Tuesday, January 31, 2017



AMONGST  THE HYSTERIA, A MISSILE FLIES? DID ANYONE PAY ATTENTION?


Honestly, I turned off the news streams in the West for the past two days. Did anyone think for a moment that as the new program for immigration into the US started and outcry of “Wait for me” wouldn’t start? No matter what the details of the plan may have been, the reaction was going to be the same. The fact that a Obama appointed US Department of Justice member decided to make a political show out of the event only shows how off balance the US really is.  Yes. Once again in the US, party politics is far more important than national / international issues. Well, that is why I turned off the Western news!
A few days ago, the Iranians launched a mid-range missile. It was yet again, a clear violation of the worthless agreement signed by the Gang of Six on the issue of Iran’s nuclear program. Did anyone notice? The Trump Team did and I am sure the intelligence community in several countries noticed as well.

So what?

Is this the first time the Iranians have openly violated this signed “joke”? No! So, why not just ignore this one just like the others? What is different? What changed? Yep. Trump! That’s what. An opportunity has presented itself and the Trump Team is likely to jump on it. Who called for the emergency meeting of the UNSC? Yep. The US. Does this mean the issue is about to become a major issue? In my book it’s very possible. President Trump has spent every single day since his swearing in addressing the list of issues he stated he was going to address if he became President. Why should he skip the Iranian nuclear deal? Okay, yes, he has sidestepped the Embassy issue, but I don’t know for how long. Sisi got to him on the issue and the need for Egypt to be “ on board” with other issues in the region may have moved the Embassy event to the right…… but who knows for how long! Trump has said time and time again what a bad “deal” this Iranian nuclear program event was. How could he let the Iranians openly defy the agreement so early in the Trump’s term? I don’t think he will and that is something the Iranians may have miscalculated.

Power Struggle continues!

Could the Iranian hardliners take this bold action for a reason? Could they be more concerned about forcing the US to react and thus strengthening the hardliners position in Iran, just prior to another election cycle? Yep. That wouldn’t be a new tactic on their part.
When President Trump spoke to the Tsar last week, did the Iranian issue come up? Who knows but it’s very possible something was said that impacts Iran’s future in the region. Syria and Iran’s involvement in the conflict was most likely the catalyst for any conversation on the Persians. Did the Russians know the Iranians were about to test this missile? It depends on what status the site was in. The intelligence community has the information that allows them to predict a test launch, but what day is it actually going to take place depends on several factors with one usually being when fuel is loaded. Anyway, the point is this. Does President Trump’s reaction to the Iranian launch start with a conversation with the Tsar or does he have his UN Ambassador make a point at the UNSC meeting, or does he do both.

Rumors:

The US needs an event to set the whole issue of the Iranian program into motion. The Trump Team may even have a plan for how they wish to deal with the Iranian program. Did they need this launch to get the ball rolling? Has the Tsar already mapped out his plan for Iran and the region? Does he wait for the US to set the game into motion?
Is the issue of the immigration policy changes in the US going to blind the American people to the point that other events in the world go unnoticed? Internal bickering is sweet music to the US enemies’ ears!
Let’s see what happens next.


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