POST PANDEMIC
WHAT WILL THE WORLD LOOK LIKE?
As every expert in the world has said, this event will run its course. But, let me add a twist to this cut and paste analysis. This Pandemic will most likely be replaced by the next urgent event. Does that mean we are going to go from one crisis to another? That's my bet. Why do I make this depressing prediction? Look at this way. when you break, shatter, something that is fragile, it's hard to make it look pristine again. When something technical fails, it's usually weakened to the point it will fail again. So, what's my point? Modern societies are fragile, dependent on an astronomical number of support factors. Life in the modern world is complex beyond our comprehension. We have built such a highly tuned machine, keeping it from falling apart, right now, seems more difficult than any of the "experts" can figure out. We are train wrecking the global economy, and we are not doing it deliberately, well, at least not most of us, and as we try to slow the crash, we are setting ourselves up for the next crisis. When I put my military had back on, I would say we are deep....deep into Combat Fatigue. We've been on this pandemic induced nightmare for over two months, 24/7/365. We will spend every ounce of energy trying to put all the pieces back together again, and at the end of that attempt, we won't have much left in the tank. Yes, the major nations in the world are based on the most fragile construction of society ever built. Getting back to, "normal", probably won't be achieved. So, some of the "experts" are correct. The new normal will be different. "Things" will have changed. But, do those changes bring on the next crisis, and will we have the energy to confront whatever that crisis might be?
The Next Crisis:
What is the next potential crisis? What event will most likely take place that actually makes the world's attention move away from the Pandemic? Here is my best guess. Every nation in the world, even if they don't admit it, is dealing with the results of this pandemic. The reality is, the real damage is the economic destruction of a global market system. For over a week now, stories from all over the world have been coming in on topics like nations beginning to limit or even stop the shipment of items the rest of the world is dependent upon. You see, it's not just people who hoard. Nations can take the hoarding concept to a whole new level. Nation-state hoarding is a growing storyline, and it's a real, next level, a threat to an already destabilized world. Agreements such as OPEC, are a prime example of, "Every man for themselves'. Nations can have all the agreements their political and industrial leaders can think of, but when it comes down to survival time, agreements are nothing more than handshakes and papers. Just look at the Tsar and the Prince.
If nation-state hoarding is not a strong enough indicator for you, then let's take a look at the production of raw materials. When one nation, a modern Super Power nation, relies on another nation's ability to mine and ship vital raw materials to the production facilities somewhere else in the world, and that process begins to show sign of falling apart, then what? Is this taking place right now? Yes. Is it a major news story? Not yet, but it could become so very soon. You see, the MSM is too focused on the body bags and the blame game in DC. Who does see the global indicators is the Intelligence Community, the IC. Are they seeing signs of further fractures in the foundations of global production and distribution? If they are, that news is not being well received by any world leader. Fear of sickness is a powerful weapon and that fear is being spread to those who are responsible for the production of raw materials. What keeps them working? They are desperate for the pay and thus, they are willing to risk their lives for the sake of having the job. That keeps the whole train moving until the price gets too high at the production level. Kids, workers infecting kids, kids with no health care, that's when it breaks down, and that is what the IC watching.
Fear. It's a Global Thing:
Since the pandemic panic started, 2 million guns have been sold in the US, just in March! Fear, it seems the 2nd amendment of the US Constitution suddenly found a whole bunch of additional supporters.
Here is the reality of fear. It doesn't just exist at the individual level. It doesn't take place with only the poor or the less educated. At it's most dangerous point, fear overtakes all levels of society, including governance. When you surround the population with 24/7/ fear like the MSM loves to do, then they convince leaders they must do something to alleviate those fears. As a reminder, MSM is nothing more than an ideological/political weapon, at least in the West. In many parts of the world, people now fear for their future, their economic future, and that leads to fear for their physical future, regardless if they get "sick" or not. Fear. It's the issue that drives nations to desperate actions.
So What:
The title of this post was based on answering the question, what will the world look like, post-pandemic? I've set the scene I needed to. I've come to the point where I will attempt to answer, in my opinion, the post-pandemic world question. Here is what I like to call the, "So What?"
Stop the Bleeding:
Convincing the world the pandemic is coming under control is vital to keeping societies and nations from taking desperate, aggressive actions.
Tell the Truth:
The age-old battle of political leadership in a crisis; tell the truth and risk panic, or handing the advantage to political rivals, or limiting the truth to keep the population from panic, with the risk of being called a liar, thus destroying trust. It's a process very few governments ever get right and in today's world, it's a process that has global observation and reaction. Yes, governing over 7 BILLION people is the challenge. Truth. It's the concept that almost always becomes the victim in a leadership crisis. China Lied. Can the world leadership tell the truth?
Limit the damage:
Damage control. That's the phase the US and many other nations find themselves in. How does the world stop the economic nosedive as they also attempt to stop or even slow the virus? It became clear to just about everyone, the approach to stop the virus was catastrophic to the global economy. Did global leadership realize the price they were going to pay? Yes, but not to the levels that are taking place. Damage control. It's the most difficult, and yet the most critical event taking place in the world today. It's the test many governments are failing miserably, and that leads us right back to the issue of the next crisis.
I covered the 3 steps above without addressing the most important phase. "Recovery". Why? Because it's this recovery phase that seems to be the foundation of the next crisis. Global crises stress global unity and recovery from this pandemic, economic and physical pandemic, will require global unity. "Every man for themselves", that's the next real crisis! The world must, at all costs, avoid the Every man for themselves crisis. The problem is, this process is already well underway. How do we turn that ship around? How do nation's incorporate the needs and demands of other nations when their own populations are struggling? Global unemployment means absolutely nothing to someone who has lost their job in Chicago or London. Here is the problem. We can't reach, "Global Unity" and as that reality becomes known, nations will begin to do what's best for them. If that problem was not enough, never forget the world has leaders who see this pandemic crisis as an opportunity, and that includes Emperor Xi. Yesterday, I addressed the issue of the US sending messages, messages that are actually warnings. There is only one reason those messages are being sent. the indicators are there. Nations are starting to do what is best for them. Even worse, some are out to change the world order and this crisis is the tool they are using to achieve that goal.
I'll end this post with two comments. One is a warning of what the next crisis might be, and the second is a message of hope.
Prolonged hard times, global hard times end with conflicts, conflicts that may start with proxies, but can end with major nations against major nations. Some leaders are desperate and some leaders are hungry and see a weakened enemy. A dangerous prediction of our next true crisis.
If people hear the truth and hear it now, over and over again, then pressure can be applied to keep leaders from taking the conflict way out. Is China upset with the Emperor? Rumor has it. Does that keep the next crisis from taking place? Tell the truth. Tell the people what may be ahead of them and let them own their own future. If, "Every man for themselves" is the path nations are going to take, let the people know that upfront.
Global markets, global trade, global interconnectivity? Is that the straw that broke the Camel's back?
Is the post-pandemic world no longer based on global interaction? In order to find out, we have to get there fist. Dangerous times ahead!
