THREE STORIES.. ONE
THEME...
A few things about the actions of Iran in the past week have
me more convinced than ever they simply don't have a solution for the crisis in
Syria.
As I have said several time in the past, Iran could settle
for a disorganized Syria, a Technocratic Syria but never a Sunni Syria.
For months now they have worked to find some level of
"middle ground", but with no results and all the time the Sunni lead
factions in Syria have grown stronger.
Iran has tried disruption by getting one group to over react
to the other and still they have not slowed the pace of the Sunni wave.
The more the rebels advance, the more the Iranians continue
to panic.
Two weeks ago, the panic reached the level of Iran finally threatening
those they know are supporting the rebels.
The bad news is, that didn't work ether!!!
The result of that was the King of Saudi inviting
Ahmadinejad to an " Muslim Summit"!!! Notice the King framed it as a
" Muslim Summit" and not an Arab Summit?
So, nothing, absolutely nothing is working for Iran and when
nothing is working for a country like
Iran, what's the reaction....???? Yep.. more threats.
The stories of Iranian leadership holding emergency meetings
in Damascus and Beirut are just further indications of Iran's nearly panicked
path of politics.
http://www.debka.com/article/22250/Jalili-in-Damascus-underscores-Iran%E2%80%99s-commitment-to-Assad
Iran is now in a all out race.
It must have some plan ready before the fall of Aleppo; as a
matter of economics and strategic value, Aleppo has already fallen!
I would be willing to be the majority of the conversations
between Iran and Syia is with the elite backers of Assad and is a simple matter
of mapping some type of survival plan.
Iran's problem is they know this process is too little and
too late.
The backers of Assad have cut their deals and they are not
with Iran.
So what does this all mean?
I look for Iran to move quickly to protect it's last vital
proxy... Hezbollah.
Can they count on Hezbollah to allow themselves to be
attacked in Lebanon for some future horrific terrorist event on Israeli citizens?
I don't know; but probably yes.
The problem Iran now has is Israel is not going to fall for
this game.
If Hezbollah murders innocent Israeli citizens on a large
scale the attacks will not go to Lebanon... they will fall on Iran..
I wonder if Iran understands this?
If they do, then their plan to insure Israel attacks Arabs
first is gone...
Yes.. Iran is in deep ....deep.. .trouble.
They have one lifeline left.... the Tsar!!!!
But like any good Crime Boss.. the Tsar will look at Iran
and say, " so.. what's in it for me"?????
