Monday, August 19, 2013

DOES THE RESISTANCE FALL BACK INTO THE SINAI?





Two weeks ago, I stated that Sisi would make a more telling move on his enemies in the Sinai ether just prior to making a move on the Muslim Brotherhood or at the same time.

Actions in the Sinai had been taking place for months, but on a very limited scale.

Also, as I commented earlier, the Muslim Brotherhood and other more radical groups had been predicting Sisi's move on the Morsi government for months.

It's not news, or should I say, it shouldn't be news, Sisi's enemies began planning disruption operations with the Sinai as it's base months ago; perhaps even longer.

As the streets of Egypt's major cities began to perhaps calm down, the question becomes, does the new resistance makes it's stand in the Sinai?

My bet is this is exactly what Sisi and his generals anticipated and one only need look at the force placed in that region to come to this conclusion.

Ok, so the question becomes?

How in the world did 24 Policemen get caught so unprepared?

A convoy that must have been virtually unprotected?

How could that happen in an area that everyone predicted would be the center  of violence?

It's right about here the conspiracy theorist usually pop onto the scene.

Where these Cops set up?

Did someone need them slaughtered to keep the public on the side of the Sisi government?

As outrageous as that might sound in the West, it's never...ever out of the question in the Middle East!

Who should have escorted this convoy of Policemen going on leave?

Who really controls the area?

The Egyptian Military you might say...... you would be correct!!!!!

I'm I siding with the conspiracy crowd?

Not yet, but I must admit, it's a strange set up for an area soaked in danger.

I have one last comment on this topic before I move on.

How upset would Sisi have been if the 24 dead were Egyptian Military?

THE SINAI:

Ok, this is a topic that could easily occupy volumes of discussions on Egyptian operations.

Just how important is the Sinai?

All you have to do is ask the IDF.

How difficult can it become for Egypt to truly secure the Sinai?

Short answer... they can't!!!

So, will they need help?

You guessed it...........they already do!

Who's help you ask?

Some continue to speculate on the IDF and why not?

Tagging Sisi to the IDF will be a major goal of the MB and other radical groups in the area.

Holding the streets of Egypt's major cities, some are going to be harder than others, is a current mission that requires a great deal of energy and is ripe for failure.

The problem is, the Sinai is the Mother Ship of the future "resistance".

Sisi knows this and he also knows he must walk a razor then line of being seen working near or God forbid with the IDF.

His enemies new and old know this as well.

Paint a picture of Sisi and Israel working together and that perception could become Sisi's undoing.

So, operations in the Sinai are going to be more than delicate; so much so that a reluctance to strike too well may rule the mission.

Yes, the Sinai is key to Egypt's future and it's critical to Sisi!













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