Truer words have never been said and it's more than ironic
Khamenei spoke them!
I've attached two interesting stories that relate to a topic
I've addressed on several occasions.
Here is the question much of the world is trying to find the
real answer to.
Just what is Iran
attempting to achieve?
A real change with it's longstanding adversaries... with the
exception of Israel ?
Are they buying time with some great deception plan?
Like many others around me, I've tried to find a definitive
answer to this pressing issue, but it's simply too complicated and far too
important to speculate to the point of standing on a conclusion.
For the sake of argument, let's skip over determining the
real answer of Iran 's
actions and instead, let's concentrate on what risk Iran is actually taking.
As I've done several times in the past, I would ask that we
once again play the, "What if" game!
Ok; here how it goes this time.
What if:
What if the, "enemy that smiles" approach taken by
the Iran
is the real answer?
What is the real risk the Iranian Leader is taking?
Is it the threat of the West not taking the bait?
Is it the threat the Israelis may finally convince themselves
they must go to war "alone"?
PS.. Here is my reminder... they will not be
"alone"... even if the US / West abandons them... think GCC... and
you are on the right track.
Is the real threat of this "enemy that smiles"
plan an internal threat?
BINGO!
If you said yes, you may very well win the prize.
What if:
What if the Iranian youth didn't realize this whole process
was simply a way of buying time?
What if those in Iran
who longed for greater freedoms and normality truly believed change was coming
to Iran ?
If Khamenei is standing knee deep in social unrest gasoline,
can he afford to be smoking?
One of the attached stories address Khamenei warning the conservatives
in Iran
to support Rouhani in his ongoing negotiations.
Really?
Who is he warning?
Yes, there exist factions inside of Iran as there
are in any government, but Khamenei warning those who are not in the inner
government to not interfere is more confusing than he may have imagined.
What if:
What if the disillusioned members of Iranian society interpreted
Khanenei's warning as a sign the time was right to push for more progressive leadership?
What if:
What if the real threat of playing the "Enemy who
smiles" game came from your own society?
Ah yes, the world of Second Order Effects and the Law of Unintended Consequences, two of my
favorite topics, may play large in this smiling game!
The final segment of this month's episode of " the What
If Game"!!
What if:
What if Iran 's
real enemies, Israel
and Saudi, believed this smiling game could be leveraged against Mr Khamenei?
He has his distracters in Iran and his enemies know of these distracters.
As we sit here tonight, wonder what Iran is really up to, I will ask
this one simple question.
Are those who worry about Iran really fretting over the right
question?
In the Chess game called the Middle
East , has Khamenei made the right more at the right moment in
time?
Sometimes when you think you have "check" .. you
end up in "Checkmate"!
Someone call and see if Riyadh
and or Jerusalem
is playing Chess tonight!
