SYRIA'S TET????
As a follow up to my comments last night:
Some
say the Tet Offensive was a turning point in the Vietnam War.
If
what we are witnessing is the Syrian conflict's version of Tet, in
Damascus,
then the same may hold true.
Several interesting strategic events are
becoming more and more clear as
the
battle inside Damascus unfolds.
1. The Rebels, by design I'm sure, have taken
the pressure off of Homs and
other
territories where they are attempting to solidify their hold.
It's nearly impossible for Assad to go on the
offensive, at least
for
now, in other regions of Syria while his Headquarters is under attack.
The Rebels will take advantage of this
Damascus event to resupply
and
prepare for the next round of attacks in the North.
2. By attacking Damascus in force, Assad's
supporters are probably losing
all
hope of him, and them, staying in power.
3. If the stories of Assad's troops firing into
the Palestinian Refugee
Camps
of Damascus are true, then the number of bodies ready to support the
conflict
inside the city just increased tenfold.
By the way; a brilliant move on the part of
the Rebels; attack and
then fall back into the Palestinian
camps and force Assad's troops to fire
on the Palestinian refugees in
Damascus!
4. This offensive in Damascus may smoke out the
Iranian support and expose
it to
the media.
Imagine a Command Post full of angry
senior Syrian military leaders
with Iranian "aids" still
whispering in the ear of Assad.
This
Syrian "Tet" event is real trouble for Assad and Iran and Russia know
it.
Even
if Assad's forces beat back the attackers, the visual impact to the
city,
one his supporters still there will see, will have a devastating
impact.
The
Rebels may have planned a brilliant "Tet" style event, but did they
plan
an
"end game"?
Imagine
a Syrian senior leader, especially a military one, who defects and
makes
the comment Assad is only listening to Iranian " Aids".
If
someone makes the comment, " Assad
is murdering his own people with the
help
of Iranian supporters", and that comment comes not from the Rebels, but
from
a senior Syrian defector?
Tracking
the WMD stockpiles is critical.
If
Israel sees them being handed over to Hezbollah or other radical groups,
then
what?
The
Syiran "Tet" may be the game changer for not just Syria, but for the
whole
region.
and-moves-to-fortified-site
