RUSSIA’S UPDATED FOREIGN POLICY STRATEGY.  HINTS OF CHANGE?

Yet another example of an important event taking place that just seems to have slipped by the major networks took place two weeks ago. Honestly, It wasn’t until a few days ago, when I was reading this article, that I realized the Tsar had released his countries’ updated Foreign Policy Strategy.

Now, you might ask, “so what”? Why should the average Joe on the street care what this document states? Well, if you like seeing dramatic events take place on the major news networks as you tilt you head like a dog hearing a loud noise, if you like having a major event explained to you because some 30 year old Blond with spiked heels and a slit dress is translating the event for you, our you wait for the plastic hair looking political leader to scramble for airtime in order to look important / gain votes / after a two minute brief from one of their staffers, then simply stop reading what I am about to say. If you are just a little inquisitive as to how your world may be impacted by major events, then let’s travel on.

Major Policy documents by dominant powers in the world, such as this one, are scrutinized long before they are officially released.  A virtual legion of analyst, from multiple countries are assigned to track documents like this one twenty-four hours a day, 365 days out of the year. What is going to be said, what does certain statements “really mean”? These are the questions that billions of dollars are allocated towards with the single goal of finding the most accurate answers. By the time the actual documents are released, the typical reaction is, did it say what everyone anticipated it would say? Just how good was the intelligence community that worked on the project?  

Two schools of thought:

1.       These documents are gospel!

They announce to the world the absolute intent of the nation that released it.  They provide a window into the inner workings of those who call the shots. They are often filled with “hidden meanings….. Subliminal messaging….words between the words”!!!! Hint. This is the area the intelligence community lives for. The geeky guys and girls who have spent their whole lives studying the people who draft the documents. The ones that know the name of the Tsar’s first dog and his second grade teacher’s maiden name. Hollywood loves to portray these folks in just about every government based thriller.

Industry thrives on these documents. Billions or even Trillions of dollars are influenced by what these documents state. The Defense Industry and their Lobbyist spend almost as much time preparing for this level of document as the intelligence industry does and as a matter of fact, if you are about to leave the intelligence industry and want to find a home with the private industry, just show your value by supporting one of the concepts that will be pithed based on the findings of the document. From the industry standpoint, the ability to secure the next generation gadget is based on two issues. One, classified intelligence that shows research and  production and second, documents that state what strategic direction the nation claims they are heading. We must have the new widget given the enemy clearly states they are going to utilize the concept of the widget. The Arm’s Race concept in a very simplistic viewpoint.

2.      These documents are not worth the paper they are written on!

Some see this level of documentation as nothing more than a ploy or even worse, disinformation. Make a few bold statements about what you intend on doing and then watch to see how your enemy reacts. Can you get your enemy to expend billions on concepts that are worthless? Once again, one of the favorite concepts for the intelligence community. Are the statements true if so, what can they find to back them up? Again, billions are spent on trying to determine if the statements are factual or are they a ploy?

Do nations actually follow what they put on paper? Are these documents truly a guideline for what they intend on doing or are they simply required homework, the next is a series of episodes that have a timeline for production? You know, are they simply going through the motions? Imagine how confusing it would be if a nation wrote several of these over a period of time and never followed half of what they said, oh ya, that is usually what happens, and then suddenly they make some dramatic change in strategy? The opposition intelligence community would have a nervous breakdown. With all the overanalyising that takes place mixed in with political leveraging for prestige or party positioning, how is it that any nation can truly determine if a strategic document is worthy of reacting to?

Hugely complex and astronomically important to fiscal expenditure, a Foreign Policy Strategy release by the Russians is vital to every nation that looks across the table at the Tsar. Why did this topic not come up in the past two weeks? Well, in DC the thought process is the common Joe on the Street doesn’t care and wouldn’t understand and even worse…… they are not capable of understanding.   If you disagree, pull this document of the internet and read it and then you decide what it means to you.

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/12/middle-east-russia-foreign-policy-strategy.html

WITH THE US SANCTIONS ON IRAN TO CONTINUE, WHAT ARE IRAN’S OPTIONS?

As usual, the news and events of the world continue to move at an every quickening pace. As I have said before, this pace makes it extremely easy to overlook key events that are not wrapped in blood or bombs or scandal….you know… the key ingredients Western Media looks for. “Like the song said, “Get the Widow on the set”!

So, the US has extended the sanctions on Iran? Not sure the common Joe in the US knows are cares, but most do think the nuclear weapons deal was a bad move. The Republican held House and Senate absolutely thought so and still do. Even several of the middle of the road Democrats, not many of them left, agreed. But in the end, with all the others events taking place in the US, the story of these sanctions being extended for ten more years, well, it never grabbed anyone’s attention, in the US that is.

The Iranian perspective:

Did anyone in DC really think through the impact the decision to continue the sanctions would have on the pending Iranian elections? I would hope so, but then again, it is DC.

Did anyone rationalize the move to continue the sanctions might strengthen the standing of the “Hardliners” in Iran; as if the “Moderates” were some Liberal group of thinkers?  Probably and if so, what logic did they apply to the process? My bet is this was yet another round of, “let’s defy what the White House wants to do and not really contemplate the second and third order effects of our actions. Okay, before you start twitching, no I do not support the Obama Administration’s stance on the nuclear deal with Iran. It was a disaster and a ploy by the Iranians from day one. What the US ended up with is both sides of the political spectrum making poorly thought out decisions.  

Can the Iranians really afford to walk away from the deal? No. To openly announce continuation of their program, something they are doing anyway, would bring them that much closer to devastation at the hands of the IDF. As I have said time and time again, never ever believe that Israel will ask for permission to attack Iran’s program.

Are the outcomes of the pending elections really open to external influence?  Doesn’t Khamenei and his gang actually control who runs? That might be why DC decided to move forward. What does it matter? Again, let’s hope that DC utilized that much brain matter on the decision.  By the way, with the turmoil in the quest for power in Iran, post Khamenei, the absolute control of how the voting may go could be questionable. Yep, there is a chance the crisis in Iran is deeper than we know. You see, it’s no longer about “Hardliners” or “Moderates”. It’s about who the next Khamenei is going to be.

What options do the Iranians have? Like I said earlier, they can’t just walk away from the agreement, but, they have other options. Shia militias, controlled / supported / by Iran are now operational in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yamen and their ability to destabilize the GCC is always on the table.  I just have to wonder if they anticipated the move by the US from the very beginning. If so, then the “actions” they claim they may take have been well thought out. As a reminder, they never intended to live by this agreement to begin with.

Changes:

With the reality of the Iranian nuclear agreement coming back into play, we should ask ourselves, “Has anything changed”? Well, the leadership in the US has changed and changed dramatically. The involvement of the Russians in the region has “Changed” almost as dramatically as the US leadership. The Iranian involvement, open involvement, in the region has changed is a dramatic manner. So, not only has there been “Change”, there has been widespread, dramatic change!

What does all of this “Change” mean for the agreement? Oh, did I mention how distracted the European members of the initial negotiation team have become? My hunch is, the issue of the Iranian nuclear program is going to rise to nearly the top of the “ need to do something” list for the inbound US President.

Yep, this story just kind of slipped on by a few weeks ago, but I have a feeling the topic is heading back to the front page sooner than many realize.

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/12/iran-council-monitoring-jcpoa-nuclear-deal-isa-reaction.html

DECEMBER 7^TH 1941 A DAY THAT WILL LIVE IN INFAMY….OR DOES IT?

As the old saying goes, “Time marches on”.  Seventy-five years after the attack at Pearl Harbor how much attention should the nation give this event? The US “Big Three, CNN, FOX and  MSNBC……. well, two of them had small, below the line stories leading off this morning and I am surprised MSNBC didn’t run a story showing that Pearl Harbor was the US’s fault!  Yes, most of those who fought in WWII are gone, but not all……..not all of them. Oceans turn into Mountains, Forrest turn into Deserts…time marches on! Is there really a reason to honor this day with more than a below the line story? Politicians will let the day pass by with barely a comment as there are simply no votes to be gained by talking about it.  What does it matter? Does the nation still celebrate the surrender of the South at the end of the Civil War? Does it recognize the date Cornwallis surrendered at Yorktown? These are two very significant events in the US’s history and 99.9 percent of the nation doesn’t even know what year they took place. The US is filled with the “Now society”….you know… Janet’s line…..” What have you done for me lately”? So in the words of the person who won the popular vote in the US, Hillary Clinton, “What does it matter”? It’s in the past!

History:

One of the most abused topics in the US society. Yes, history is often recorded with rose colored glasses on, but knowing enough about one’s history to see discrepancies thus allowing one to ask questions, that is a concept lost with the US culture. Many societies understand their past and celibate events that are thousands of years old and please don’t comment that the US does the same by using Christmas as your example. For those of you that don’t know it, Christmas is about the birth of a Savior and Christianity, not the US and Black Friday sales. Sorry, it’s not a concept initiated in the US.

Should a society drive on? Should the living reach a point where the events of the past are simply not worthy of taking time out of a busy day to contemplate?

 Is it healthy to dwell on the tragedies of the past and if so, for how long?

Pearl Harbor Day was never made a national holiday. How important could it be?

Lessons from History:

What’s the old saying? “Those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat it”.  What does the history of Pearl Harbor have to teach the people of the US? Was the lesson paid for by those who died in that war lost? Does anyone in the US ever stop to ask themselves such a question? “What does it matter”?

On December 7^th 1941 one nation attacked another. One nation was convinced the attack must happen in order to secure their position of strength in the Pacific. One nation who feared such an event was perhaps going to happen, simply refused to make hard decisions at the right moment in time. Arrogance and ignorance are the twin Brothers of poor leadership. The War in the Pacific was underway on that day, at least for the US. The struggle for power and dominance was once again the excuse for death on a massive scale.  National survival was the battle cry, on both sides of the battlefield.

Why do nations go to war? Why do political and sometimes military leaders convince themselves that others must toss their lives onto the fires of conflict? What lessons were missed prior to a war that could have been avoided with a better understanding of “History”?  How important should the lessons from man’s history be to those who are in a position of power?

On December 7^th 1941, the US society was tossed onto the fires of war. How important is it to understand the events that impact the whole of a nation’s society?

Is it worth taking the time to study some seventy-five years later?

Are the people of the United States distend to repeat history?

It’s 2016 and in the Pacific sits a Dragon. A Dragon who is growing more and more convinced its ability to survive in the region is being pressured by another nation.  

Was Pearl Harbor really a “surprise attack”?

Will the US fail to understand its history?

Does history really repeat itself? 

“THE IRANIAN EMPIRE IS BACK”?   WHAT?...... WHAT “EMPIRE”?

Far more often than not, I agree with and even admire the writers that are posted on NOW, but this particular article by Hussain Abdul- Hussain clearly misses the primary mark and perhaps for a logical reason. It’s not unusual for the writers in the Middle East to look at the world through the eyes of someone who was born and raised in the region. Actually, provincial perspective is common, even in the world of information based on the internet.  Are the Iranian’s or as I refer to them, the Persians, attempting to leverage their position in the region? Yes, of course they are.  Again, not that uncommon in the region. The struggle for dominance is a daily event in many parts of the world.  But, unfortunately for this Author, this particular story is missing a key ingredient.

Question:

Given the complexity of the Middle East, given the absence of US exceptionalism and leadership, is Iran really in a position to make changes to the region or even the religion of over a billion people without true Super Powers having a say in what Iran attempts? No. the short answer is NO! Here is the explanation of the “NO” answer. The region is what it has been since the end of the First World War. It’s political, economic chessboard utilized by global powers. It’s a slice of the world that has deep religious overtones on a majority of the world’s believers. It’s was, but is now a decreasing cog in the economic engine that has run the motors of the world. Oil! It’s for all of these reasons the region has not been allowed to decide its own fate for centuries. So, two significant issues shape the actions of the Middle East. Religion and oil! Iran’s ability to control ether of these two topics will simply never be allowed. Granted, the issue of oil and the dependency of several regional governments on oil is changing as I write this post. The future of the Middle East being able to leverage oil prices has been declining for several years now and some even predict the immanent collapse of this influence.  But, nothing is taking place or is about to take place that would convince other powers in the world to allow the Persians to simply take over the helm of the Middle Eastern Dhow!

Reality:

As much as many of the writers in the Middle East are worried about the pending aggressiveness of the Iranians, the truth is, Iran is still a Puppet, even if they don’t like it or don’t admit to the statement. Where do the strings of the Puppet end? Moscow! Yes, Moscow. If you don’t believe that, then you are missing the complexities of the game being played by the real world powers. Just as many of the people in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon may not admit the Persians control their fate, the average Persian on the street most likely doesn’t realize the Moscow Puppet Master reality. “Soft Power”. A 21^st century topic that usually ends up in the writings of some Western Military Officer trying to pass a Professional Military Education class for the sake of being promoted. What most of us do understand is the concept of “passive aggression”.  What the Tsar has been successful with executing on the Persians is a classic example of ether topic. Not unlike the West, at least the West before the death of American Exceptionalism, a classic plot of getting your Puppet addicted to your military hardware, your “support” in many, often unforeseen, areas is exactly what the Russians have accomplished with Iran.  Do you need an example? Where would the fight in Syria be without Russian support? Does anyone think that Iranian Air Force could have accomplished anything near what the Russians have?  Why do we never seen the Iranian fighters in the skies working in a combined operation….ground…air… host nation operation? Because they can’t. What they can do is hold demonstrations, parades and flyovers. That is what they can do. Never…..EVER… let you enemy see your vulnerability and the Iranian Air Force is a joke and thus exposing the truth not only to those that already now, but to the world media, that would be disastrous.

Bottom Line:

The Persians are not capable of dictating to the region what is going to take place. The Persians may not admit it, but they are not the masters of their own fate. The region is still too important to other true world powers and the decisions on what will take place in the region will not be made in the Persian capital. Yes, the Persians will be manipulated, knowing and unknowingly by “others” and on the surface, it may appear they are calling the shots. They are not and they will not. Here is what scares me. Sometime unsupervised children do stupid things and the parents only find out after the mess has been made. “Johnny… I thought told you to not color on your walls”? What the Tsar uses the Persians for and what messes they make, that is the dangerous part of this story.

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/commentaryanalysis/567528-the-iranian-empire-is-back

CASTRO AND THOSE WHO SPOKE WELL OF HIM.

I guess no single newline could have shown the profound difference between the administration that is currently representing the US and the one that is soon to be coming to power than the death of Castro.  By the way, did you notice I stated “represents” and not “ Runs” when mentioning the office of the Presidency of the United States? For the record, I count against the ranks of those who firmly believe the President of the US works for the people and as such, he or she represents. “Running / in power / is in charge/ all are statements of Command. Yes the President is the Commander in Chief when the time is needed for him or her to be so, but day to day, day in and day out, that person works for the citizens of the US. Sometimes they need to be reminded and by the way, that is what happened on Nov 8^th of 2016. Okay, back to my issue of Castro.

When I first heard some of the statements being made by people around the world about Castro’s death, I patiently waited to see who would strike first in the US. The current President or the President Elect? Now, I anticipated  what the difference was going to be in the description of Castro as seen from the minds of President Obama and President Trump, but I will admit, President Obama’s “Official” statement about letting history see  where Castro memory is held was almost shocking! As for President Elect Trump, well, he is and will be a “shoot from the hip” kind of guy and we will have to see what that holds for US. But, it’s the current President’s stance that made me sit down and contemplate just how far left he truly is. Only the loyal, liberal Socialist of the world could possibly portray Castro as a figure that might have his place in history altered to overlook the crimes against humanity he was guilty of. If someone is under the age of 60 and gained their knowledge of Castro from Universities and the daydreaming fools that teach there, then it’s very posable Castro’s image might be twisted to the point of the “Greater Cause”, the “Collective” and how he was one of their Champions. As an example, just look at the people who wear clothing with pictures of Che Guevara on the front of their shirts or his famous hat. It’s “Cool”! I’m convinced that President Obama is one of those followers who at a very young age, dreamed of meeting Castro or even seeing his cause championed throughout the world. How could he possibly say anything disrespectful of Castro, but not anger those in the nation still old enough or knowledgeable enough to know the real Castro? Oh ya…. What about the Democrats worrying over the Latino vote? Yep, most Democrats are still ignorant enough to think Latinos give a damn about leftwing killers like Castro. It’s that whole Che Tshirt concept at the political party level.

It’s always amazed me that a group of people who get a daily intelligence dump / analysis / of just about anything going on in the world that might impact the nation often have no clue as to the history of the nation or the events in the world that shaped the US. I say US because sadly, many of the other world leaders are very knowledgeable of their countries history as distorted as it sometimes may be.

Mr. Castro. I don’t refer to him with his first name attached because to me, that is giving him some level of accreditation and the good Lord knows I would never do that. So, who was Mr. Castro?

Let me give you a picture of Castro. Let me tell you a story that may help you decide where he belongs in the history of the Human Race. No, I’m not going to talk about the Guerilla movements in Central or South America and his support for them. No, I’m not going to address his actions in Africa and the Puppet Strings the Soviet Union had on him as they worked to counter the West. You see, most of those arguments end with the same old worn-out rebuttal. “Well…the US and the West has done horrible things as well”!  Governance. Perhaps its definition in Webster should include, “the ability to justify cruel and destructive acts all in the name of people”? But, I’m not here to defend the acts of any government. I am making a point about Mr. Castro.

The Cuban Missile Crisis!

Was it Castro’s idea to place nuclear weapons on Cuban soil?

No.

Castro was a loyal Puppet and was more than happy to show his Masters in Moscow his desire to do their bidding. But, Castro was more than that. Castro was a very angry and very disturbed College Campus bread radical! Castro was mentally unstable and for those of you who are Castro fans, sorry, but it’s true. If you wish to insert the typical, “but the US and the Capitalist…..” feel free to do so, but I am going to drive on towards my point.

 Castro was a puppet of Moscow. It’s also true Castro dreamed of being the supreme leader of all the Latin America countries. If the Russians were successful in bringing communist rule to the Western world, then Castro would rightfully be chosen to rule over the Americas…. That new part of that new world order. War with the Capitalist West would lead to Castro being the leader of Latin America or even the Americas all together. Well, that is what he believed…that is what he dreamed of. His support to the Soviets and the KGB in Africa. His support to the IRA and to the Palestinians, none of that was to simply help those who thought like him. He was buying love. He was buying support from the one nation that had a philosophy he was indoctrinated in and could truly change the course of history in Latin America. The one nation that could make him the most powerful man in the Americas. So, helping to kill innocent bystanders, teaching radical members how to bomb the innocent to the point they would hopefully force their political leaders to come to terms with the Revolutionaries, that was acceptable to a power-hungry dreamer like Castro. Yes. To Mr. Castro, it was all about his place in history.

 When the time came and Castro’s Masters in Moscow decided the nuclear weapons in Turkey, on the Russian border, where no longer tolerable, Castro was told of a plan. A plan to place the same type weapons on his beloved Cuba; the Cuba he told by force. Eager to finally see the “Revolution” get underway, eager to see the arrogant Capitalist brought to their knees, Castro was more than willing to take this leap into warfare. It’s accurate to say that Castro was even euphoric over the idea of having nuclear weapons on Cuban land.  In his mind the time for war had come and the outcome was going to be the Communist utopia he had dreamed of. But, like with all dreams, he had to wake up at some point. He had to realize the deals to avoid a nuclear war were going to be struck without his input. After all, he was just a C Team puppet and his Masters in Moscow would strike the deals and never even allow him to read the notes.

Castro was a violent man and a very angry man and bad news never sat well with him. When it became clear to him the Soviets were not going to launch a nuclear war with the US and start his rise to power, his frustration was clear. The stories, validated stories by the Russians themselves of Castro’s anger are not only true, they are documented. His anger grew to the point that he demanded, yes, demanded the tactical nukes on his land be turned over to him. Castro wanted to control the ability to release those tactical weapons. The idea of Moscow agreeing to such a demand was and is still laughable. In the end, the weapon went home, the First Strike capabilities of the Soviet Union was removed from Cuba and shortly afterwards, quietly, the same took place in Tukey….well….maybe!  Side note. With the perfection of nuclear laden subs, the idea of needing land base, up close tactical nukes was questionable to begin with. It was all more of a political game, a very…very…dangerous game. A game still played today.

So, who was Mr. Castro? Here is my answer. Castro was an angry, mentally unstable power hungry dreamer prone to violence. Castro was the man who demanded he be allowed to attack the US with nuclear weapons and start the war that would lead to his rise to power.  Castro never got his way and he resented the Russians for it for the rest of his life. But, sadly, he had sold his county so far down the Soviet River, the West / US / would never trust Cuba again.

The man that dreamed of nuclear war, the deaths of millions or even billions of people and the destruction of the US and all the Capitalist West stands for died last week.  

How should history “judge” him? The current President says, “Let history judge”.

The President Elect says, “Good riddance”!

I tend to agree with the incoming President and the nuclear war we avoided.

One last note.

 I hear his ashes are in a secret place. How apropos he ended as ashes, for if he had gotten his way that is exactly where he would have ended up. 

KHAMENENI’S DELUSIONAL GENERALS SANCTIONED  OR NOT? 

Safavi speaks without the Boss’s approval? Did Khamenei have knowledge that Safavi was going to make such a spectacularly stupid statement? Just how much control does the Master have? Yes, there is a power struggle taking place in Iran and it’s taking place on several fronts. It’s not just about political viewpoints…. “Moderate vs Hardline”. Oh, as a reminder….. The definition of “Moderate” in Iran is a hardliner anywhere else in the world and the definition of an Iranian “Hardliner” is better described as mentally unstable to the rest of us.

This is not the first time I’ve commented on the canned speeches coming out of Iran and it’s also not the first time I’ve addressed the issue of a power struggle inside key leadership. So, what’s so important about yet another really stupid statement by some lower level General in Iran? Well, for one thing, it’s a new day in the US….. you know… “ The Great Satan”! Now, the odds are, most of the inbound Trump team is going to totally ignore the words of an idiot like Safavi, that is unless someone takes a stance to change the game inside of Iran. What do I mean? About a year ago, I addressed the issue of the West finding a way to put pressure on the struggle that is taking place inside of Iran. I talked about how Khamenei’s health is a real known issue now and the post Khamenei Iran is on the minds of the power hungry Iranian leaders. In short, if the West played its cards correctly, seldom done I know, the future of Iran could be altered. I even argued, at one point that this concept was possibly behind the nuclear weapons deal the Obama team screwed up so badly. Yep, I thought the game may have been to place pressure on the moderates to come to the table and then have the hardliners force an internal crisis. To be honest, to some extent, that has been taking place. Giving credit to the Obama team is questionable at best as most of what they did for eight years was based on stumbling through minefields.  

Once again the question becomes, was this a sanctioned statement or the work of yet another aspiring has-been that is trying to make a name for himself? Iran, like it or not, admit it or not, is coming to a crossroads. The Persian dreams for the region or the Muslim religion is just that a dream. No, actually it’s a delusion. If the statement by this fool was preapproved, then that would be even more disturbing, for it shows the world just how dangerous the power struggle in Iran is becoming. If it was not approved, they yep………that is disturbing because it shows the world the struggle inside Iran is continuing.  Iran may read its own press and many of the statements its Wanabe leaders make are actually for internal consumption, but the world is changing and it’s changing without consultation of the Persians.

By the way, here is a great quote from the Warrior who will lead the United States Military under President Trump. Barking Dogs like Safavi may need to have their muzzles put back on.  

“I come in peace. I didn’t bring artillery. But I’m pleading with you, with tears in my eyes: If you fuck with me, I’ll kill you all.”

(San Diego Union Tribune)

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2016/11/30/Khamenei-s-top-advisor-Iran-will-head-global-Islamic-state.html

KADYROV, PUTIN AND THE MIDDLE EAST.

Absolutely one of the most interesting and dangerous leaders in the world today has popped up again in the Middle East. Yes, Kadyrov, often referred to as “The King of Chechnya”   he has been there before, but every time he shows up, it is based on some decision the Tsar is about to make or some plan that his Master has underway. He is and has been one of the Tsar’s most loyal “Thugs” for several years now. But, like any crime family, “The Kiss” can often be the last thing you remember! Having said that, what is Kadyrov up to now? A great question once again posed by the writers at Al-Monitor? Their hint that he might be ever so carefully forging his own path is an interesting theory, but a very….very…dangerous one! For those that really don’t know a great deal about Kadyrov, let me give you a down and dirty picture.

Back in 2014, I posted this story about Mr. Kadyrov visiting with the King of Jordan and how puzzling I thought that was at the time. http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/search?q=Kadyrov

So, you see, his tasking by the Tsar as a messenger is not new news.  But his history with the Tsar might give you some insight as to what he might be….might be… thinking.  You see, his Father, Akhmad Kadyrov, was the President of Chechnya and was assassinated in 2004 at a Victory Day Ceremony. Akhmad Kadyrov was a well-known Rebel who fought the Russians in the Chechen wars. He, was Muslim and he hated the Russians!  As a reminder, this was a conflict where the Russians finally gained the upper hand by pounding the Chechen Capital into dust. Take the time to read about Grozny and tell me if you don’t see the logic behind what the Russians’ actions in Aleppo. How deep do the feelings go between a Father and a Son? Was his Father just in the fight for the money? Was the Tsar able to buy him to help break the back of the Rebels? Akhmad Kadyrov was seen as a trader by his Muslim Fighters. Did they kill him for it? That is how the story goes. But, here is a question I have and I know I am not the only one to ask. Did the Tsar ever really trust President Kadyrov? Did he receive the Mafia “Kiss”?  How many Hollywood movies have been made where the bad guy gets close to his Boss for the sake of revenge? Does the Tsar really “trust” the Son of Kadyrov?

Well, there is the background worthy of thinking about when the topic of, “what is the current President Kadyrov up to in the Middle East.   Could it be as the writer for NOW states? Is it possible The Chechen King is quietly, slowly, trying to build his reputation as a regional, Muslim leader? Could he be doing this without the Tsar’s blessing or perhaps adding agenda items to a trip the Tsar sanction? Betraying Putin is like reaching into the mouth of a shark to retrieve a lure. You may want it, but do you want it that bad?

Kadyrov is a young man. His post Putin time is something he should be worried about, but making a name for yourself at the risk of the Mafia Boss perceiving you are “making a move”, well, that’s a  surefire way to have a toe tag placed on your body.

As for the theory of deep-seated revenge; a revenge based on the murder of one’s Father, that’s an angle that I find interesting. Does Kadyrov blame the Muslim Rebels or does he suspect the Tsar; a man who had his most dangerous enemy killed right outside the gates of the Kremlin, in the open public? Revenge! A concept in the West that simply doesn’t hold the same value as in other parts of the world. In the US, if you Grandfather had a neighbor that he didn’t get along with or even got into a conflict with, it didn’t matter to you or your children. To be honest, in the US, most people have no idea what their ancestors did or didn’t do. But, in Kadyrov’s world, nearly the opposite holds true. Blood and the history of Bad Blood runs from generation to generation. Just ask the Serbs! What motivates Kadyrov? Does he dream of being a great Muslim leader? Does the Tsar leverage him for his ties to the Muslim community; the same community that many think assassinated his Father?

Trusted confidant today. Sleeping with the Fishes tomorrow. It’s the Mafia way!