Wednesday, April 23, 2014




BEAR BOMBERS… HAMAS AND FATAH… BUSINESS AS USUAL RIGHT?

Two stories today that on any typical day would grab some level of attention, but quickly fade of a CNN / FOXNEWS / BBC / Special Report broke out on a Police car chase or a Tornado that damaged five homes.

But, as we all know, we are not in “normal times” and that makes these two stories worth mentioning.

Have Russian / Soviet / bombers flown close to Western Airspace or even into it?

Yes… for decades!

Was this event any different today?

Yes.

Why is it different you might ask?

Because these are not “normal times”J

Logic would dictate that if a country was in a time of tenuous relationships, it would take extra precautions to avoid “misunderstandings… especially military misunderstandings!

Conversely; if such an action was to take place during such tenuous times, it would be expected that all parties involved would perceive this to be a deliberate act.

Now, does the Western media know full well this type of event has been going on for years?

Yes.

Does the Western media know these are not normal times?

Yes; hence the above average coverage today.

So, was the Bear Bomber flight paths a deliberate action?

Yes.

They always have been.

Superpower Bomber Crews don’t accidently fly somewhere!

They don’t get “lost” or miscalculate their location!

So, yes the act was deliberate and it was deliberate at a time when the Tsar’s military knows all too well how delicate relationships are.

Was it “timed” to take place at the same time as the anticipated arrival of US forces in Poland and several other old Warsaw Pact countries?

Really… need I answer that one?

Did this “event” have any true meaning; was there a message being sent?

Yes!

Nothing is going to take place between the West and Tsar that doesn’t involve “messaging” from the Russian standpoint!

Ok, on to the next topic of the day.

Hamas and Fatah!

One of the advantages of writing about the Middle east for the past several years is being able to remember how many times a topic has been rehashed.

I’m fairly confident I’ve spoke to the issue of Hamas and Fatah forming a “government” on two perhaps three other occasions.

This time around, let me get right down to the brass tacks of this glorious announcement; “glorious announcements”… something the Palestinian, Hamas and Hezbollah leaders love to act out!

Not so long ago, Hamas gunned down Fatah members in Gaza in a bloody takeover!

Did anyone forget this fact?

I bet the members of Fatah who lost loved ones have not forgotten.

I bet the government of Israel didn’t forget.

So, once again, is this something new?

Is this agreement different?

As with the Bear Bombers, the answer is yes!

Is it different that Hamas and Fatah will never agree on who is in charge of what?

Nope…. That will never change…. Not in the Middle East!

So, how is this historic agreement different this time around?

Because it give the Israelis the ability to look the West / US / right in the eye and so, “I told you so”!

All the pressure to force the Israelis to the table just left the political balloon!

How many times has Abbas threatened to “quit”?

Well, this time around his threats may not be needed.

In the past the Arab nations were in a position to spend energy on keeping the Hams / Fatah issue under control.

Times have changed and the luxury of Arab League  / GCC / input may be gone.

Hamas is in a far different place this time around.

Egypt is now back on the “other side” and the Persian input is more demanding than ever.

Hamas leverage of the more radical elements in Gaza is weaker and those elements know it.

Both Hamas and Fatah leadership are now more worried about hearing, “we told you your way doesn’t work”!

What will come of this “historic announcement” is not based on a joint government.

What will come of this event is the ability of the Israelis to walk away from the table and tell the US administration, “that is what you get for making us come into the White House using the backdoor”!

So you see, both events have historical support.

What makes things different this time around is where we are in the word now compared to the events of the past.

“Oh…It’s always been that way”!

One of the most ignorant and dangerous statements any so called “expert” can possibly make.









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