Wednesday, July 18, 2018




PUTIN AND TRUMP STRIKE YET ANOTHER “DEAL” OVER SYRIA.


            Well, the two big boys decided to put the Syrian topic back on the table at the big “meeting”, but in reality, it was a sidebar issue. Let’s face it, when it comes to the concerns of the US and Russia, the Middle East is a sidebar. Oh, and by the way, that’s a huge mistake! For all the talk of what took place at the big meeting, I want to take a few minutes and look at what may have gone on from the perspective of those who do care about the Middle East.


The Ottoman Sultan:

            What? The status of Syria, Iran, Israel, Saudi and a few other places where pilled into one conversation and the new Sultan was not invited? They could have skyped him into the discussion. They could have put him on the speaker phone. They could have at least sent him a text message. How dare they insult the new and powerful man from Turkey! I’ll tell you how. One, he doesn’t matter when people like The Donald and the Tsar get together for a sit-down. The Sultan is a pawn to two, much larger and far more powerful egomaniacs….yes….egomaniacs! Now, the Sultan is a just as big of one, but he has less at his disposal, so he’s ….well….he’s second string at best.
            So, the US agrees to pull out of Syria, no really this time, Northern Syria to be specific. Bad news for the Kurds, but then again, the West  / US / has been walking away from the Kurds for decades. What’s one more trip out the door? “Good luck boys and girls…… watch out for those Turks”! You only have to warn them about the Turks given they can defeat any other rag-tag outfit near their area. Sorry Sultan. You’ll have to find another way to show the world how powerful you have become. The real Big Boys didn’t have time for you this week.

Israel:

            So, the US and Russia agree the only way to keep Israel from destroying every ounce of Assad’s capabilities in Southern Syria is to convince them no Iranian or Hezbollah forces are in the area. But wait. Didn’t Israel state, “No Iranian forces anywhere in Syria”? Well, like any good negotiation, you have to start higher than your real objective and that’s how the game works. But wait. The Israelis were not in the big sit down? How did they get a vote? How did they become so central to the “deal”? Easy. Israel has the military might, at least in their neck of the woods, to do as they please. It’s Israel the US and the Russians realize they have to compromise over. In the end, that’s what the whole Syrian “deal” was about. What keeps Israel happy? What keeps Israel from knocking off Assad or even destabilizing Iran?  Look. It’s was Israel’s demands that had to be addressed. If both the US and Russia wanted to avoid a regional war, a war that would not alter the future of the world, but would greatly impact the short-term economies of both the US and Russia, then a “deal” had to be made and Israel had to agree to the deal!
            So, is that it? Did Israel agreed to the rumor of Russian forces controlling the area in the Southern part of Syria? Do they truly believe Russia can keep Iranian supported units, to include Hezbollah out of the region? No, not out of Syria, that was the starting point give and take. So what happens if small, disruption units, like the ones in Gaza, begin to pop up in Southern Syria? How will the Russians keep their word?  Easy. You just let the IDF bomb the targets they tell you they found. It’s been going on for a few years now anyway. All the Russians have to say is, “We were not aware of that alleged operation the IDF just struck. The IDF mission posed no threat to Russian forces, so we are not involved”. Really, they will just say nothing like they have been doing for a few years now. Okay, maybe a few words about the dangers of IDF actions ….bla….bla…bla….. but in the end, they just let Israel strike any target in the Southern districts of Syria they deem necessary. Come to think of it, they will most likely let them strike any target in Syria that has Iranian assets period.
            Wait. What about Hamas? What about Gaza? Now, here is where the other side of this “deal” on Syria comes in. Okay. The Russians got their way on the Syrian “deal”. The other topic Israel placed on the table was Hamas. Not the big deal the Iranians in Syria became, but the thorn that just won’t come out. Hamas. The same Hamas General Soleimani was all set to address just a few days ago. Then………Poof!!!!!! No pep talk! Canceled. No refunds! What happened? Who turned off the Hero of Iran from talking to Hamas? Wait…..where did all those IDF forces come from on the fence of Gaza? What is going on here? Yep. These must be the thoughts of the Hamas members. Did Soleimani give them an explanation why his pep-talk was canceled? Did he have another speaking engagement? You can bet, whatever answer Hamas leadership was given, and we probably know😊, it was not well received. If this wasn’t bad enough, now the rumor is out there the IDF is preparing to actually move into Gaza! Do I think that will actually happen? Probably not and I hope not. What does seem clear, at least to Hamas leadership, is the fact that Israel, at least for now, is not concentrating on a pending fight in Southern Syria. Gaza and Hamas has become the primary issue.  I think I even read yesterday where Hamas leadership had told Egypt, the middleman, they would do everything they could to stop the firebomb mission by Friday. Amazing what seeing nearly Divisional strength units sitting at the chain-link fence can do to a person’s perspective.
            Hamas and Gaza are in real…..real….trouble. The world will not react well to the IDF crushing through Gaza, but then again, Israel has never been in this fight for the sake of world opinion. Compromise on Southern Syria may have been reached, for now, but Gaza and the weekly, almost daily, events coming from there is going to have to change. Abbas may get one last chance to run the place. As for Hamas. If they have not learned what it means to take something too far, they are going to force the people trapped in Gaza a very difficult lesson. If that happens, good luck on getting them to support the movement in the future.

Iran: 

            Now. Here comes the important part of this discussion. Iran! Going into the “Big Meeting”, the old men in Tehran were worried sick. Do they trust Moscow? No. Do they support Moscow’s dreams? No. Do the think Moscow cares about Iran’s dreams? No. Do they feel like they are nothing more than a puppet for the Russians? Yes. So, they think they are being used? Yes. Does that aggravate them? Yes. When Moscow tells them what really went on in the meeting, will they believe them? No. So what will they do? Now, that’s the Billion Dollar + question! Moscow will say, “you don’t have to leave Syria, but you can’t have obvious military operations in the country. You can’t have anyone, to include your proxy fighters, anywhere near the Israeli border. If you have operations in Syria that are overt and they are struck by the IDF, then we will say a few words, but that is it”. The alternative to this narrative is something like this. “We can do whatever we want to do in Syria. I would suggest we tell Assad to concentrate on the North and the Kurds. Let’s find a way to show the world Turkey is working with the two of us. That makes the fact they are members of NATO even more contentious. Leave Southern Syria to us”. Now, what the Russians won’t say in this option two is this. “ We don’t give a damn if the IDF pounds anything they think is even remotely related to your operations in Syria. We will do the same thing we’ve been doing for the past few years. Nothing. If you get slapped around in Syria, that’s your business. You can’t operate out of the same facility with us. You can’t  be near our forces. We don’t wont your body parts flying all over our equipment”!
            Where do the Iranians stand after the :”Big Meeting”? Answer? On the sidelines just like the Turks. This meeting was between the two of the three  most powerful men in the world, with Xi being the one watching and waiting. The dreams of a new Persian Empire and not dreams. They’re hallucinations. The dreams of a new Ottoman Empire fall into the same category. Iran will not be allowed to develop a nuclear weapons program. If needed, it’s sites will suffer the same fate it’s operations do in Syria. They will be destroyed and the Russian will watch. Here’s the part that really…..really……turns the old men in Tehran red. They know it!

In The End:

            The “Big Meeting” was not about the Middle East. It was not about Syria or Iran or Israel. It was about a nation that is close to governmental crisis. A crisis that will alter the future of the world if not carefully approached. One segment of the US is ready to attack Russia tomorrow. What’s interesting is the fact that segment is the one the KGB spent BILLIONS trying to build in the US. The Ultra Left. The ones that love the idea of the destruction of Capitalist Markets. The ones that hate wealth and demand the government provide everything for them. The Old Soviet Union worked hard to destroy the US from within by using the Universities as the incubators of Communist way of life. Then…..something crazy happened. The Soviet, Communist, Union burn down, collapsed! Out of the ashes of what was the Soviet Union started what the US and West thought was a fledgling, Capitalistic, Democracy and just when it looked like the new Russia might actually get in step with it’s genetic brothers and sisters, the West creates yet another disaster. Who jumps in to show the struggling Russian Banking System how to function in a truly Capitalistic Market? Who shows up to teach the Russians how to honestly invest their nation’s capital? Angry old men who were born in Eastern Europe. An Eastern Europe the lived under the boot of the Soviet Empire. Revenge became the game. One angry old man from Hungry, and a few of his cohorts, took revenge. They couldn’t be fooled. They knew inside that Sheepskin was the old Soviet Wolf and they were going to make sure that Wolf didn’t rise again. So, in the course of just a few short years, the Russian experiment in being “Western” failed. From the ashes rose a new Russia. A Russia that said, “ I told you so”. A Russia that, in their minds, reached out to the West only to have it’s money handlers push Russia back into the pit. That was the window any Nationalist needed and that was the window Putin took. The new Russia was born. The Nationalistic Russia. Communism was banned. That foolish, leftist, liberal dream had cost Russia everything and it was time to rebuild with the Nationalist.
            So, what do we have today? We have a US that is 50 percent or better convinced that the government should provide everything…. Education…medical…a job….a nice house…..phone……everything!  Where did this seed get planted? Well, don’t forget the old KGB days. Don’t forget where many of those ideological, 60s kids are now. Yep.  Running our nations Universities. Don’t forget what party took the leftist leaning ideology and ran with it. “ I will give you way more than that other guy….just vote for me”!
            The Left wants Trumps head on a pike! It doesn’t matter what he did or didn’t do. They hate what he stands for. The Deep State called DC is willing to go along because Trump is not part of the “ Political Team”. He wasn’t properly vetted growing up inside the political process. He’s not who they wanted. So, the enemy of my enemy becomes my friend. The Left, the Dems and the DC gang all agree to get rid of trump. Now, the KGB concept of disruption called for more than just Campus influence. It required the eventual control of the media. Control the message to the masses and you control the masses. Every stop to wonder why there was so much hatred towards the early days of “Talk Radio”? How can you control the message if you can’t control who’s putting it out there?

            Okay. It gets this simple. The Soviets created the environment in the US that now hates what Russia has become. Passive, Liberal, Leftist fear one thing more than any other. The doctrine of Nationalism! What do they see Trump acting like with his, “Make America Great Again” theme? What do they know Putin is? A poster boy for nationalism! So you see, the old Soviet Union planted the seed of the resistance he now faces in the US. The left loved Communism and everything they were told the world could be in the College classroom. They fought hard to reshape the US and just when it looked like they were going to have it all there way, the Mothership changed sides. Now, the Mothership is the Flagship of the Nationalistic movement. Poor Putin. He must have forgotten what his old Bosses in the KGB had worked so hard for. The movement that his team built now hates him and hates him to a point of being reckless.
It’s a crazy world folks and I have even worse news for the Passive Left. If you think Putin is a Nationalist, just wait until you get a full taste of Mr. Xi!  It was “The Big Meeting”. It better have been a meeting that starts the discussion over the Dragon preparing to fly over the entire world!