Wednesday, October 2, 2013

NETANYAHU'S "BLUNT SWORD".























A few days ago, and it's still difficult to be consistent right now, at least for a few more days, the topic was the ramifications of the Syrian chemical events.

For all the scholastic level discussions and all the book writers restless to pen their next chapter, the issue became very simplistic; and it's hard to get paid when you talk with the media simplistically:)

Had the West, more to the point, the US, lost it's ability to "Control / influence" events in the Middle East?

Had the Tsar become the new power broker; a power broker the GCC would now turn to?

Since the beginning of the Arab Spring, Tunisian Virus...yes.. I will never give up calling it such.... the GCC leaders have had and continue to have one basic fear; the abandonment of Western support!

Are they the only ones with that fear?

No!

We have talked before about the strange bedfellows that can take place, especially in the Middle East.

Go back and "search" this blog and you will find my discussions on the pending relationships between Israel and the GCC / Saudi.

"The Enemy of my Enemy"!!!  Never... Ever forget this saying when you are looking at the Middle East!!!!

But, the Israelis also remember yet another age old saying in the region, "you can feed a Scorpion, but it will still sting you"!

So, what is taking place as a result of the Syrian chemical debacle?
Skipping the subject of the Tsar and his grand designs for the region, lets look at the topic near and dear to Israel.... the Persians!

" A sword which as gone blunt"?

Really?

Does anyone think Rouhani is such a fool as to really believe such an insane statement?

Let's assume he understood the insanity; so why did he say it?

Who was the message to?

His people?

True, the tensions between the Hawks and the so called Moderates is worthy of watching inside Iran.

Was the message for the people of Israel?

I doubt it, but if it was he was only showing his arrogance at his own peril!

Was his statement meant for Western / US / indulgence?

Is this a move to negotiate with the West from position of strength?

Does Rouhani and his Puppet Master truly think their talks with the US are leading to Israel being unable to strike on it's own?

What a catastrophic  miscalculation that would be!

So, what is going on with the Persians?

What lesson / perception did they gain from watching the Syrian chemical episode unfold?

Now, I know the people in the US were very occupied with the drama the media conjured up over the government shutdown and it's obvious the coverage of what Netanyahu presented to the UN had little to no coverage in the West.

Here is what is really interesting.

The words of Israel did not go unnoticed in the Gulf States!

Here is the bottom line:

Did the events of the Syrian chemical event set in motion the path to war between Israel and Iran?

How many times have we looked at the issues of, " the laws of unintended consequences" and how often has the topic of " Second and Third Order Effects" come up in the past two years?

If Rouhani truly believes the IDF is now a "blunt sword", then I would highly recommend he still don his armor and research the dangers of blunt trauma!
    



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