Thursday, October 20, 2011















IS ERDOGAN POINTING THE FINGER AT ASSAD?

After the events of this week, it's easy to see how Turkey's ego was damaged by the PKK attacks.

When a country is in  the process of convincing the world they are a rising regional powerbroker, it's  a painful event take a brazen attack such as this.

In that part of the world, the message is often inside the "message"; so much so many look for the implied statement more than they pay attention what is actually said.

In that regard, one has to wonder what the message Erdogan was delivering yesterday or more importantly, who was he addressing it to?

The attached news story may be on to something when it mentions the possible link between Syria and the PKK.

The question becomes, would Assad be so bold as to support a PKK attack on Turkey?

Why not?

What does Assad have to lose?

If the answer is yes, then the next question is why?

Is Assad letting Turkey and Erdogan know Syria can create just as many difficulties for Turkey as Turkey can create for Syria?

Don't forget all the stories from this week about arms flow from Lebanon and Turkey into Syria.

Add on top of that, Turkey hosting and supporting the new somewhat recognized government in exile " SNC".

Finally, what better way to distract the Kurds who may be about to support the revolt in Syria than to have them crushed by their real enemy.. the Turks!

It's hard to tell what exactly is going on, but one thing is for certain, Turkey and Erdogan are desperate to show how they can handle this event and do so professionally and quickly.

Winter operations in that part of the world are less than ideal and the PKK knows this all too well.

Turkey may have to hold off until Spring to conduct a protracted operation and a lot will have changed in that region of the world by then.

Assad pulls a powerful threat away from the events in Syria by setting Turkey up to crush the PKK.

So, back to the question of what's in it for Assad to have supported this attack?

I think we have answered that question.

The question,  and it's the harder one, is how could he have pulled this off?

It's not like the PKK is on a first name bases with the Syrian Military.

Oh ya... I forgot the " Golden Rule" of that part of the world....

" The Enemy of my Enemy is my Friend". with my own added subset... " Until I need to betray my Friend"!!!

Side note:

I see the Iranian FM is making a trip to Turkey on Friday the 21st of October!

I wonder if they are trying to mend fences before Turkey shows Iran / the Persians / how the new Ottoman Empire deals with it's enemies?



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