Wednesday, January 18, 2017



ERDOGAN AND THE EVER CHANGING FUTURE OF TURKEY.

“Terrorist”? Now if you deal in dollars or Eruos, you are a “Terrorist”? The same as having a bomb? This is the leader of one of the key NATO partners? Like the old saying goes, “with friends like this, who needs enemies”? It’s a good thing most of the important people in the world know Egodan is a nut job, but he’s a dangerous nut job. In classic Turkish style, the military, at least part of it, tried to remove him. Again, another old saying, “ when you go to assassinate someone….don’t miss”! Beautifully played by the Tsar, the Mad Turk ran into the arms of the Russian Bear and boy, is there some history there when it comes to the Ottomans and the Russians! Economically snubbed by the EU and completely misplayed by the US administration, Egodan, it really is a good nickname for him, has been floundering around, ranting and raving about everyone that is out to get him and or  Turkey! But now, now the dollar is the weapon of “Terrorist”? Egodan is man who truly believes that wild, inflammatory statements are the best way to get attention and then your way! The problem is, eventually, most people stop paying attention to the rants! How often have you witnessed a Mother or Father just walk away, ignore, a child’s hissy fit? Yep, the same seems to apply to Egodan. His comment about the dollar and the euro didn’t even make the major news networks in the West / US. Come to think of it, most of his statements don’t show up in the West at all! I wonder just how infuriated that makes him?  But, then again, most of his diatribes are for internal consumption and as such, coverage by Western Press may not upset him too much.

TURKEY’S FUTURE: 

I can’t remember if I addressed Turkey in my 2017 predictions and I’m too lazy to go back to look.  The attached article didn’t catch my eye because of the discussion of Turkey’s debt. It was the Terrorist statement that was the eye grabber, but the overall, economic future issue is worthy of someone conducting a detailed review. You can bet the lending and business communities are doing just that.
As has been the case in the US for the past eight years, leadership can only last so long when all they do is place blame for everything that is not going right in the country on someone or something outside of their control. The blame game works, but it only works for a period of time. What happens when the blame game begins to play out in Turkey? How does Egodan crack the whip if the Turkish economy continues to falter? What is the next level of “blame”? Better yet, is there anyone who he can turn to that can save him?
Putin! If your answer was the Russians, then you guessed wrong! The Tsar has one goal and one goal only with his tolerance of the Ottoman fool; the degradation of NATO. Well, really two goals. The movement of fuel, but the short term goal is to weaken NATO as much as possible. Pipes can be moved, nations cannot.
The puppet strings have been masterfully placed on the Ottoman Sultan, but the Tsar’s confidence in how strong they are is the question. Perhaps a few more common goals, a few more favors or concessions might do the trick, but bailing out the billions of dollars, Terrorist tools remember, of debt, well that is not going to happen given the status of the Russian economy. It’s easier for the Tsar to inflame the temper of the Ottoman than it is to pay off his delusional spending debt. Making a statement equating the dollar to Terrorism, well, that was music to the Tsar’s ears. Drive that wedge! Keep pushing the Sultan to walk away from the West and NATO.
When the Tsar and President Trump meet, I wonder what part of that conversation will involve the Turks, if it even does. The Sultan will have to sit and wait to see what message his “friend” that Tsar brings him from the meeting. The Tsar will want to push the issue of NATO and Eastern Europe, but he will do so as a bargaining chip, a huge chip at that. As for President Trump, the Businessman, NATO support and or the reduction of support is also a bargaining chip. A chip not just for Europe and truthfully, Europe is not the first bet Trump will make with that chip. That chip is saved for the Tsar. The question is, what does President Trump want in exchange?
One things is certain, the NATO discussion between the US and Russia will not involve Egodan!
Side note: The funding stream attached to NATO membership is something the Turkish military understands.
If the Tsar can win some level of concessions on the issue of NATO in Eastern Europe, then guess what? He doesn’t need the Mad Turk anymore and tossing someone aside is a specialty of the Tsar. Oh, by the way, when the handshakes and the photo ops are over and when the Sultan walks away, they still don’t like each other! Who can Egodan turn to if the Russians and the US write him off? Can he find a new friend? Can he speak to the Dragon? Will the Dragon want to speak with him? If not, he can do what every spoiled brat child has a tendency to do. He can create a bigger mess in his room!
Dollars, Euros and “Terrorism”…..just how mentally unbalanced is this guy?


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