In attempt to keep thing simple today, lets review what has
taken place in the past two days and more importantly why.
There is only one way to explain the rockets fired from Lebanon into Israel .
Hezbollah!!
Hezbollah knows all too well that attacks into their
"base" in Lebanon
are attempt to divide their efforts.
The Hezbollah response was predictable; fire into Israel from Lebanon .
A two part objective was attempted.
A. Provoke Israel into inflicting pain into Lebanon , thus taking the pressure off of
Hezbollah's increasing actions in Syria .
B. Show their
"base" they still have a core value of "resisting" the Zionist.
Did ether objective reach any level of success?
It depends on who the target audience was!
If Hezbollah was sending a "message" to their
base, then they most likely achieved some level of success.
If the audience was the Sunni of Lebanon, then the
"treat" was more than worrisome.
If the intended audience was the IDF and Israeli political
leadership, then Hezbollah wasted their time and rockets.
Again, the issue continues to be the Sunni Attempt to divert Shia support units from Iraq
from supporting Syrian Operations.
It's difficult to be a local militia fighter from Iraq in Syria
and continue to hear of attacks back in your hometown in Iraq .
Simple put; both sides continue the attempts to pull
resources away from the "enemy"!
The real danger continues to be the reckless repercussions for
Lebanon
as both sides underestimate the danger
of spiraling violence.
If Lebanon is to
buckle under the pressure of sectarian violence, than both Sunni and Shia will
have issues to deal with that nether fully comprehends.
Reckless 'tit for tats" and counter actions outside of Syria make the possibility
of a larger scale event ever more likely.
Who's trying to stop these counter attacks form taking
place?
Regardless of the answer, the real problem is those who are
trying are mostly powerless to have any true impact.
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