Wednesday, November 30, 2016



THE GREAT “FIND” IN THE TEXAS AND THE CONSEQUENCES 

Well, I took the past two weeks off, with the exception of writing one post for Khaled. It’s that time of year when Christmas lights consume just about every minute of my free time. Just about finished and if you would like to see our handiwork, here is the link.   http://www.annacourt.com/. Ok, enough with the shameless promotion. Made a minor change in the time of day that I will post, but the adjustment should help some of my overseas readers.
Okay; in the past two weeks rumors have been flying on potential “deals” made over the issue of the Middle East.  Nothing new there as the concept of “deals” is practically the middle name for the whole region!   Trump is or has been working a “deal” with the Tsar. The Tsar and Trump are working “deals” with Egodan, both together and separately. One man’s deal is another man’s betrayal and so on and so on…. By now, I would be willing to bet Trump is beginning to understand that part of the world he only thought he understood. Every President and every world leader enter office thinking they have a grasp of what is taking place and how to deal with major and minor issues. What most of them don’t realize is taking power is like trying to keep up with junk email. As soon as you clear out a dozen emails, 300 more show up. Who sifts through them? Who priorities them and how well do they know the mindset of the leader they are sorting for?  Yep. The insanity of the initial days of power soon turn into the grind that becomes life in general for all world leaders.
It would be easy right now to go back to the story of two Cities…. Aleppo and Mosul and how the drag race to see who can claim victory going. But, that is not the story of the past two weeks. The story that slipped by the general public was huge news to the three world powers and that is what I will address today.  Read these two links and then I’ll continue on with this post.

Let’s cut to a few very simple statements and then follow up with a couple of simplistic questions.
Statements:
The Tsar’s entire concept of controlling the economic speed and future of Europe was and still is based on fuel and his control of Europe’s dependency on his gas.
The timing of this amazing find is seen as suspect in Russia and in the OPEC nations.
The ramifications of this story will change any “deals” that have been proposed for solving the conflicts in the Middle East.
The Dragon is still analyzing what this story means to China and how they will need to react.
Questions:
Was the release of this story, “timed”? Even if the answer was no, would anyone it impacts outside the US believe the answer?
Were the ramifications of such a story analyzed prior to its release?
Who was knowledgeable of this find and how much of the story was leaked ahead of the public announcement?

If you are confused over this issue, let me see if I can help you understand the depth of what is taking place.
From day one, Putin’s “Master Plan”, as I like to call it, has been all about Europe! The actions he has taken in the Middle East, the core value, are based on actions taken by the West in Europe, more specifically Eastern Europe.  NATO expansion and the promise of no NATO expansion, the Ukraine and Crimea are threats to a man who lives his life believing that everyone is as devious as he is. A man who’s paranoia is more than just a personal trait. Paranoia and feeling inferior to Western Europe is nearly part of Russian DNA with over a thousand years of history to base these feelings on.  
Fuel. The life blood of Russia. Natural Gas, the commodity the Tsar based his revitalization dreams upon. If he can control the fuel to Europe, he can control Europe’s ability to once again pull away from Russia, shun “Mother Russia” as Europe has done for hundreds of years.  How upsetting could changing this “Master Plan” be to the Tsar? What would he be willing to do to prevent his dreams from falling apart? How important is Russia to a true Nationalist like Putin?
From the US standpoint, on face value, the find in Texas is just another argument for energy independence. It’s yet another nail in the coffin of Middle Eastern dependency. More importantly, it’s another real blow to the survival of several key OPEC Gulf nation’s status in the world. Competition is dangerous concept when you are the one at the top of the business. Competition is a deliberate act to a nation that lives in paranoia.
Export! Exporting natural gas to Europe, even the threat of doing so, even a slight increase of doing so, it all has and will have repercussions.
Good luck future President Trump. Playing this “find” is a difficult game and leverage can be lost in a blink of an eye.

Great news for the US and even greater news for the State of Texas. Everybody else? Well……. Let’s see what happens. 

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