Tuesday, February 21, 2017



MOLDOVA. IS THIS THE TSAR’S NEXT CARD TO BE PLAYED?

Where is Moldova? If that question has you stumped, let me give you a hint why it’s an important place, one of several reasons. It’s on the Southwestern border of Ukraine. Second hint, it wants become a member of the EU. Third hint, it’s been holding exercises with NATO forces! Need I go on?

RUMORS:

In a world that is virtually addicted to “rumors” and Social Media based “news”, the events surrounding Moldova in the past few weeks are starting to get Europe’s attention along with some in the Western Intelligence community. Is it a new rumor the Tsar may be contemplating options in Moldova? No. Does it seem the issue has more traction now than in the past year or so? Yes. As I stated earlier this week, the idea that several European nations are worried about the US’s new leadership and The Donald’s commitment to them, is most likely what is taking place here. Again, the theory being those worried nation’s governments are “pushing” their fears to the forefront. Now is the time to let the US know just how much danger they may be in. It makes sense, but will it have an impact?

THE TSAR’S PLAY:

 The Russians have no intention of seeing NATO operations held or worse, stationed in Moldova, but the government of Moldova would love it. The seeds of disruption have been planted in Moldova long before The Donald won the election. Yet, the Tsar has to give this potential relationship with the new US President time. He has to find out if The Donald’s words on the campaign trail really amount to actions in Europe.  This week gives the Tsar a good indication of what to expect. With his vast intelligence network analyzing the results of the US’s Vice President words on the cost of NATO, the Tsar will get a preliminary snapshot of what the EU is thinking. Are the words just words for the news media to cover? What were the closed door conversations? Can the Russians get a hint of what really went on?
Moldova options are ready, but the timing is not right. What is the prudent thing for the Tsar to do? Yep. Let a few stories get out that a coup may be in the works. Let Europe and the US believe another round of “Little Green Men” is about to take place.  By the way. I have to say, when Russian Regulars showed up in Eastern Ukraine with their equipment and the Russian response was, “They are on leave and if they decided to go there and fight while they are on leave, that is their business”…..well…..that was just amazing!!! In my book that was the most powerful slap to the face of President Obama he endured in his  entire eight years in office and he a few of them! Let the government of Moldova see the thugs lurking in the shadows. Let them make a few arrest and state they are members of groups plotting trouble in the capital. Will that work? Will that change the mindset of The Donald? I’m not sure the Tsar’s intelligence Team has a profile snapshot of the new US President that the Tsar is so confident of that he would risk altering his long thought out plan for Europe. But, the Tsar is a passive pressure kind of guy! Let the US and Europe know what might just be over the horizon and see how they react!
If you are sitting in Russia and you read this, take note. That concept is a terrible idea! It’s an idea that could lead to dangerous events!  Play the game with The Donald behind the scenes, but don’t try the tactic used on Obama. If you slap The Donald’s face, he is going to slap back and it will most likely be quick and without a great deal of forethought. Play the quiet game, but if you push to embarrass him, be prepared for unpredictable responses. Europe is watching. Eastern European nations are more than watching, they are praying and even placing side bets on this poker game. If you don’t know where Moldova is, I would bet you will hear of it in the next few months.

https://www.unian.info/world/1235392-analysts-report-high-probability-of-coup-in-moldova.html

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