FLASH POINT FOR BOTH
IRAN AND SYRIA.
Two events took place today that made the news in most of
the world with the exception of the US; where all eyes are on the Presidential
Debate set for tonight.
One was the exchange of fire between Turkey and Syria.
The other, the far more serious event, was the
demonstrations in Tehran.
As excitable as the exchange of fire was between Turkey and
Syria, it remains to be seen if this will turn into a true escalating event.
Turkey may use this event to pressure the UN and it's NATO
partners into rethinking the "safe zone" issue and some already believe
that is what this event really is all about.
Some may think Assad is looking for a "distraction"
thinking a limited exchange between Syria and Turkey may pressure
"others" to demand a cessation of violence.
I don't buy ether of these stories.
My theory is the rounds fired into Turkey were fired by a
unit that is so unprofessional they didn't even realize the repercussions of
what they were doing.
Turkey, on the other hand, simply cannot afford the public
outcry of not reacting to casualties on their own soil.
Does this mean this event cannot escalate into something far
more dangerous?
No, but I don't believe Turkey or even Assad has War on
their minds between the two nations.
We shall have to see what takes place in the next 24 hrs to
know for sure.
Now, for the real news of the day!
Iran and the dreaded event; the event they have been
terrified of for almost two years.
Protest and not just protest by angry College Kids....
For the past few days I have talked to the issue of the
impact of the sanctions and how the consequences might very well be more than
the West bargained for.
Forcing civil strife in Iran was a foolish goal to begin
with and now the age old rule of " law of unintended consequences"
could be taking effect.
Iranian leadership's reaction to these protest of the state of the
economy is critical to the overall future of the region.
For days now, they have warned the world they perceived the
sanctions as "economic warfare" on the people of Iran.
There is only one way they will frame the protest that
started today; it was a Western / US / designed event; one designed to bring
about regime change in Iran.
What is Iran willing to do to stop this from growing larger?
How long before the people of Iran see what is taking place
and decide now is the time to take to the streets?
Will Iran punish the people of Iran or will they lash out at
the ones they believe has brought this upon them?
Yes, two significant events took place today, but the
Iranian protest is the one that truly could lead to regional even global consequences.
Months ago, I said if these events came to Iran, Ahmadinejad
would become the victim of choice, but that will only buy his Boss a small
amount of time if any at all.
http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/2011/06/ahmadinejad-and-mashaei-still-under.html
http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/2011/06/ahmadinejad-and-mashaei-still-under.html
The flaw in the Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei plan to toss Ahmadinejad to the wolves is the simple fact
that the people of Iran will not be satisfied with just one head on the stick.
It will not
work!
As of today,
Iran's leadership just became far more
desperate than any point in the recent past and there is the real danger!
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