IRAN'S CONTINUED
SUPPORT FOR ASSAD? LETS LOOK.
The second time in a little over a week the Iranian
government has made a stronger than normal statement supporting Assad's regime.
In the Middle East, and in politics in general, when someone
continues to voice their support for someone who is in trouble, that typically
means they are about to give up on them!
Is this the case with Iran?
I don't believe so, not just yet.
I have said Iran is most likely trying to find an
alternative future they can live with in Syria, but the baseline of what they
would accept is still way off from what is being floated by the rebels and the
rest of the world.
Tlass was an example of one of these attempts, but as I said
yesterday, that is a distant dream right now.
What it appears Iran is doing is setting the bar and then
making sure the rest of the world understands their baseline bargaining
position.
Iran will not allow a Sunni / Syrian Muslim Brotherhood /
style government; one that will lead to trouble within the Iranian population.
Iran may accept a Technocratic government that is
"open" to all relationships as long as Hezbollah gets a free pass to
travel and train in Syria.
Fat chance of that happening with the Sunni movement in the
region.
Iran would be happy with a Syria that falls into a prolonged civil crisis such as
Lebanon did for over 15 years.
A Syria that is unable to counter Iran's plans is a Syria
Iranian leadership can live with; not be happy, but live with.
Some may see this press statement by Iran's Foreign Minister
is not merely a "line in the sand"; notice there is not warning of
Iranian military support.
My impression is, this statement is just another way of Iran
restating it's position on the crisis.
Oh, ya; notice they had to toss in the shot about the rebels
being part of some larger Israeli plot!!!
I'm surprised Iran didn't mention George Bush.. it has the
same worn out theme!!!!
