Wednesday, November 28, 2012























GAME CHANGER???

For months the speculation of the Syrian Rebels having or being close to
having SAM capabilities has batted around.

What it would mean to the conflict if this became true was the baseline of
the discussion.

If this open source video is true, and I would say it is, then I think we
all have our answer.

What does this mean to Assad and the Syrian military?

It means his ability to control the airspace over the targeted areas is
virtually gone.

He must now go higher with his jets and that means they will hit everything
but their targets...

The attack helicopters... well... they can't get high enough to escape.. I
wonder how that will impact pilot dedication.

There was yet another "rumor" today of a Syrian Fighter being shot down and
the pilots being captured.

Assad has deliberately kept his ground forces from door to door operations
for months now and the reason is simple.

He can't trust them!

Defections of a Sunni ground army can only be controlled by limiting where
they are used.

He has fought this conflict with artillery and airpower and left his ground
forces to defend vital locations or mop up after a heavy air and artillery
campaign.

It's the reason the rebels have targeted his airfields virtually nonstop.

The depletion of his helicopter inventory, besides the ones that are
probably unable to fly due to maintenance, is going to force him to change
his game plan.

The threat to inbound aircraft at Damascus International Airport is going to
make his "supporters" think twice.

Can Iran or Russia afford to show a large transporter burning on the ground
near Damascus International?

Can the rest of the world afford this?

If these weapons are finally in the hands of the rebels, whoever that is,
then Assad is in real....real... trouble and that means he is more desperate
than ever!





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