israel. He is going to have to have this “meeting” and make it very clear to the Ottoman Sultan, the future of the region is not for the Ottomans to decide.
Yes, he is going to have to sit with the Tsar!
Someone tell me again why it is so terrible that Trump continues to talk to issue of working with Putin?
Does he need to overlook some of the actions of the Tsar, such as the Tsar having his chief political rival murdered just outside the Kremlin? My response? Really? Should I make you a list of the despots and murders the US has “worked with”?
Okay, two more areas defined. North Korea and the Middle East.

Tomorrow, let me take a shot at a few nether Hillary or Donald  may be able to impact with two of them leading to real, worldwide calamity.  

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