ARE WE ABOUT TO BE 'PLAYED'???

Imagine a meeting with Hezbollah, Hamas and the behest of Iran?

Imagine a plan to bring the " Tunisian Virus" to Israel?

Imagine a 'battle cry' of 'freedom' for all Arab people'!!!

Imagine the same scenes from Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and Bahrain being broadcast from the 'West Bank'.

Sound out of the question?

If you think so, you are living in a world created by Walt Disney and I would like to make my reservation!

We keep applauding for the people of Egypt, Libya, Bahrain ect... ect...

Will we do the same when it is at the gates of Jerusalem?

Do we really believe that Israeli leadership will capitulate to an event they know was fabricated  by their mortal enemies?

Does all of this sound outrageous to you?

I hope not, because I am very afraid that is exactly where this entire journey may be heading.

I have said for weeks not our enemies would work hard to 'weaponize' the 'Tunisian Virus'.

I am growing convinced they have broke the code on how to make it happen.

Watch for Social network stories about 'day of rage' being called for in Israel.

It will not be called for quickly.

They will take their time setting this one up.

They must be ready for war if they become even remotely successful.

Israel will not go quietly into the darkness of history?

I have to think about this one a little more, but smart leaders need to get out in front of this issue as soon as possible.

SO. WE THINK ALL THESE COUNTRIES ARE READY FOR 'DEMOCRACY'???

How do you take a region of the world that has never seen 'Democracy' / our Western definition, and has been ruled autocratically for over a thousand years and BANG!!! Democracy!!!! Oh boy!!! It's taken us seven years to try this experiment with just one country, Iraq; I don't count Afghanistan like most rational people the experiment there is years away from a full test. Iraq has seen a coordinated, ok, somewhat coordinated, very lengthily and incredibly expensive process and in the long run it has a 50 /50 chance at best of becoming anything close to what we hoped it would. Ok; that's just ONE country... with the full resources of the US and it's allies. 

What are we dealing with in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Algeria, and so on and so on....?

Let's put this question in simpler terms.  

What will it take to see a successful 'Democratic' experience in all of these countries the Press is cheering for?

A economic structure based on a balanced, notice I didn't say completely 'just' Judicial system.

A Educational system that builds a common baseline for all categories of the society.

Yes several of these countries have "educational structure, but  many key elements are simply not there.

The tribal structure is a complete hindrance to 'Democracy' and good luck getting that message understood.

I could go on and on at the risk of sounding like one of the Ivey League 'Talking Heads' on CNN or FOX. Oh ya; can that one OLD Arabic Dude PLEASE cut those damn eyebrows of his. GOOD LORD!!

Folks; here is the simple--- UGLY truth.  'Democracy' is a fragile / complex / process that has to have so many key ingredients at just the right moments in time to be successful. Hell; look at how many times we have screwed it up in the US alone!

Don't get me wrong... I believe all people deserve to be free and equal. There are over six Billion people in this imperfect world and the struggle we are watching in the Arab world will probably not end the way we hope it would. 

Our real task is to be ready to deal with whatever comes of this historic event.

The world is changing as it should.. How do we deal with that change?

That is our challenge!



A DISASTROUS DAY!!

Libya provided one very crucial learning tool to some of the other Arab Nations today.

 Libya illustrated just how quickly bad decisions can lead to a complete disaster.

We need to understand just what really took place today in Libya.

The military split along lines of loyalty.

The elite Units even showed signs of defection.

This is critical because it could easily lead to intense fighting within the Libyan Military.

Something we have not seen in the past two months of the 'Tunisian Virus" event.

The next twelve to twenty-four hours cold lead to real 'unit on unit' action and I firmly believe this is why the Mad Dog's Son made the comment / warning / about Civil War coming to Libya.

Who owns the supply lines and who owns the ammo becomes the questions to look for answers.

The conscripted units are very poorly equipped and trained compared to the elite units.

The trick becomes what 'elite' units split and joint the revolt.

If key units do so, ground units; the Libyan Air force will most likely side with the dissidents, then the concept of a Civil War, all be it a short one, could come true.

No other Nation state nearby is going to risk getting involved given the turmoil of all of Northern Africa.

Bottom line; if Mommar, or however he spells his name this month, doesn't fall in the next twenty four hours, then things could get real ugly.

Oh ya; Saudi.... If they can't keep the lid on Bahrain, then the East coast of Saudi will get interesting.

We entering the next phase of the 'Tunisian Virus' and it's hard to tell where things are heading.

Can you say China??? Yep.   





RUMBLES IN CHINA??? FASCINATING!!!

'Jasmine Revolution'?

What a strange turn of events. China actually worrying about events in the Middle East spreading to mainland China.  

I go back to m original comments about the 'Tunisian Virus' and how nobody can predict what direction it may move.

One thing is becoming more and more clear.  The age of 'social networks' has changed how world events are viewed and now even take place. 

Strange how a few years ago with the onset of the Bird Flu scare, the world began to realize how fast such a 'virus' could and would spread.  The 'Global Community' is now able to get 'sick' not just from a physical virus, but from a social one as well.

With over 1 billion people and issues that run deep between multiple cultures and values in China, the impact of the 'Tunisian Virus' on China could be interesting to watch.  

Something else is really starting to amaze me. We seem to keep saying, " it's not likely these events in the Middle East and North Africa will impact stabilized countries such as Saudi and Kuwait".

Talking heads are shooting in the dark!!!

I said this a few days ago, but I will say it again.

Watch out for those who will try and start the same fires in the US.

Wisconsin and Ohio and a few others can be twisted in many different directions.

Last point for this evening.  

Sometimes the 'enemy' doesn't really care how reckless an event may become. Sometimes they don't care what the final product might be. They simply want to see damage done to the US and her allies.

The 'Tunisian Virus' continues to morph and where it is going could be anyone guess!!





LIBYA TAKEs THE "TUNISIAN VIRUS" TO A NEW LEVEL.

Heavy weapons are in use in Libya tonight. For those of you who know weapons, you know what it means to hear those words spoken!  If you are in a building behind what you think are safe walls, you are not!! If you are two miles away and you think you are safe, you are not!. Turning these weapons on the open public is just shy of Tiananmen Square in China. If you don't know what that means, your tax dollars got ripped off in Public School. 

What is different about Libya? Why is the violence able to reach such extreme levels? Simple, it's a country ruled by a Mad Man.  For all the talk of Mubarak being a dictator and a "really mean guy", he was a Patsy compared to Omar!!!

OBL and his movement HATE Omar and to take him down and further destabilize North Africa is a major achievement.

Here is what I find interesting.  We, the US seem to be in favor of this " freedom movement".  But do we really know what it's future will bring for the West?

Is loosing Omar a good thing?

Was losing Mubarak a good thing?

At what price to we wish freedom for everyone?

In 2011, the deffinition of "Freedom" could very well be "elect those who HATE us and all that we stand for". 

Helen Reddy songs and " love fest" will not keep America safe.

Oh ya; before I leave tonight; has anyone hear of any " Days of Rage" in China?? LMAO!!!

US vs IRAN. BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU ASK FOR!!

Ok; It's Friday night, so I will keep this short and sweat.

The topic is probably more relevant know than it has been for several years.

For several days now, many of the "talking heads" have been commenting on how the US seems to be using the "Tunisian Virus" to its advantage when dealing with Iran.

At first glance, Having the Secretary of State and even the President comment on Iran's "hypocritical" stance towards Egypt and events in Iran may seem like a smart move.

But, as I said last night, this whole concept needs to be analyzed for potential pitfalls.

If the Virus really does take hold in Iran and Iran's leadership, oh by the way the two of them don't really get along, begins to believe they may lose control, then we will enter a very dangerous perhaps even disastrous period for the Middle East. A wounded animal concept!

Why did this become far more important today compared to yesterday or anytime before?

Iran's Navel movement that was all over the news for the past two days is the reason.

Think about it.

Look at the news that has piled up on Israel for the past two months:

                Lebanon

                Egypt

                The US treatment of Mubarak ( a trusted ally)

                Weiki leaks that may very well bring down the Palestinian Government and bring Hamas into full rule.

                And now Iran openly  pushing the Brinksmanship envelope by sailing through the Suez Canal.   

Ok; now let's look at Iran:

                Iran knows the world pressure on their weapons program is creating an economic environment they cannot   sustain.

                Syria is closer to contemplating distancing itself from Iran then every before. They know a War on Iran will   bring ruin to Syria and most likely a change in leadership. They see the "talking going on between Syria                 and Saudi Arabia. " Those Arabs are up to something and we Persians know it". Oh ya; have I mentioned how the US has and  is completely missing the opportunity to play Arab against Persians? I will get to that    some other night.

                The "Green Party" is working hard every day to "Weaponize" the "Tunisian Virus". Just look at the events   this week in Iran?

So; let's cut to the chase. What does all of this mean?

If you can't see it, you are probably well on your way to being a politician!

Iran and Israel could very well be shoved into a conflict and we, the US, are doing the shoving. The frightening thing is, I'm not sure we know it.  





OK. IF YOU DO NOT RECOGNIZE THIS MAN, RETURN TO THE "SOAP" CHANNEL!!

KHADAFI AND THE TUNISIAN VIRUS

Two weeks ago I talked about our enemies trying desperately to figure out how to weaponize the "Tunisian Virus".

Two things are becoming apparent.

                1.  The "art" of weaponizing the "Virus" is far from being stabilized.  Khadafi is living proof!

                2.  The US is attempting to taken on the weaponization process towards Iran. The problem is, the second       and third order effects are far from understood. Placing pressure on Iran by stating they are hypocrites to              praise the acts in Egypt and crush the same acts in Iran is high risk maneuver. A panicked Iran is a         dangerous animal. Now; combine a panicked Iran with a very paranoid Israel, an Israel that day by day    believes more and more the US may not stick by their side and you have a real recipe for    disaster.

One thing remains very clear as of February 17th 2011; the future of the "Tunisian Virus" is very much up in the air.