Thursday, June 9, 2011
















 TURKEY BECOMES A REFUGEE CAMP!


The numbers continue to climb as more and more Syrians cross into Turkey avoiding Assad's assault on his own towns.
It was noteworthy to see the UN was supporting the process.
Turkey is not happy with the event and what support is left for Assad is quickly slipping away.
The question becomes, how does Turkey prevent these Refugee camps from becoming 'base camps' for the resistance fighters?
Checking for weapons is a process that requires time and coordination.
Depending on how these folks are crossing the border will determine if the fighters can cross with them.
The tactic of leaving the area and then returning when the response force has left is a typical event in what could become 'Guerilla Warfare'.
Given the size of the force Syria is reported to be placing in the area, it would be foolish for the resistance fighters to stay and engage them.
Fighting ' hit and run' tactics is a likely course of action the resistance will execute.
The concept of some armed group operating from Turkey is not a concept the Turkish government will be thrilled with.
The history of the Kurds in Northern Iraq is way too fresh in Turkish leadership's mind.
As to the size of the resistance, some reports today indicated they numbered perhaps as many as two thousand!
Confirmation of their size would be very difficult, but if that number is even close to being accurate, the Syrian military is in for a prolonged event.
Assad is going to have to assess just how long he wants this particular battle to last.
I would not rule out the use of air assets / rotor wing / if the fighting become too intense.
If the number of tanks is truly over thirty, supported by field artillery, then the military may just place the city under siege.
If that type of firepower is utilized, the ability to capture it with the media will surly happen.
As I said two days ago, this event will be unlike any of the others so far in Syria.
Within the next two days, Syria may look more like a live feed from Libya than a simple protest in the streets of a small Syrian town.