Sunday, July 27, 2014




HAMAS AND THE MIDNIGHT OIL IN TEHRAN

With no way out and supplies lines all but cut off, Hamas fighters have a grim future facing them.

Egyptian forces are preventing any form of relief from entering Gaza from the Sinai and this is a critical issue for Hamas and those who support them.

If Israel is willing to accept the dramatic increase in civilian deaths a full scale assault on Gaza would bring about, then Hamas may be looking at a crushing defeat.

Having said this and with the likelihood of this event taking place, it’s critical to return to the topic of, “what replaces Hamas”?

Two weeks ago, I addressed the issue of the Islamic Stage filling the void left by a devastated Hamas force.

That reality is closer now than two weeks ago and many in the West are beginning to understand that fact.

Is the pressure to slow the IDF based on civilian losses or is it based on the fear of what may come next?

IS forces are locked in a violent battle for the city of Aleppo along with holding ground in Iraq.

IS forces ridding to the rescue of Hamas is not going to happen and Hezbollah must make a strategic decision, perhaps sooner than they want to.

As the fate of Hamas is being decided, another even more dangerous decision is being contemplated.

The Persians!

If the grand plan for the Iranians has been based on Hamas and Hezbollah providing fighting elements in a future battle with Israel, then what would their loss mean?

Only five years ago, the planners in Tehran fully counted on Hamas and Hezbollah as they designed their war plans against Israel.

Now; everything has changed.

Hezbollah is stuck in the bloody streets of Syria even as they fear a pending battle in their homeland against the forces of the Islamic State.

Hamas is on the edge of complete destruction with no Allie anywhere near being in a position to save them.

 And now, rumors of yet another Turkish navel flotilla could be departing for Gaza.

Is Egodan willing to risk open confrontation with Israel over Hamas?

No.

Is he willing to do something dramatic to get his name back on the FrontPage of this event?

Yes.

Iraq in flames……Syria in flames…. Lebanon smoldering…. Hamas and Hezbollah in real danger of defeat……the Midnight oil is burning bright in Tehran and the feast of the eid al fitr  is not the reason.


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