ERDOGAN AND PUTIN.. CRAZY.. YOU BET… DANGEROUS??? OH MY YES!!

Ok,  Michael Weiss knocks the ball clean out of the park… no surprise there!!!

I’ve spoken to the issue of Egodan’s mental state on many occasions and the comparison here with the Tsar is spot on.

A different kind of crazy……yes…. But crazy never the less!!!

So, is it safe to sit back and simply laugh about the nut case running the show in Turkey?

Nope.

Remember, he is a “nut case” as a NATO Allie!

So, just how dangerous is Egodan?

Simply put….very!!!

If you remember the last time a spoke to the issue of this madman, it was the mining disaster and how I predicted it would not take him long to strike out at someone over the whole issue….it’s what  irrational, violent people do.

Well, the fact of the matter is, it took him less than 24 hrs from the time I made that post.

As a matter of fact, I think he may have been beating up on the families of the victims as I was writing the article.

If the West comes to the realization that both Turkey and Russia are run by mentally ill men, then the question should be asked, “ what to do about it”?

Here is the real bad news, we all know the answer before we even bother to ask the question.

What will the West do?

Nothing.

Or should I say it will do what every Progressive typically does…just hope it all goes away and try to distract their base with some other topic.

Is this all a direct result of the death of American leadership?

To some degree, but the course of the Tsar was set almost twenty years ago and this idiot in Turkey has been around for over twelve years.

Someone asked me today, “ what is the real difference between the Tsar and Egodan”?

Michael Weiss addressed part of the issue, but let me take a shot at what the real danger is.

Egodan is a hothead and more than irrational….downright scary.

But, forces inside his own country are determined to counter his rule and the odds of them being successful are close to 50 50 over the next few years.

This is not the case with the Tsar.

He is not an irrational hothead, at least not with witnesses.

His enemies in Russia are vocal but the vast majority of the people support him and he has done a masterful job of building this process with the events in the Ukraine.

 Is the Tsar completely safe?

No, but the odds are very much in his favor for the foreseeable future.

Is it possible two mentally ill world leaders could find common ground when they both seem to be on opposite sides of the Syrian Proxy war?

Short answer….yes…

Does anyone think Egodan or the Tsar gives a damn about the Arab population of Syria?

Would both of them be willing to take any action needed to achieve their dreams?

Would the Tsar set the Ottoman madman up to be his overseer of the Middle East?

Yes, but the Tsar knows, as some of us do, the future of the Ottoman is not cast in stone and that will be a weighted factor.

If not the Ottoman, then who?

Hello…Egypt!!!

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/commentaryanalysis/548494-tayyip-the-troubled

EUROPE’S ELECTIONS….INDIA’S ELECTION…WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27559714

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-27572807

Two major events have taken place in the past week and I’m fairly confident most people have no clue what they could mean.

Modi’s win in India:

I would be willing to bet the Tsar didn’t factor into his Master Plan for the Russian Empire the emergence of a nationalistic India!

I would also be willing to bet the Dragon’s worse nightmare for long-term dominance just became a near reality with Modi’s victory.

What did Modi’s win mean to the West?

Hard to tell.

In the US, 99.99999 percent, to include most of the federal government “experts” have no clue where this might lead.

As much as the West may be thinking about this topic, and other than corporations that means not a lot of “thinking” is going on, it’s the Dragon and the Tsar who are recalculating Modi’s dramatic step into the next definition of the “New Word Order”!

Bottom line….the New World Order may have just gotten “Newer”… much to the surprise of the Tsar.

Eurosceptic:

In the past 24 hrs, the future of the European Union took a dramatic hit!

Is this a lasting event or a short-term anti vote?

Well, the progressive governments of Europe are praying, if they do pray, it’s a fluke…an anti vote as they are calling it.

So, is it short term?

I don’t’ think so.

Look, the pool of those who pay the bills is shrinking not only in the US but in Europe.

The Millionaires of France all but moved…to Russia no less.

Those who are shouldering the burden of Political spending for the sake of staying in power are now becoming those who are simply working…not just the dwindling “Middle Class”, but the working class as well.

The typical formula for social unrest and historically that social unrest was to the advantage of those social spenders who cry the Rich are robbing the poor.

What these left of center thinkers continue to forget is the reality that this same social upheaval is the nest of Nationalism… extreme Nationalism.

Is this the course much of Europe just turned towards?

It’s more than a possibility and that is why the midnight oil is burning in every capital of Europe.

 “ The trouble with Socialism is you eventually run out of other people’s money”… The words a very wise Woman who England could use right about now!

So, here is what I think these two events mean to the rest of the world.

They both have a trend that must not be overlooked.

The people of Europe are growing more disenfranchised by spending their money on those who do not tow their weight.

The other group in Europe is growing tired of hearing they can’t have what everyone around them as they are being told, “it’s the ‘Rich People’s fault’ and you deserve better…just vote for me”!!!

In India, the people are well aware of the fact the Dragon is out to be the next real world leader and they simply don’t see themselves as being servants yet again to the next big movement….The Western culture’s rule over their land was enough and they seem set to not let history repeat itself.

Simply put; what we may have all witnessed this last week was the rise of Nationalism with a 21^st century flavor.

On a bright note……none of this is good news for the Tsar or the Dragon and the way I see it, a “game changer” just took place on two fronts.

RUSSIA / CHINA/ IRAN/ UKRAINE… YEP… SNAPSHOT TIME!

Well, I’ve been off the net for about a week, but I’m back now and I’m going to go hard at if for several days to get caught back up.

Yep, when this happens to me, I fall back on knocking out a “Snapshot” to get caught back up.

So; here we go.

RUSSIA / CHINA GAS DEAL:

Was this really new news last week?

No.

Does it mean more now than when the process started ten years ago?

Yes.

Did the Tsar have this day in mind when he started the negotiations ten years ago with the Dragon?

Yes.

How could he possibly plotted his move on Eastern Europe, something he has been doing for nearly twenty years, without insure the lifeblood of the Russian Empire, fuel, was not secured.

Does this “deal”, and there is a reason I put deal in quotes, fall right into the plans of the Tsar and just the time he needed it to?

Yes.

Does the Dragon have any intention of allowing the Bear to hold the same advantage over them as it did with the Progressive, naive Europeans?

Nope!!!!

The one fatal flaw the Tsar may have made in his master plan to bring the Russian Empire back to it’s glory may have been to underestimate the Dragon people; but then again I would not place too large a bet on that assumption.

Does the Tsar understand where his real threat comes from?

Yes.

Was this gas “deal” intended to last 30 years?

No.

It’s intent was and still is to insure Western sanctions will not derail the Tsar’s master plan.

The Dragon and the Bear are in the early stages of a power struggle that will last for decades to come as the West sits on the sidelines worried some Muslim Fundamentalist may show up with a car bomb!

IRAN:

Let me keep this as simple as I can for the simple reason this is far from a simple topic.

Is Iran in the midst of a internal philosophical struggle?

I now believe they are.

If you’ve been reading my post, you know my fascination with the badmouthing of the Hassan Rouhani by the hardliners and now the somewhat defensive posture of some of the key military leaders who appear to be supporting him.

Is the West still drunk on striking a deal with Iran over it’s nuclear program?

Yes.

Is the West willing to let Iran and the Tsar have their way on Syria for the sake of pacifying the Persians?

It appears so.

Are the members of the GCC moving forward with the concept of defending themselves from the Persian surge that is hidden behind the religion of Shea beliefs?

Yes.

Can this internal struggle in Iran lead to something the West could exploit in the near future?

Yes; but only if the West knew how or had the will to do so and I think we all know the answer to that question.

Now, most importantly!

Are the Israelis willing to stake the future on their nation on the political leadership  of the West?

No.

When it finally comes down to the zero hour, the IDF will do what it must to insure the future of Israel.

Oh, by the way.

If you don’t believe they will have partners from the GCC in that endeavor, you are fooling yourself.

As it is in Syria and Egypt, the future of Iran doesn't rest with the West.

The Star of David symbol on military hardware will decide the future of the Persian people.

If the youth of Iran understands this, and the nationalistic pride is weighed against nationalistic suicide, then the powers that control Tehran may still see what they have feared since 2009….The Persian …. Arab Spring.

Again, the West may hope to have a final vote, but in the end, once again it may watch matters unfold.

THE UKRAINE:

Elections this weekend…yes… we know that.

An important event?

Yes, to some extent.

As hard as it may be as we watch the events in the Ukraine, we cannot forget the issue is far larger than that.

Is the Tsar going to stomp his way into the Ukraine? 

I said this over a month ago, but I will say it again.

Why should the Tsar use his troops to kill Ukrainian civilians as the world watches on?

Let the Ukrainians kill Ukrainians and let the land slip into madness; that’s the Tsar’s plan and it has been all along.

Pay particular attention to the increasing number of “militias” pro Russian Militias popping up not just in Eastern Ukraine, but all over the country.

This is the fighting force the Tsar will utilize, not Russian regulars!

It’s been over two months since I made this comment, but do not forget the Ukraine is but a single move in a much larger game the Tsar has begun.

Time is on his side and he knows it.

Soon the US will be knee deep in a very emotional and most likely election cycle and that means going dormant for a few months is just part of the plan.

Well, there your have it.

A week off and a small details stacked up to a level that is simply too complicated to track.

The good news is, the large moving pieces, the important issue, have not deviated.

The Bear and the Dragon jockey for a new… “New World Order” and the West….well…..as I've said twice in this post…..the West is simply watching from the sidelines……wait… was that an Arab Male that just walked by??? Quick..call DHS…

Dumbfounded and distracted... .a new National Seal!  

WHAT IS CHINA BUILDING ON THE TINY ISLAND? TROUBLE.. THAT’S WHAT

Um… can you say military outpost?

Sure…. I knew you could.

Why, you might ask?

Well, if you did ask that question, I’m afraid you are way…way behind the power curve on current events.

Before we start taking about the Dragon building a military outpost in Filipino waters, at least from the Filipino perspective, we need to realize the PRC flag doesn't have to fly over this sandbar to get the point across.

What if this man made Island becomes nothing more than a oil rig work station.

Will it be manned by Chinese citizens?

Yep.

Will the Filipino government have the never to move on this location?

I bet not.

Why not, remember the US has their back!!!!!

Ok, yes, that was as sarcastic comment.

Why is this happening now?

First off, don’t blame the Western disaster called policy on the Ukraine.

The Dragon had this plan in the mix far before the Tsar made is unassociated move on Europe.

Reality is right in front of us and some simply don’t want to see it, at least not before the 2014 elections in the US.

Operation Pacific Squeeze  is executing according to schedule and the Dragon has a detailed course of action for any response the Filipino government may come up with.

Here is what  I find ironic.

How long ago was the US President in the region talking up how “committed” the US was to their allies in the area?

Was this project underway by then?

Yep.

Did Western Intelligence know about it?

I would hope so, but then again….well… I won’t comment.  

Did the US just chose to ignore the topic?

Well, would that not fit the pattern executed by the US for the past few years?

“We are here…by your side… through thick and thin….um… pay no attention to that outpost being built in your waters….. it’s nothing to be worried about.

Ah yes… The death of American Exceptionalism and the continued price the rest of the world must pay.

I hear there could be more oil off the cost of California than in the Gulf of Mexico.

I wonder how much longer before one of these Dragon outpost is constructed off the cost of San Francisco?

ERDOGAN’S CONCERN, BUT FOR WHAT? HIS LEGACY?

Over 250 dead and the numbers are going up.

If there is one thing Egodan understood he needed to do and needed to do quickly, it was act as if he was deeply troubled by the event.

Was he truly upset by the mine disaster?

You bet.. .as upset over what it might mean to his rule as any egomaniac would be.

Today was a day for his sympathy and it was apparent his sympathy didn’t get him far.

Just how in love are the Turkish people with this ruler who has far over extended his control over Turkey?

Take a look at the crowd around his car today and see if you can answer that question.

Placing his hand over his heart as he looked into the crowd simply didn’t seem to work.

So, back to what he is really concerned with.

How will his adversaries leverage this event against him?

Will he lose support prior to his next presidential election?

You can rest assured his team is measuring this issue as I write this.

Does he need a head on  a stick?

Is that what it might take to take the pressure off of his rule?

Is it more than one head… how many…who… they are all sacrificial lambs if needed.

As soon as he finds out how many state / private / figures he must put to the stake, he will take his next action; the one he is known for.

Striking back at those who dare question his rule!

By next week, those who are still protesting   will be labeled as “antagonizors”, supported by the opposition…. An opposition out to limit the future of Turkey…..you know… .Ergodan’s legacy.

 Now, will Egodan’s  enemies not try to take advantage of this event?

Of course they will…. They to are political animals and that means you strike when your opponent is wounded.

Look; here is the reality of this disaster.

The only ones who really care about the dead and missing; the only ones who want to know how this could happen are the families and loved ones of the dead and missing.

Yes.. to Egodan this is a disaster, but a disaster to his rule and future.

I will tell you one thing, I would not want to be the Mining Minister in Turkey right now.

I don’t care if he is Egodan’s long lost Brother; he is a marked man and he knows it.

Let’s see how long it takes the Ottoman Sultan to strike out at those who question him.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27415296

SAUDI AND THE “BREAKTHROUGH” WITH THE IRANIANS?      YA .. RIGHT!

Well, I must admit the only thing that “stunned me” after reading this announcement was the number of “experts” stating, how stunned they were!

Is it new that Saudi is “reaching out” to Iran?

No.

Has something changed?

Is it a linked to the nuclear negotiations taking place this week?

Are the Saudi’s so worried their Western support is failing that they would suddenly compromise and capitulate to the Persians?

Now, that one I can answer!

No.

So, what is taking place?

Did Prince al-Faisal decide to strike out on his own shock his King?

Really; not a valid question.

Once again, the best way to decipher what might be taking place, we should consider who the “message” is for and not why the message was announced.

Is the leadership in Tehran the intended audience?

Was the message to someone else?

Someone else…..that’s my bet.

Money is power and power is based on knowledge.

The knowledge of who is promising what to whom and what that might mean to you, that is the leverage money can buy and who has more money that Saudi?

So, this reach out takes place just as the nuclear negotiations are set to start and who are these negotiations important to?

Yep…. The West / US.

So, what message is conveyed when the Western Leaders hear Prince al-Faisal making such a statement?

Does it help the negotiation?   

To all the progressive Western leaders, the hope is the Saudi’s are truly looking to calm the flames of conflict with the Persians!

Perhaps this could even lead to the peace in Syria?

Maybe it’s an indication the Saudi’s are ready to give up on the Sunni cause in Syria, given the Assad victory in Homs and the rumors of a pending settlement over Aleppo?

Well, these are the exactly the type of baseless statements Western leaders  “experts” love to give their Bosses… why…. there might even be a promotion in the works!!!!!

Now, let’s look at this “reach out” from the Persian’s viewpoint!

When word of this ‘breakthrough” made it to Tehran, I wonder how many of them began to run up and down the halls using the word, “Breakthrough”???

Yep…. None!

Did the Persians put an ounce of belief into this statement?

Nope.

And do you know why, because they understand they were not the intended target.

An airplane arrival… a few photographs and a few words on the future of the region that is what will come of this “breakthrough”!

 Here is all we really need to understand.

The details of Saudi’s actions are known by the Saudis and only the Saudis.

The West will have to rely on the inputs from their “experts” who are looking for that next talking head gig or perhaps a GS 15 slot in DoS or the intelligence agencies.

Oh, as I've said before; there is one groups that may just have all the answers….. the Oil industry.

Who knows what about the Saudi’s intentions is based on money and money is based on oil.

Now, what these oil folks know is understood for only one reason….profit and profits are based on the power of knowledge.

Do these knowledge holders / power holders/ run to tell their secrets to Western Political Leaders?

That’s about as big a mystery as the inner workings of the Saudi kingdom.

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2014/05/13/Saudi-ready-to-negotiate-with-Iran-FM.html

ALEPPO…. “ WHAT IS JERUSALEM WORTH”?

Three years ago, I commented, at the beginning for the battle of Alleppo, Alleppo would be the Center of Gravity for the Rebels.

Well, who were the “rebels” three years ago and who are the “rebels” now no longer resembles the beginning.

Is Assad supporting Sunni, Fundamentalist Radicals…. The same ones he has battled for three years?

Was Assad able to divide the “enemy” to the point they spend as much energy killing each other as they spend fighting Assad and his Allies?

Did Assad truly figure out how to make this happen?

Of course not!

His Father could have pulled this off, but not the Eye Doctor or his Brother.

You can thank the Iranian CUD force for turning the tide of the Sunni factions.

It’s a process the Iranians perfected prior to Syria and it simply took a little bit of time to make it work.

Now, as for Aleppo; it’s the prize the Assad Team wants desperately.

Not because it’s a function city, it may never be that again.

It’s the symbol that makes it the “prize”!

It’s the city the Assad team would never retake!

So, what has changed?

Is the fall of Aleppo truly the end of the Sunni rebellion?

Are the “Rebels” whomever that may be now, read to call it quits?

As I stated about the situation with the city of Homs, the will to persevere must reside in more than just the minds of the Old Religious Leaders who sit and sip their Tea all day talking about what is at stake.

Rebellions have a Life Cycle and the cycle in Syria has is no different that the thousands of other rebellions over the history of man!

Yes, the 21^st century Pandora’s Box called the world wide web…. Social media has changed how conflicts are perceived, supported and then unsupported.

You see, it still takes young men willing to not only destroy their futures, but give up their lives for perhaps a 100 yrds of rubble that may be held for a day or less.

After three years of dying and an Enemy that seems embolden to take travesties to the next level, the population of these “young men” may be about spent.

Let me assure you, Assad, through the networks of Iran and the Tsar, know exactly how many new fighters are moving into Syria.

If that number is falling, then once again, the old BB King song may apply….”The Thrill is Gone”!

I cannot sit here tonight and tell you the “Tide” has turned or is about to turn.

I’m not willing to predict the fall of Aleppo.. the truth is, like Homs, Aleppo ceased being a “city” nearly three years ago.

Aleppo is not the strategic goal of the Assad Team.

Assad doesn’t get to make that call… he’s an Eye Doctor who inherited a Cold War process that is far too complicated for his brain.

This may not be the end for the Rebels.

Fighting may take place for years to come at a much lower level; just think in terms of what is taking place in Iraq right now.

What I do know is this….. The fate of Syria does not rest in the hands of the West!

It does not rest in the hands of the Arab League.

Syria is  tool… a tool of the Persians and the Tsar.

Who sets the tone for the foreseeable future in the Middle East is no longer an issue for the West to control.

Those days are gone… Into the pages of history… like thousands of other events in the region.

Aleppo:

In the movie “ Kingdom of Heaven”, there is a wonderful scene where Balian of Ibelin ask Saladin, “what is Jerusalem worth?”…. Saladin answers, “nothing”. Then as he walks away he turns and clinches his fist with the answer of, “Everything”!!!

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/05/syria-aleppo-rebels-fighters-war-civilians-ceasefire.html