Saturday, November 17, 2012

















THE TACTICS OF THE CURRENT CONFLICT / ISRAEL / HAMAS

So, as day five nears of this current confrontation between Israel and Hamas, what is different this time around compared to 2008; other than the Israel's and the IDF's resolve... so far?

Again, lets go back to the tactical issues fist and then end up with a few " big picture"  points.

Does anyone remember the raid on the "plant" in Africa a few weeks ago?

Does anyone remember what it was thought that "plant" was there for?

If you know you are going to conduct an operation and you know what dangers you face, you deal with the most saver threats first.

If Israel had an approximate idea of how many of a certain type of weapon was already in the area of future operations, and they knew they wanted to prevent " resupply" of that item, then they would insure that could not take place; plus send a message to anyone that was paying attention at the time.

If Israel knew there was a type of weapon in the future area of operation that was the greatest threat, would they not spend a great deal of time attempting to locate those weapons for targeting purposes? ... Hint.. something they did not do well in 2006 / 2008.

Now, if this "weapon" was larger than others and more difficult to move and execute, then that would mean the owners would have a more difficult time concealing them and moving them to new locations.... something the Israelis counted on and continue to count on.

Once these most feared weapons are attacked the first round, it allows you to have two advantages, one, you know longer have to worry about concealing what you are doing and secondly it allows you to observe, openly, where these weapons might be moved to.

What has become clear, from the second the vehicle was hit five days ago, is the detail the Israelis have put into this operation.

Complex operations are not developed overnight!

Israel has been working this plan for months if not a few years.

What we are witnessing is the "change" Israel has designed after the 2006 / 2008 conflicts with Hezbollah and Hamas.

What we are witnessing is a tactical operation with nothing but offensive operations as it's baseline.

Simply put, Israel has a mindset of not being thrown into the Defensive position ether militarily or politically.

As I said two three days ago, the message being delivered is not just to Hamas!!!!

The true message here is for Iran and Hezbollah.

Israel knows the plans of Iran, and the concept of attacking the weakest link in the Iranian plan, Hamas, is no accident.

Was this about rockets being fired from Gaza into Israel?

Yes, to some degree.

You see Israel knew that action  would always be the reason for doing what they have now set out to do, they just needed to pick the time when they needed that act to be the trigger; knowing all along a few idiots in possession of certain types of weapons would simply be too tempting to now use.

Israel counted on Hamas fringe units and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad to give them they excuse they needed.... when they were ready.

This is a plan that is fully supported... fully equipped wrapped in detailed planning.

This is not 2006 /2008 and the Iranians, Hezbollah and "others" know it.

Some are saying, " this is Iran's way of pulling the trigger with Hamas to get the attention off of Assad"!!!

These talking heads should stick with writing books based on the cocktail parties they have attended.

Iran did not force this event......

Israel is bleeding the Iranian war plan and taking away one option it counted on.

Now....

Ask yourself why????

Oh ya... Taking out the Hamas Military "Brain" hours before you start a campaign.... brilliant!!!

One last word of caution and it never changes... The "other-side" gets a vote on how it will turn out!