PROMISES BY ASSAD.. WITH A HIDDEN MESSAGE.
The Syrian government was under extreme pressure, most likely from
Moscow, to make a statement today on the issue of WMD.
The US Press "look alike" Jihad Makdissi, I wonder
if that is his real first name, took to the podium and tried to assure the world
about the status of Syrian WMD actions.
What he said was more than predictable, but Syria meant must
be reviewed carefully.
" External aggression"!
The only event that would lead to WMD utilization by Assad?
Ok, you get it....
What is "external aggression"?
Who defines the term?
Yep, Assad does.
Here is the problem and it's a huge one, with the term
" external aggression".
For months Assad's government, along with support from
Moscow and Tehran, has made the argument that the rebels were receiving "external"
support.
Notice the word "External" was part of the
tripwire definition of when Assad may use WMD operations!
This word was chosen with extreme caution before today's
press announcement.
As I have said in the past, the "word game" in the
Middle East is a art form that cannot be overlooked.
Two other statements came out of Syria's announcement today
and both of them worried me as much as the word game.
Jihad stated if the decision to utilize WMDs was made it
would be made by the "Generals".
Now, does anyone truly believe for a single second Assad
would not be the one to give the orders to the Generals?
Jihad would have the world believe that if the weapons are
used, Assad will be informed by his Generals!!!
Give me a break!
It's absolutely clear what Assad's messenger is trying to do
and that is to attempt to distance Assad from an WMD actions.
A stunt like this will not be successful, and it worries me
it was part of the briefing.
Why brief who would be responsible, if you didn't have plans
to utilized the weapon?
If Assad has given the pre-approval to his key military
leaders to execute as they see fit, then we are simply waiting for the right
moment in time to witness the event.
The second slip of the tongue out of the Syrian government
today was the issue of " Terrorist" utilizing chemical weapons.
A weak attempt was made to paint the picture of "
Terrorist" possibly being responsible for any WMD act they may take place
in Syria.
Just as the Generals might be blamed for utilizing WMD, the
Syrian spokesmen attempted to build an argument a WMD event might the results
of "Terrorist", thus again.. providing Assad probable denial.
Once again; it would not work.
My final concern on this whole discussion of WMD threats in
Syria is the simple question of "why"?
Why did Assad feel pressured to give this canned statement today?
At the beginning of this post, I made the statement this
whole stunt may have been the result of prodding from Moscow and or Tehran.
I still think this could be the issue, but one other thought
comes to mind.
Within the past day, the Israeli government has made it very
clear they will not stand by and accept the threat of Assad's WMD stockpiles
falling into the " wrong hands".
A bold statement that Israel did not make lightly.
The threat of preemptive / offensive / operations would have
been weighed and cross talked carefully by Israel.
If Israel believes Assad's weapons are moving towards
Hezbollah cells or are about to fall into the hands of AQ cells operating in
Syria, then the warning is a very serious one.
It could be this warning that Syria is responding to with
their statement on WMD utilization.
One thing is for sure..... Assad is close to a " use or
lose" event and a distraction such as an open attack by Israel might even
be a acceptable crisis.
One last this is also a guarantee.
Israel will not allow Weapons of Mass Destruction to fall
into the hands Hezbollah or any Islamic Radial organization bent on Israel's destruction.
That my friends is my real fear.
Assad knows the Israelis will not stand by if he pushes his
weapons to the wrong groups and that might just be the best option he has left.
