Sunday, January 22, 2012

















FRACTURES INSIDE THE ARAB LEAGUE?

It's been clear from the beginning of this Syrian Observer mission the stakes were more than high for the AL

It's also clear the continuing goal from Qatari of becoming a much larger player in the Arab world is a key issue in this AL meeting.

Another point of clarity, in my opinion, is the issue of AL failing to become what it has desired for years.... to be a key player in the affairs of the Middle East.

As I said last week, for the AL to go .. hat in hand.. to the UN / UNSC.. would be a crushing defeat.

The Sunni population of Syria understands this more and more with each passing day.

They also understand the AL would, in reality, accepts additional deaths in Syria than  turn to the UN / UNSC for help.

This is where the rub with Saudi may be coming from.

Saudi has no real love for the AL concept.. some of them not even being oil producing nations and Lord knows that means they are second class  in the eyes of Saudi..

Saudi's  brainchild remains the GCC and that is where they will continue to expend their energy and more importantly.. their money!!!

Ok... so what????

Here is why that is important.


The GCC sees the Syrian issue for what it is.. a opportunity to limit the influence of the Persians.

Having Al Assad play the AL as inept, Paper Tigers kills two birds with one stone.

It shows the world the AL is nothing more than a false marriage of Arab Nations.

It could  allow the GCC to become the next real leading agency in the Middle East.

What's interesting is the position of Qatari.

They push for the AL and they are a member of the GCC..

Here is the difference..

In the AL they stand to be a Key leader. . and in many people's eyes they already are.. Libya is the example.

In the GCC.. Saudi controls the body and everyone knows it.

So, Arabs are tasked to solve problems such as Syria and the Arab Spring. . but  as it has been  for thousands of years,, the  'what's in it for me', mindset continues to set the future for the Arab world and the Middle East.

On Monday, I will set my opinion of where the Syrian event is heading.. given the changes in the past two weeks..

What changes you may ask???

Well.... Russia and China .. oh .... and the Ottomans..

Are they about to unite on the issue of Al Assad???

Not hardly!!

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