HAMAS AND THE MIDNIGHT OIL IN TEHRAN
With no way out and supplies lines all but cut off, Hamas fighters
have a grim future facing them.
Egyptian forces are preventing any form of relief from
entering Gaza from the Sinai and this is a critical issue for Hamas and those
who support them.
If Israel is willing to accept the dramatic increase in
civilian deaths a full scale assault on Gaza would bring about, then Hamas may
be looking at a crushing defeat.
Having said this and with the likelihood of this event
taking place, it’s critical to return to the topic of, “what replaces Hamas”?
Two weeks ago, I addressed the issue of the Islamic Stage
filling the void left by a devastated Hamas force.
That reality is closer now than two weeks ago and many in
the West are beginning to understand that fact.
Is the pressure to slow the IDF based on civilian losses or
is it based on the fear of what may come next?
IS forces are locked in a violent battle for the city of
Aleppo along with holding ground in Iraq.
IS forces ridding to the rescue of Hamas is not going to
happen and Hezbollah must make a strategic decision, perhaps sooner than they
want to.
As the fate of Hamas is being decided, another even more
dangerous decision is being contemplated.
The Persians!
If the grand plan for the Iranians has been based on Hamas
and Hezbollah providing fighting elements in a future battle with Israel, then what
would their loss mean?
Only five years ago, the planners in Tehran fully counted on
Hamas and Hezbollah as they designed their war plans against Israel.
Now; everything has changed.
Hezbollah is stuck in the bloody streets of Syria even as
they fear a pending battle in their homeland against the forces of the Islamic
State.
Hamas is on the edge of complete destruction with no Allie
anywhere near being in a position to save them.
And now, rumors of
yet another Turkish navel flotilla could be departing for Gaza.
Is Egodan willing to risk open confrontation with Israel
over Hamas?
No.
Is he willing to do something dramatic to get his name back
on the FrontPage of this event?
Yes.
Iraq in flames……Syria in flames…. Lebanon smoldering…. Hamas
and Hezbollah in real danger of defeat……the Midnight oil is burning bright in
Tehran and the feast of the eid al fitr is not the reason.
