Tuesday, December 18, 2012


















SO RUSSIA IS ANXIOUS? SO WHAT STAGE IS IRAN IN?

It appears the conflict inside the Palestinian refugee camps has been far more disturbing to the Russians than many anticipated.

With the Russians must now decide is how destabilizing to the remains of the Syrian government there evacuation, the Russians that is, would be?

Whether the Russians are communicating with the Iranians on the possible evacuation of Russians from inside Syria is the next important question.

I would be willing to bet that conversation is taking place even as I write this.

The advances in just the past few days of the Syrian rebels, or freedom fighters whatever you may choose to say, has been far more dramatic than the Russians or the Iranians are even the West would like to admit.

It also appears the drawing of sides of the Palestinians in Syria is nearly complete with an overwhelming majority siding with the rebels.

Towns such as Halfaya falling to the rebels with dramatic video coverage is more than disturbing to those few supporters of Assad that are left.

The perception that the window of opportunity to leave Syria may be closing has become a simple fact that Assad can no longer deny!

Now back to the topic of the Russians!

Free, reluctantly, to evacuation of Russian personnel from Syria but that does not mean he is not going to extract  a pound of flesh for doing so for doing so.

Between the issue of the patriot missiles going to Turkey and the Palestinians abandoning Assad, both the Russians and the Iranians simply see nothing going their way!

Having said all of this, the news is far from good for the rest of the world.

The Islamic fundamentalist fighters advancing on nearly all fronts inside of Syria will be in no mood or position to come to the negotiation table.

For several months now I have warned about the speed at which the Syrian government could collapse.

It appears my and the fears of all those watching could be coming true!

Assad simply does not have a higher level of panic that he could possibly reach.

Syria has now reached the point that I believe is up to the Iranians military leaders to determine what happens next.

The decision to fight, serpent, associate or simply go home are now the only options left for the Iranians.

Creating a crisis in Lebanon or Jordan are Bahrain will no longer salvage the Syrian government.

These options listed above are now only viable for the sake of revenge or escalation.

No one, and I mean no one,  believes Assad or his supporters will survive.

For nearly 2 years now the objective has been the defeat of the Syrian government.

With that objective now a hand the more important question becomes, what next?

The concept of, "what if", has been discussed for a long time, but now I believe the time is at hand.

If what is left of the Syrian military leadership decides to negotiate with the newly recognized government of Syria, then Assad and those close to him will need to flee quickly!

In conclusion:

The conflict in Syria between the Syrian government and the, "freedom fighters", is nearly over.

The chaos the world is feared is now the issue, hence the Russians decision to depart Syria and quickly.

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2012/Dec-19/199086-russia-shows-anxiety-on-syria-by-readying-evacuation-plan.ashx#axzz2FSOYNHH3



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