Sunday, August 19, 2012


















SO; DOES IRAN REALLY....REALLY BELIEVE THEY ARE READY?

As I stated yesterday, it is puzzling to me that Iran would truly attempt to prod Israel into a war.

For over a year now I have wondered if Iran was so frightened of the Tunisian Virus / Arab Spring / that it would contemplate warfare with Israel as an alternative.

In the past, I have commented on the concept of " Limited Warfare vs Total Warfare and how Iran could easily blunder into an event far beyond what they anticipated.

Prodding Israel with Hezbollah with the intention of Israel attacking Lebanon territory is a plot the Israelis have long figure out.

So, why the push for warfare?

Why a desire for a probable end state that leaves Iran in ruins?

Let's disregard the idea of Iran believing they can defeat Israel.

They know that is completely impossible; at least at this point in time.

If we accept this premise, then what other conclusions are out there?

Here is the one I fear and have feared for some time now.

Iran has watched with absolute horror the destruction of Syria town by town, city by city.

Iran has witnessed a population that is disintegrating into uncontrollable, mindless violence and they know this could easily be  their fate!

Is Iran willing to risk the fallout from what they hope would be a "Limited War" with Israel rather than the " Total Warfare" destruction of an Arab Spring in Iran?

Would Iran's leadership rather risk the loyalty of the Iranian public fighting the Zionist, then to turn it's own weapons on it's own people?

Simply put; is Iran more afraid of the Arab Spring than they are a war with Israel?

I think the answer might just be yes!!!

Here is the nightmare of my theory.

If I am right, then the pending war between Iran and Israel must take place and Iran knows it.

Hence; the constant push for Israeli response to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

If Lebanon slides into civil crisis because of Syria, the window of opportunity for Iran to utilize Hezbollah as the launching pad  is gone and the hope of a limited war with a enemy who will be pushed for "limits" will also be gone.

Iran's war of words is one last desperate attempt to convince the Iranian public they don't have time for their version of the Arab Spring.

If it doesn't work, Iran is left with one option; Total Warfare!

Time will have run out for Limited Warfare.

All countries strive to shape the future of their existence.

Iran has all but lost their ability to do so.

Israel holds the cards, for now.

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