ERDOGAN: RISE TO THE TITLE OF SULTAN AND THEN WHAT?

          So, Egodan the Sultan, pulled it off. He has become the Supreme leader of what he hopes will be the new Ottoman Empire, an Empire that will no longer look to the EU or the West. The new Ottoman Empire will align with the new Russian Empire and the new Chinese Empire, or so the so called “Experts” state. Can Russia and China offset the economic impact of pulling away from the West? Yes. Can the departure of Turkey from NATO cripple an already decaying concept? Yes.  Would both of these events please the Chinese and the Russians? Yes. Do both the Chinese and the Russians have the same intentions for this new Ottoman Empire? Yes. What is that common intention? Why, to manipulate the Ottomans to their advantage of course? Do the Chinese and the Russians have the same end-state for their manipulation? No. Does the new Sultan realize this? Yes. Does the new Sultan have his own manipulative plan for both the Chinese and the Russians? Yes. So what has really happened here?

NATO’s Breakup:

          Russian sales of the S-400 system to Turkey is a very hot topic with the US.  The intent of the Russians is well known. Moscow has been working hard to pull Turkey away from not just the EU, but from NATO.  NATO and the spread of NATO into the old Russian Buffer zone has been the catalyst of just about every event Putin has implemented. The strategic impact of Turkey leaving NATO would be dramatic. The EU’s ability to offset the loss of Turkish forces would be nearly impossible. The very foundation of NATO would be in jeopardy and The Donald’s stance of the EU paying more the bills would surely come back to the forefront of the entire NATO discussion. No one understands this more than DC and Moscow. The problem becomes, the US has openly given in to Turkey to the point no one is confident The Donald will continue to do so. It’s just not in his nature. On top of the issue of The Donald’s nature, the ego of the new Sultan almost guarantees this breakup is coming.

          Turkey is heading in a new direction and that direction is not to the advantage of the West. So what is the West / US / to do? What options are on the table? How does the West respond to the events in Turkey? Well, first off, the idea this event was about to take place was not new. The West has been watching the Sultan push Turkey in a new direction for years. The reality is, the West / US / has been preparing for this day since turkey walked away from the Iraqi Invasion plan in 2003. Does that mean NATO should have been in a position by this time to live without Turkey? Yes. Is it? No. Why? The leadership of the EU members, that’s why. Does the US military need Turkey to execute its missions in the region? No. So, does the US really need NATO? No. So, why is it still there? Politics, and that’s a deplorable answer. For NATO to be disbanded would have meant all of the old Soviet Buffer-zone countries would have been unwilling to even speak to the EU. The EU needed NATO to show Eastern Europe they would have a level of protection if they came in from the cold. The US went along with this plan for two reasons. 1. It allowed the US to keep a military capability near the Russian border. 2. It was good for the Western, Military Industrial Machine. Threats are just what you need when you are in the business of selling arms.  Okay, let’s cut to the chase. Does the US need NATO? No. Does The Donald like the idea of paying most of the bills for NATO? No, and he has said so time and time again. So, what is going to entice The Donald to kiss the Sultan’s hand, just so Turkey will stay in NATO? Pressure from the EU? No. Not unless the EU takes on a much larger share of the bills and even then, it may not happen. Will someone convince The Donald Turkey is going to slide into the Russian/ Chinese camp? They’ve been telling him that since the day he showed up in the White House. So, Turkey is about to end it’s 100-year alliance with the West? They are about to become a new member of the Eurasia? It looks that way. But then again, the Ottomans are about to step into the room with two far more ruthless, far more dangerous, “Partners” than they have aligned themselves with for the past 100 years. Just about the time the new Sultan begins to gloat, he may soon realize, Ottomans will learn to take a knee. The Bear and the Dragon are both hungry and they both like the taste of Kumpir.