Saturday, July 28, 2012


















AS SYRIA RAGES... DON'T LOSE TRACK OF LEBANON.

Attached is a series of stories I read this week that have one common theme.

Lebanon is virtually at the edge of the abyss.

Tensions between Turkey and the Kurds boiled to the surface this week, but it was Lebanon that continue to catch my eye.

As you read these four stories, you can easily see just how unstable the government of Lebanon has become.

It's critical to keep track of the violence in Aleppo right now, but the issues of Kurds and Turks and the government of Lebanon are issues that must be watched as well.

Iran is struggling to find a suitable solution for the disaster that has become Syria and the fall of the pro Hezbollah government in Lebanon is more than Iran can handle.

If that's not enough, Iran now has to divert energy towards the issue of a growing Kurdish movement; a movement that has desires on Iranian land.

The March 14th part in Lebanon knows the timing is nearly right to strike a blow against the pro Hezbollah groups in Lebanon, but the reaction could be far more than they ready for.

In my opinion, Lebanon continues to be one big event away from a full-blown crisis; a crisis that  could quickly lead to a collapsed government.  

What worries we most, is the fatigue level of the people who are trying to keep the whole region from imploding.

Issue after issue continue to gain in complexity and speed.

At what point does it all simply become too much to keep together?

I say Lebanon is key.

Keeping Lebanon from conflict is key to keeping the region out of a regional war.





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