ERDOGAN REDEFINES THE SYRIAN GOVERNMENT.
You can find several versions of this story on the web, but
only a few picked up on the real issue... the PKK...
Ergogan's frustration with the West, namely the US, is also beginning
to show up more an more frequently.
His comment in his CNN interview that ' perhaps' the US
November elections has something to do with the lack of movement', is a subtle
but deliberate shot at the US.
Having said this, lets get down to brass tacks about the
Middle East.
This might not go over well with many of the leaders there,
but the simple fact is very few
countries in the Middle East really care about " Refugee issues".
If you don't believe me, I would ask you to look at the Palestinian
" Refugee Camps".
The Palestinians can't own land, they can't have citizenship
in countries where most of them under the age of 40 were born and raised.
Now, those countries will say something like, " we
cannot give them citisenship because that would be admitting to Israel the
Palestinian State will never exist"!!!!..
Right!!!
The truth of the matter is, they don't want these
"nomads" sticking around, voting and beginning to place demands on
the governments where they live.
Again, just go ask the Palestinians who live in Lebanon how
they are treated... or try Jordan.
Erdogan is far more concerned about the destabilizing factor
these Syrian refugees bring to the tribal areas of Turkey then he is about
their overall welfare.
Unfortunately, that is not the issue that caused his
statement about Syria being a Terrorist run state.
The truth of the matter is the issue that keeps Erdogan up
at night is the PKK and the Kurds!
A Kurdish uprising, a Kurdish Spring, is a true nightmare to
Turkey.
Erdogan also realizes Assad has decided to support the PKK
given Assad's knowledge of the Turkish support to the Syrian rebels.
Here is what I believe Erdogan is really up to when he relabeled
the Syrian government.
His attempts to get the West to support a " No Fly
Zone".. a flawed concept by the way, has gone nowhere.
If Erdogan could have achieved a " Safe Zone / No Fly
Zone" in Northern Syria, the ability of the Kurds to strike out on their own
would have been severely impacted.
Without this outside support, the idea of Turkey moving on Syria
unilaterally was unachievable and would have ended in a political trap for
Erdogan's party.
Knowing this
"Safe Zone" concept of keeping the Kurds in check is not going
to work, Erdogan has redefined what the problem is in Syria.
Terrorism!!! The key concept that Erdogan hopes will unlock
the door to military action in Syria.
Think about it.
To create a " Free Zone / No Fly Zone / the outside
world would have to openly risk war with Iran / Iraq and Syria and everyone
knows it.. that's why nobody will vote for it.. .the Russians and the Chinese
are doing the rest of the world a favor and at the same time taking the
heat....... Ingenious on our part!!!!
But, when you change the topic to " Terrorism" we
suddenly redefine what is allowed.
In the war on Terrorism, we are allowed to conduct ' limited
strikes' inside someone's country without committing to a full scale operation;
think of the US operations in Pakistan as a prime example.
A drone strike here.. a cruse missile there and the next
thing you know, Assad is knocked from a balance of power without a committed /
sanctioned operation in Syria.
The lovely world of ambiguous Terrorism operations.
Erdogan is a good student and he knows this process may just
give him what he needs... the right to fly into Syrian airspace... take out PKK
sites in Syria and yet not be accused of attacking the Assad regime.
Remember, Iran doesn't want a war with Turkey, they can't
afford it!
If the Iranians believe Turkey is taking action on Syrian
land but it's limited to the PKK, it may just tell Assad to sit tight...
Remember... Iran has no love for the Kurdish issue as well.
Erdogan has one issue on his mind right now when it comes to
Syria and that is the Kurdish issue.
He loves the idea of oil trade with them, thereby
controlling their economic pace, but the idea of Kurds forming a Kurdistan is completely
out of the question and he will not allow that concept to take root inside
Syria.
The refugee issue is a false issue in the Middle East,
unless you are talking about their ability to create unrest in the countries
where they flee.
The Kurds are issue number one in Turkey and that is an
issue that will be dealt with one way or another.
