Thursday, December 13, 2012















HAS RUSSIA TRULY  GIVEN  UP ON ASSAD?

It's not as if the Russians are just now coming to the realization of Assad's pending downfall.

Having said that, the question becomes why make this possible prediction now?

What changed from the Russian standpoint that they would make such a defeatist prediction?

One hint was given by Mr Bogdanov and it is one that went largely unnoticed given the gravity of Russian prediction.

His prediction of the fighting, "growing worse" could be telling the world several key clues.

If the Russians believe the fighting is going to get worse, then they must know that Assad has no intention of leaving Syria or coming to any agreements.

Even more ominous, the Russian prediction of increase violence might be based on their knowledge of what he intends on doing to stay in power.

The fact the Russians would openly admit they have drawn up plans to evacuate " their people" is yet another "clue"!

The final "clue", the one that worries me the most, is the comment about the possibility of the rebels "seizing chemical weapons".

If anyone knows the exact location of stockpiles, it would be the Russians and the Iranians.

The rest of the world can speculate based on intelligence, but these two countries undoubtedly know the Syrian program far better than anyone else; with the exception of the rebels and that is even worse news.

Ok, to put it simply; I believe the Russians know Assad himself believes his odds of staying in power are diminishing by the hour.

The Russians, and the Iranians, also know Assad has determined he will go out fighting.

Months ago, I make the statement both the Russians and the Iranians would eliminate Assad and his followers themselves if only they could be assured what replaced him was somewhat sympathetic to their relationship.

If we see the Russians actually evacuating their people from Syria, then we know the most violent part of  Assad's plan is about to take place.

Oh by the way, you will not see the Iranian's leaving Syria.

There will be no Iranian Citizen evacuation; for you see... ... the only Iranians in Syria are the combatants helping and soon fighting along side Assad's forces.

One thing you can bank on.

The Russians know more about the status and the intent of Assad's government than the rest of us do.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-20710561




No comments:

Post a Comment