HERE COME THE THUGS!!! N0!! not the King. He is the poor guy who is not sleeping at night right now.
Well; it took a week, but the classic Mubarak reaction teams finally came out. My gut feeling is they took a few days figuring out where the best places to show up would be, how they wanted to execute and then making sure the authorities were up to speed on what they would be doing.
The MB will not waste a single minute taking advantage of the pro Mubarak forces showing up. In fact, they, the MB, probably had figured into their plans the fact the Mubarak forces would show up.
Why did Mubarak have them show up now? A couple of theories come to mind.
1. The military has to have a viable excuse to take real action and prolonged violence could be the tool.
2. He had them ready and waited to give his speech showing how we was meeting the demands of the public before unleashing them; thus giving the perception of the crowds being unwilling to find a peaceful resolution to the event. This is my bet!!!
3. Those who are pro Mubarak are preparing to show they are just trying to restore calm to the streets of Egypt. To do that, you need "real violence"
So what is going to happen next?
The Military has to stay with Mubarak or stay with the faction that is against change in leadership, or they have to abandon the current government and do nothing more that keep order.
My guess is the Military is going to have to dictate the interim Government and perhaps place a figure head in charge and remove Mubarak. A dangerous move given the split in the military forces this could lead to.
One thing is clear, the next real move in Egypt will be executed by the military not the Government or the protesters.
Ok; next topic; Biological Warfare!!!
It is extremely interesting to see the slightest of rumblings of unrest in Syria. To the outsider this might appear puzzling. How is it that a "virus" the US and our Allies believes could easily lead to groups like the MB taking control of critical nations in the Middle East could possibly lead to one of enemies imploding from the same sickness? If the MB is out to use this unrest to push their agenda and Iran, the MB mortal enemy, back the unrest as well, then why would Iran support something that could take down their proxy puppet? Two answers to this issue.
1. The MB is Sunni and the destruction of the Shiite powerbase is secondary only to the destruction of Israel.
2. Every SciFi movie about Zombies starts with someone or some nation uses a secret "germ" and then the whole thing backfires. Well; if the MB and Iran have determined that Social networks and civil unrest is the best way to get rid of the "Old Guard" loyal to the West, well then, they have become the idiots who let the germ out that killed them. Will it work in Syria and Iran like it is working in Egypt? I don't think so, but like any virus, it will mutate and have different effects on different "host".
It's something I will talk about on Thursday.
