A COMPLICATED AND PERPLEXING PENDING BATTLEFIELD!!
Ok, so back to the discussion of a pending conflict between
Hezbollah and Nusra!
As has been mentioned before, the fact this conflict is
predicted to take place should come as no surprise.
Assad's gains, temporary in my opinion, over the past few
weeks are attributed to the increased support of Hezbollah and the other
"units" provided and supported by Iran .
The concept of opening a Second Front on the Syrian Rebels
and the Syrian Rebels intern contemplating opening a Second Front for Hezbollah
in Lebanon makes the process of keeping the scorecard for this event difficult
at best.
Now, given this event is growing closer and closer with each
passing day, it's important to revisit where Israel
and Turkey and Jordan and the
West fit into this pending change / escalation of events.
But, before we do that, lets refresh the most important
aspect of this event, Iran's vision of where it is going and how that
"vision" fits in with it's silent, well somewhat silent,
partner.....the Tsar!!!
As I have said time and time again, from the Tsar's
viewpoint, the world is good.
The world oil markets is well above the acceptable
bottom-line and the Tsar is all about making money for money fuels the rebirth
of the Russian Empire.
Now, remember, the trick is not letting this
"event" in the Middle East get too
out of hand.
Making money is good......regional war...well... they may be
a bad thing in the long run!!!
A world market that is depressed based upon a devastating
regional war equates in to crashing oil prices and that is a bad thing for the
Tsar.
So, conflict .... Tsar says good.....
Open Regional War....Tsar probably says.."Bad
thing"!!!
The Tsar's second goal and trust me, it's an important one
to him... prestige!!!
Showing the world the West cannot make decisions on global
issues without Russian inputs, well that is a vital task for the Tsar.
Just about the only thing not allowed to get in the way of
the ego of the Tsar is the price of oil.... remember... that is goal number one
at all times!!!
Ok, so the Tsar wants the world to know you cannot deal with
the Middle East without dealing with him and
his crazy little Persian puppets.... Puppets that don't like the Tsar by the
way!!! Nothing worse than loathing you Boss!!!
Perhaps the Persians will betray the Tsar, but that is a
plan for a latter date!!!
One "Infidel" country at a time!!!
Both the Tsar and the Persians have a real problem, this
dangerous Civil War between the Sunni and the Shia!!!!
To the Persians, the issue is far more dangerous and hence
they are more likely to be willing to take drastic actions to combat this
religious civil war.
On top of that, this maddening thing called Social Media has
the Iranians worried sick about their next round of fixed elections, and that
is something their Master could care
less about!!!
Ok, the picture should be clearing up by now.
The Puppets and the Master have different "goals"
and concerns and that is an inherent weakness to their alliance; a fact that
doesn't go unnoticed by the Arabs and the Israelis and oh by the way.... the
Ottoman's as well!!!
The Ottoman's, the competition to the Tsar and the Arabs for
the Oil market in the region.
Now, let's get back to the issue at hand.
The major players know the battlefield is filled with these
crazy little groups of fanatical thugs, but the "thugs" work for
several Masters.... namely the Arabs and the Persians.....
As a reminder, this has virtually nothing to do with the
freedom of the Syrian public....those poor people had their dreams stolen, much
like Egypt ,
over two years ago.
Do the Persians really want the fight to move into Lebanon ?
Does the Tsar or the Ottomans or the GCC?
If not, how do they stop it?
Once you let a Thug run lose for too long, they start to
believe they run the place.
Is that where Nusra and Hezbollah really believe they stand
as of today?
Here is a frightening fact that perhaps is becoming more and
more a reality.
The Thugs have been allowed to run free too long!!!
The Thugs think they are calling the shots now.. remember...
Hezbollah is Arab not Persian and doing everything exactly as Iran / the Persians
tell them may not always hold true.
History is stacked with events that spiraled out of control and
that spiral has been the fear for over two years now.
What does the Tsar and his Puppet / Persian / lapdog want?
And if they don't have the same goal, how can they stop a event
from taking place when the Thugs they control have gotten out of control?
Here is my fear, a fear larger than the one listed above.
Is Hezbollah about to realize that Syria is it's new Lebanon ?
Does Hezbollah become the proxy government of Syria after the
Tsar and the Persians do Assasd in?
Talk about a Red Line!!!
I love all the talk about a "diplomatic solution"....
Someone please explain to me what that might look like?
