WHO  WILL DETERMINE THE FUTURE OF SYRIA?

These two articles, sent to me by a friend, point to a larger issue.

Has Syria turned into a proxy event, just as some of us predicted?

Here is why I believe this statement to be true:

It appears Syria is growing more important to the Gulf Arabs than it is to

the people of Syria.

Let's to the " assumption formula" and see what conclusion we might come up with.

Let's assume the Gulf states / GCC / have come to the realization the West,

mainly the US, will not take action against Iran.. at least not until after

November of this year... (Perception in the Middle East.)

Let's assume the Gulf Arabs / GCC / now believe Israel cannot execute this

mission without the support of the West. ( Again. Perception)

Let's assume the Saudi Royal Family has determined the Sunni / Shia /

conflict concept is a viable way to counter a pending Arab Spring event.

(Create an outside threat.. classic Government 101).

Let's assume the Gulf Arabs understand the value of strategically destroying

the alliance between Syria and Iran..

Let's assume the Gulf Arabs comprehend the advantage of pulling Lebanon away

from Syria and Iran; thus limiting Hezbollah!

Let's assume the Gulf Arabs envision the Ottomans' having to take on the

brunt of a "proxy" war with Iran, instead of Iran fighting a "proxy" war

with Israel utilizing Gaza and Lebanon.

Let's assume the Sunni Arabs / Saudi / sees a post Iranian / Persian/ region

as a excellent opportunity for "Sunni" dominance.

They have come to these realizations because they continue to ponder the

potential for an Arab Spring environment coming to their countries..

Something Iran would surly support... Just ask them!

The point here is simple....

The events in Syria seem  no longer  to be an issue for the people of Syria.

Judging the capabilities of the SNC or the FSA is not going to yield the

forecast of what is going to take place in Syria.

Disorganized leadership on the part of the Opposition is not a factor to the

Gulf Arabs.

Syria is exactly what some predicted it would become.. the "proxy"

battleground for Sunni / Shia / Arab / Persian/ Ottoman/  dominance of the

region.

The real question becomes, does it become a campaign issue for the US?

Banking on holding off a war with Iran until after November of 2012, may not

be the road to success some believe it to be!

Wouldn't I love to be inside the IDF planning cell right about now:)

http://themedialine.org/news/news_detail.asp?NewsID=34935

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/ND06Ak01.html