Tuesday, November 20, 2012



















YOU MUST ALWAYS REMEMBER WHO IRAN IS ADDRESSING.

We must never lose track of who the Iranian government is actually addressing when they make asinine  statements like the one attached.

The message is always for the general public of the region and not for the US public, who  doesn't even care what Iran says day to day, especially if reality TV is on that night!

The real message here, one that is implied, is far more worrisome than the silly answer to where Fajr 5s are made.

Iran's statement cannot be overlooked.

For Iran to openly admit they are and will continue to "supply / support" Islamic Jihad groups in Gaza, gives us an indication of how difficult a cease fire will be to achieve.

Morsi may sway most if not all of Hamas' leadership, but Iran will determine the operational tempo of the Islamic Jihad groups, at least the important ones.

So, is it any wonder all the talk of a cease fire today has not lead to any concrete actions?

Lets suppose for a moment Hamas agrees to stop attacking Israel.

What does the IDF do if rounds / rockets keep coming from Gaza?

I will tell you what they will do, they will hold Hamas / Morsi / responsible.

If Iran wants a "relationship" with Egypt / Morsi / then they are going to have to consider how important this cease fire achievement is to them.

Here is the hint... Iran knows all too well how important the cease fire bragging rights are to Morsi.

So, lets see how Iran plays this tit for tat game with Mr Morsi?

Oh ya, in the meantime, the IDF will continue to pound Hamas and the PIJ as much as possible.

As Morsi and "others" sip tea... Hamas / PIJ young men are being blown to pieces.. along with civilians.

That is a scenario that doesn't play well with young, radical men in the Middle East.

How far does Iran push this event and make no mistake, they are the ones now pushing.

Iran may or may not have started this chain of events.... that is another argument, but getting Islamic Jihad / PIJ / types to stand down is far more up to Iran than it is to Morsi or the UN.

Here is my two cents worth....

The clock is about to run out on the PIJ and Hamas.

The next few hours could see the door to door fighting start and that takes this whole event to a far different level.

Anti armor weapons in the hands of Hamas / PIJ / has been a buildup issue every bit as volatile in the past few years as any rocket program.

The IDF knows this and the reaction if they move on the ground will reflect their knowledge of the improved threat.

http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=292757